Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 26, 2023

Sentencing Commission show judges rejected more than 80% of compassionate release requests filed from October 2019 through September 2022. theatlantic.com) Economy Menzie Chinn, "Strong labor market, spending and income numbers all suggest no recession in place yet." econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

Ethics 243

Ethics License Financial Advising Startup 243

The Big Picture

MARCH 13, 2024

Well, in 2019, when your average money market fund was yielding zero and your average bond fund was yielding 2%, we used to scream, TINA — there is no alternative. Oh my god, the economy’s falling apart, people are losing their jobs, we’ve got to start to stimulate the economy, we have to stop a recession.”

Numbers 288

Numbers Insurance Economy Marketing 288

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 26, 2022

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2022). As an example, when the pandemic hit, I switched from being mostly positive on the economy to calling a recession in early March 2020. However, it seems unlikely that inventory will be back up to the 2017 - 2019 levels. This was correct.

Economics 114

Economics Sales Economy Banking 114

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 13, 2023

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. 1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 1% in 2022 as the economy slowed following the economic rebound in 2021. How much will the economy grow in 2023? The FOMC is expecting growth of just 0.4%

Economy 111

Economy Sales Economics Investments 111

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 23, 2023

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Economic indicators across consumption, income, industry and the labor market don’t point to a recession. Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4% after adjusting for inflation, matching the average annual pace between 2010 and 2019.

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Retail 143

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 13, 2023

The Equity Beat: Can the Swift Economy Remain on Stage? economic impact of the Eras tour at close to $5 billion. economy afloat this summer! Gilmore published an article in the Harvard Business Review titled, “Welcome to the Experience Economy”. cities over the past few months. In 1998, co-authors and economists B.

Economy 98

Economy Clients Economics Investments 98

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 16, 2022

We did see negative real GDP growth in Q1 and in Q2 - but that didn't mean the US economy was in a recession (and this has never been the definition of a US recession). Also, there are two measures of economic growth - Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and Gross Domestic Income (GDI). See: Better Measure of Output: GDP or GDI?

Sales 145

Sales Economy Economics Investments 145

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 10, 2024

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for this year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. 1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 2.6% How much will the economy grow in 2024? An exception for this data series was the mid '60s when the Vietnam buildup kept the economy out of recession.

Economy 80

Economy Sales Economics Investments 80

Carson Wealth

JUNE 10, 2024

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly. In 2019, average monthly job growth was 166,000. Strong May gains historically suggest more gains to come.

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 143

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 20, 2023

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2023). As an example, when the pandemic hit, I switched from being mostly positive on the economy to calling a recession in early March 2020. The black line is for 2019. compared to the same week in 2019. Or will the economy lose jobs? "My

Economics 75

Economics Sales Economy Food 75

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 8, 2024

A “Goldilocks” December jobs report highlights sustained momentum for the economy as it continues its path to normalization. Goldilocks Job Numbers as Economy Powers Ahead The December payroll report was strong on the surface, with 216,000 jobs created last month and the unemployment rate firm at 3.7%. History says to expect it.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 29, 2024

In 2022, positive economic data typically led to a sell-off in the stock market, and weak data often led to a rally. Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. The economy ran above trend last year, despite high interest rates.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 97

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 11, 2023

It is important to remember that stocks lead the economy, both on the way up and the way down. To us, this is the market’s way of saying the economy will continue to see solid growth next year. Stocks tend to lead the economy, and several major indexes are near new highs, which is a good signal for the economy.

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Compliance 143

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 30, 2024

The economy continues to surprise to the upside, as we will discuss more below. With earnings hitting new highs and the economy continuing to expand, it’s no wonder stocks have hit 42 new all-time highs in 2024. From the end of 2019 through 2024 Q2, real GDP growth was revised up from 9.4% The reason for the rally? Guess What?

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Manufacturing Economics 96

Bell Investment Advisors

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

The economic backdrop to these losses, however, stands out. Comparing present day data with data from 2000 through 2019, we clearly see strength in the present. The broader economy surprises, too. A report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that gross domestic product grew at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 4.9%

Economy 52

Economy Economics Investment Advisor Numbers 52

Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 12, 2024

But now we have a healthy economy, well-contained inflation, a Federal Reserve set to cut rates, improving productivity, record earnings, and stocks at all-time highs. As we wrote in our 2024 Outlook, “Seeing Eye to Eye” ( download here ), productivity growth is a game-changer for the economy. at the end of 2022 to 2.6%

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Investments 97

Trade Brains

OCTOBER 3, 2023

While we wait and see what happens, one thing we can be sure of is that our economy is going to receive a significant boost. India expects this World Cup to boost its economy by Rs. That’s more than three times the economic impact seen during the 2015 Australia-New Zealand edition and the 2019 UK World Cup, which were $347.2

Economy 59

Economy Sales Electronics Economics 59

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 7, 2024

Strong Job Numbers Are Good News for the Economy and Markets There’s been valid concern that employment conditions are deteriorating, ever so slowly. That’s higher than anything we saw between 2001 and 2019 (when it peaked at 80.4%). in 2019, 5.9% The unemployment rate has increased from a low of 3.4% in April 2023 to 4.3%

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 96

Carson Wealth

JULY 24, 2023

economy has accelerated over the past year, defying calls of recession amid the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes. We just received a tremendous amount of data to round out the economic picture in the second quarter (Q2). In sum: Not only is there no recession, but the economy does not even appear to be headed for a “landing” at this point.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Economy Retail 98

Carson Wealth

MARCH 25, 2024

As Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast, my friends.” From the end of 2019 through March 15, 2024, the S&P 500 has gained 71%. Going into this meeting, a big question was whether Fed members would lower that projection to just two cuts in their summary of economic projections (the dot plot). Even better, the economy grew 3.1%

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Manufacturing 97

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 22, 2023

Apricitas Economics ) see also America’s Biggest Landlords Can’t Find Houses to Buy Either : Higher rates and few properties for sale have slowed Wall Street’s home buying. Wall Street Journal ) • AI is a turbo-charger for the $1.4tn side hustle economy, apparently : The future contains multitudes.

Medical 130

Medical Management Economy Economics 130

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Two examples: not reaching a fiscal agreement and going off the "fiscal cliff" probably would have led to a recession, and Congress refusing to "pay the bills" would have been a policy error that would have taken the economy into recession. This has happened , but this usually leads the economy by a year or more.

Sales 144

Sales Economy Engineering Investments 144

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 30, 2023

While economic growth may have peaked in the third quarter, we expect the economy to remain supportive. With the economy on firm footing and sentiment turning pessimistic, we remain optimistic a significant year-end rally is still possible. The Energizer Bunny Economy You just can’t put this economy down.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 96

Carson Wealth

MAY 13, 2024

Economic data remains supportive, according to the Carson Leading Economic Indicator, which is pointing to above-trend growth. While some cracks may be forming, the economy remains on firm footing. Admittedly, it can be hard to get a full picture of the economy as the data rolls in week after week. and 28 other countries.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 97

Trade Brains

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

Yes Bank vs IDFC Bank : Banks are the economic engine. The higher the asset quality of banks, the better the state of the economy. Banks facilitate the flow of money in markets following monetary policy, which determines the economy’s growth and decline. 2019-20 ₹ 6,793.96 ₹ 6,012.05 2020-21 ₹ 7,428.35 ₹ 7,383.03

Banking 104

Banking Planning Accounting Retail 104

Carson Wealth

JULY 8, 2024

The economy added 206,000 jobs in June, ahead of expectations of 190,000. That is the best ‘worst day of the month’ since November 2019 and second best since February 2017! Fortunately, the doers drive the economy; the thinkers only report on it. million, which matches the 2019 average. Doers are optimists.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 97

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 23, 2024

But we think now is more like the normalization cuts we saw in 1984, 1995, and 2019, all of which saw continued gains a year later. It turns out they are and the last time we saw this was in 2019. All this is very positive for the economy. And if economic growth remains resilient, bond yields should not be moving lower.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 96

Carson Wealth

MAY 6, 2024

This Bull Market Is Still Young As we’ve been saying for close to 18 months, we think we are in a new bull market and the economy will avoid a recession over the coming year. The April jobs number showed a healthy job market while easing concerns that the economy is overheating. Not much has changed, and we still feel this way.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 97

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 1, 2019

2019 Year-End Planning Letter. Fri, 11/01/2019 - 13:44. Each year’s gift tax annual exclusion expires at the end of that year; therefore clients who wish to use their 2019 exclusion amount should make annual exclusion gifts to all desired beneficiaries before December 31. Opportunity Zone Investments.

Planning 52

Planning Taxes Clients Estate Planning 52

Carson Wealth

JULY 29, 2024

Q2 GDP Growth Confirms Economic Resilience The economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.8% It’s a very solid, but not spectacular, number, just in the top half of all quarters since 2010, but looking at it in the context of the rate environment shows just how resilient the economy has been. almost broke the economy in 2019.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Transportation 97

Investing Caffeine

DECEMBER 1, 2022

The buffet of issues includes the Federal Reserve’s fastest rate hike cycle in decades ( see chart below ), spiking inflation, a slowing economy, an unresolved war between Russia and Ukraine, declining home prices, and a volatile stock market to boot. Bets are changing daily, but after starting the year at a 0.0% But wait, there’s more!

Economy 111

Economy Government Economics CFP 111

Trade Brains

MARCH 3, 2024

The core sectors of the economy, such as agriculture, infrastructure, and building services, constantly require pumps, which facilitates the growing importance of the pump sector in the country. between 2023 and 2028, the Indian pump industry is a direct function of the progress of various sectors in the economy. 5-year average 10.96

Planning 111

Planning Manufacturing Government Engineering 111

Carson Wealth

AUGUST 12, 2024

The late week rebound was supported by better economic data, including some good jobs-related numbers. But as the week progressed things calmed down and better economic data showed fears of a recession were once again overblown. The current number remains consistent with the 2018-2019 average, despite a larger labor force now.

Marketing 95

Marketing Marketing Numbers Economy 95

Trade Brains

FEBRUARY 8, 2024

Industry Overview India has been the fastest-growing major economy in the last few years. During the year, India became the 5th largest economy in the world. The tyre demand in India is expected to grow stronger given the rebounding economic activities and the big push by the government of India for infrastructure growth in the nation.

Planning 105

Planning Manufacturing Government Portfolio 105

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

If the economy remains strong (as we expect), that would matter much more than just about anything else. Here’s What the October Payroll Report Really Tells Us About the Economy October payrolls were a big disappointment, with job growth clocking in at just 12,000. The 2017-2019 pace was 3.1%.) on average, well above the 7.1%

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96

Carson Wealth

APRIL 29, 2024

The Headline GDP Number Masks a Strong Economy The economy grew 1.6% Excluding these categories provides a much clearer picture of actual spending and production in the economy, i.e., final demand after adjusting for inflation. in the first quarter, well above the 2010-2019 average pace of 2.4%. Think of it like core GDP.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 97

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

Although many were worried, the economy remained quite strong and odds were high the Fed was done hiking rates. The economy is normalizing, which could loosen tight financial conditions and boost cyclical activity. million in 2019. The October payroll report indicates the economy is slowing from its red-hot pace.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96