Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 5, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 140

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 140

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 8, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 140

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 140

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 1, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 144

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 144

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 4, 2024

jacc.org) Economy The July JOLTS report was not great. bonddad.blogspot.com) Job openings are at their lowest level since December 2020. (quartr.com) GLP-1s WeGovy use reduces the risk of stroke, heart attack in obese patients. news.harvard.edu) People on semaglitude fared better with Covid. axios.com) The jobs market is vulnerable.

Financial Advising 261

Financial Advising Manufacturing Media Economy 261

Your Richest Life

DECEMBER 22, 2023

As 2023 comes to a close, we can take a look at how the markets and economy performed, where we stand now, and what might be on the horizon for 2024. In fact, during the first three quarters of the year, the economy grew at a rate of 3.2 All in all, the markets and economy performed stronger than anticipated in 2023.

Economy 52

Economy Marketing Marketing Financial Planner 52

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 22, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 116

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 116

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 31, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 104

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 104

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 26, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Bell Investment Advisors

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

The broader economy surprises, too. First, this is a degree of expansion that is approximately double any quarterly growth rate seen since the post-COVID rebound of 2020 to 2021. With a seemingly unstoppable labor market and an economy that’s defied recession expectations, why have most financial markets declined since July?

Economy 52

Economy Economics Numbers Investment Advisor 52

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 5, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 24, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 106

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 106

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 14, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Discipline Funds

OCTOBER 20, 2023

Let’s look at the scorecard: Bitcoin – it boomed in 2020 well in advance of the big inflation spike in 2021 & 2022 and weirdly busted as inflation reared its ugly head. Gold & Commodities – They largely did the same thing except they boomed in early 2020 and meandered sideways since.

Economy 76

Economy Retail Government Banking 76

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 29, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 104

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 104

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 17, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 97

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 97

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 10, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 28, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 94

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 94

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 19, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 92

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 92

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 12, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 89

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 89

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 11, 2023

The Equity Beat: Old Economy Stocks Aging Like Fine Wine mhannan Fri, 08/11/2023 - 17:10 Unlike my good friends who frequent Baltimore’s finest dining establishments about as often as the division-leading Orioles win (you know who you are), I would never be confused for a wine connoisseur. was only marginally better.

Economy 98

Economy Manufacturing Clients Economics 98

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 18, 2022

Sure, RRE/CRE is a huge part of the economy, so its health is always important. But for the purposes of our discussion about the state of the economy and rising interest rates, Real Estate is where the rubber meets the road. Rising Fed Funds Rates make capital and credit more expensive; the calculus around both debt and equity shifts.

Budgeting 363

Budgeting Economy Taxes Economics 363

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 15, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 21, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 86

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 86

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 13, 2024

ft.com) Economy Weekly initial unemployment claims are clearly headed higher. econbrowser.com) The Misery Index is down from its peak in 2020. (snyder.substack.com) Russia is putting stolen Ukrainian children up for adoption. bonddad.blogspot.com) Food is no longer a big part of inflation.

Financial Advising 263

Financial Advising Food Media Economy 263

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 13, 2023

1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 1% in 2022 as the economy slowed following the economic rebound in 2021. How much will the economy grow in 2023? The other two times were in early 2007 (housing bust), and in March 2020 (pandemic). 2020 -2.8% -1.5% Or will the economy lose jobs? 2009 -2.6%

Economy 109

Economy Sales Economics Investing 109

Calculated Risk

JULY 25, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 12, 2023

2) Employment: The economy added 4.5 Or will the economy lose jobs? If the Fed drives the economy into recession (to cool inflation), then we could see job losses in 2023. Or will the economy lose jobs? I'm adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. million jobs in 2022.

Economy 93

Economy Economics Sales Numbers 93

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 22, 2023

ft.com) Cardi B’s 2020 hit “WAP” plays a big role in 'Dumb Money.' ft.com) Economy The Fed doesn't know more than anyone else where the economy is going. (capitalspectator.com) Dumb Money There are no heroes in 'Dumb Money.' morningstar.com) The so-called bad guys in 'Dumb Money' are stronger than ever.

Financial Advising 263

Financial Advising Startup Economy Media 263

The Big Picture

JUNE 26, 2023

Rising rates, falling savings, increased deficits, dubious GDP : Ever since the yield curve inverted and warnings of “imminent recession” filled the air, the Philly Fed’s map of State Coincident Indexes has provided a good real-time snapshot of the state of the economy. Previously : Are We in a Recession? (No)

Economy 318

Economy Banking Marketing Marketing 318

The Big Picture

JANUARY 1, 2024

economy will likely perform in 2024, and if there are surprises – like in 2020 with the pandemic – to adjust my thinking. Calculated Risk ) see also It’s okay to be optimistic about the economy next year : A recession didn’t come in 2023 and it might not in 2024, either. ( She has been CEO February 2020.

Economy 268

Economy Distribution Clients Management 268

The Big Picture

JANUARY 3, 2023

Holding onto expectations of major shifts in key drivers of the markets and the economy – merely due to the changing of the calendar – is a carryover from the days when the calendar mattered much more. We can credit three elements for this massive outperformance: -Substantial prices resets: 57% in 2008-09 and 34% in 2020.

Economy 326

Economy Economics Portfolio Marketing 326

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 3, 2022

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Blue is for 2020.

Economy 73

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 73

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 10, 2024

How much will the economy grow in 2024? A year ago, I argued that "the economy will avoid recession" in 2023, even though some key indicators suggested a possible recession, the FOMC was forecasting an employment recession, and many Wall Street analysts were forecasting an economic recession. 2020 -2.2% -1.1% 2008 0.1% -2.5%

Economy 78

Economy Sales Economics Investing 78

Advisor Perspectives

MAY 17, 2024

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) decreased in April to its lowest level since April 2020. The index fell 0.6% from last month to 101.8. Overall, the LEI continues to signal softer economic conditions lay ahead for the U.S.

Economics 127

Economics Economy 127

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 7, 2022

economy was in a recession, up from 53% in June and 48% in May.1 The NBER defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.” Some short recessions (including the 2020 downturn) were over by the time they were officially announced.5.

Economy 52

Economy Economics Retail Tax Planning 52

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 8, 2023

stripe.press) Economy The November NFP report showed an increase of 199k jobs and a 3.7% bonddad.blogspot.com) 5 million more Americans are working now than in January 2020. (nytimes.com) How to get free online access to the updated version of "Poor Charlie's Almanack." unemployment rate.

Financial Advising 263

Financial Advising Media Economy Economics 263

Advisor Perspectives

JANUARY 22, 2024

the index's lowest reading since May 2020. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell for a 21st straight month in December as the LEI continues to signal underlying weakness in the U.S. The index inched down 0.1% from last month to 103.1,

Economics 133

Economics Economy 133