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Timing the Stock Market Using Valuations

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: My asset allocation has been pretty conservative since the market run-up in 2020. My basic thesis is that the market is overvalued, and the only way I can keep myself in equities at all is to have a 60/40 stock/bond allocation.

Valuation 122
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Investing is the Study of Human Decision Making

The Big Picture

Whether we are talking about important milestones in life or your asset allocation, don’t let your decision-making default setting be “auto-pilot.”

Investing 246
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Five Things to do During a Stock Market Correction

The Chicago Financial Planner

After a strong finish in 2020 and very solid returns in 2021, we’ve seen a lot of market volatility so far in 2022. Ideally you’ve been rebalancing your portfolio along the way and your asset allocation is largely in line with your plan and your risk tolerance. The S&P 500 index was down about 17.6%

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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Big Investors Are Giving Up on Crypto Markets Going Mainstream : Bitcoin as a portfolio diversifier hasn’t worked for investors Crypto won’t ‘find a home in institutional asset allocation’. Bloomberg ). Wall Street Journal ). • Morningstar ). Institutional Investor ). USA Today ).

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A Few Thoughts On Diversification Strategies

Fortune Financial

It has been my experience when reviewing portfolios that diversification is typically expressed simply as a number of various stocks owned, or owning a handful of asset classes, usually stocks of various sizes and geographies, and bonds of varying maturities.

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The Super Bowl and Your Investments

The Chicago Financial Planner

Kansas City won the 2020 game and the market had an up year in spite of the impact of COVID-19. Perhaps it’s time to rebalance and to rethink your ongoing asset allocation. That said, they did play in the AFC in their first year of existence but that’s getting too technical for this blog post. Take stock of where you are.

Investing 184
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Nouriel Roubini Enters The ETF Fray

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

There's no fact sheet yet and while the holdings are available, the asset allocation is vague without calculating the spreadsheet yourself which I did (hopefully correctly). It did decline about 5% in the 2020 Pandemic Crash and in 2022 it was up 1.36%. The backtest runs from the start of 2011 to the end of 2020.