Remove 2019 Remove Economy Remove Financial Services
article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead, but First an Election

Carson Wealth

If the economy remains strong (as we expect), that would matter much more than just about anything else. Here’s What the October Payroll Report Really Tells Us About the Economy October payrolls were a big disappointment, with job growth clocking in at just 12,000. The 2017-2019 pace was 3.1%.) on average, well above the 7.1%

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. The economy created over 2 million jobs in 2024, down from 2.4

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Tariffs Have Increased Market Uncertainty, but Job Growth Remains Solid

Carson Wealth

The worries are growing, from a potentially slowing economy, to a growing and more aggressive trade war, to worries over Washington policy. Then five years ago we shut down our economy during a once-a-century pandemic. The economy created 151,000 jobs in February, more or less consistent with expectations.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Stocks Hit New Highs Amid a Year of Milestones

Carson Wealth

Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Retail and food service sales have increased at an 8.6% Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4% after adjusting for inflation, matching the average annual pace between 2010 and 2019. Since then, the economy has accelerated.

Marketing 143
article thumbnail

Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly. In 2019, average monthly job growth was 166,000. Strong May gains historically suggest more gains to come.

Marketing 142
article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Things You Don’t See in a Recession

Carson Wealth

It is important to remember that stocks lead the economy, both on the way up and the way down. To us, this is the market’s way of saying the economy will continue to see solid growth next year. Stocks tend to lead the economy, and several major indexes are near new highs, which is a good signal for the economy.

Marketing 142