article thumbnail

In The Long Run, Stocks Outperform Bonds… Or Do They?

Nerd's Eye View

So, although the entire 227-year span of McQuarrie's analysis from 1793 to 2019 was weakly supportive of Siegel's conclusions, there were subperiods where bonds actually outperformed stocks, leading McQuarrie to conclude that there was no consistent relationship between asset outperformance and length of holding period to which values must revert.

article thumbnail

Halftime Reading

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

If someone bought the Mystery Fund in late 2019, they wouldn't have been chasing heat even but a year later there probably would have been a ton of regret. The point is to understand that a portfolio that is valid for a long term investment plan will have periods where it lags in a frustrating manner.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: S&P 500 Tops 5,000. What’s Next?

Carson Wealth

What a ride it has been, but investors were once again rewarded for sticking to their investment plans. over the last three quarters of 2023, which is the largest non-recessionary gain since the late 1990s and more than double the pace of productivity growth between 2005 and 2019. Despite this, annual inflation fell from 5.4%

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Bull Keeps Going, 15 Years Since Global Financial Crisis

Carson Wealth

Yet, longer-term investors have once again been rewarded for sticking to their investment plans. For perspective, monthly job growth in 2019 averaged 166,000. Near bear markets in 2011 and 2018, a 100-year pandemic bear market in 2020 and then another bear market in 2022 made it anything but an easy 15 years.

article thumbnail

Five Sources of Alpha in an Aging Market Cycle

Brown Advisory

Five Sources of Alpha in an Aging Market Cycle ajackson Fri, 10/18/2019 - 10:30 For the past decade, investors have enjoyed a long climb up the “wall of worry.” 17% 3/31/1954- 9/30/2019 Price/Book Value 3.4 17% 3/31/1990- 9/30/2019 EV/EBITDA 13.3 29% 12/31/1990- 9/30/2019 Shiller P/E 29.0 Further, U.S.

article thumbnail

Five Sources of Alpha in an Aging Market Cycle

Brown Advisory

Fri, 10/18/2019 - 10:30. We believe that public equities and fixed income should always be the bedrock of most long-term investment plans, but there are other ways to earn alpha that are largely independent from the market’s movements. CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index, 1/1/2007-8/30/2019. Trailing P/E. 3/31/1954-.

article thumbnail

How To Become A Less-Stressed Millionaire

Gen Y Planning

In this blog, we’ll be utilizing data found by Fidelity Investments Millionaire Outlook Study from 2019. Unfortunately, in 2019, this index went into the negatives for the first time. More than 8% of US adults fit the bill by this definition. How Financially Stressed Are Millionaires? But wait, there’s more.