Remove 2019 Remove Economics Remove Portfolio
article thumbnail

Supply Chain Is 40% of Inflation

The Big Picture

That is according to a study by Julian di Giovanni, who publishes at the NY Fed’s blog Liberty Street Economics. inflation over the 2019-21 period was due to the jump in demand for goods while 40 percent owed to supply-side issues that magnified the impact of this higher demand.”. Liberty Street Economics, August 24, 2022).

Medicine 363
article thumbnail

What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?

The Big Picture

I run through 30 charts in 30 minutes that explain where we are in the economic cycle, what markets are doing, and what it means to their portfolios. Since 2019, Households invested more, home values jumped, and savings levels have risen. This quarter, it was Sentiment. .” 2 Regardless, something is amiss.

Media 351
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

In The Long Run, Stocks Outperform Bonds… Or Do They?

Nerd's Eye View

Every document that considers the facts around any particular asset class will invariably include that disclaimer, but constructing a portfolio consisting of a mix of equities, fixed income, and other assets requires investors and advicers to make some fundamental assumptions around long-term expected returns and correlations between assets.

article thumbnail

MiB: Ed Yardeni on the Roaring 20s

The Big Picture

.” We discuss how his unusual career developed, with his covering both Investment strategy AND economic analysis. He has put together an enviable track record of analyzing when risk is low or high, and how investors should be positioning their portfolios.

article thumbnail

At the Money: How To Know When The Fed Will Cut

The Big Picture

To help us unpack all of this and what it means for your portfolio, let’s bring in Jim Bianco, Chief Strategist at Bianco Research, and His firm has been providing objective and unconventional research and commentary to portfolio managers since 1990, and it is top rated amongst institutional traders. If the Fed is cutting rates.

Numbers 288
article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead, but First an Election

Carson Wealth

In 2019, monthly job growth averaged 166,000 but we saw four months with 100,000 or fewer jobs created. The 2017-2019 pace was 3.1%.) If economic growth is expected to be strong, there’s presumably less reason for the Fed to cut rates by a lot. Keep in mind that the Fed was easing rates even in 2019, amidst a solid job market.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

There are a lot of opportunities to diversify portfolios so they arent as concentrated as the S&P 500. Thats running at a solid 170,000 per month, versus an average of 166,000 in 2019. million in 2023 but well in the ballpark of what we saw in 2017-2019 (2.1 in 2018-2019. in 2018-2019). Thats up from 3.7%