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At least one person1 has noticed the risks to young consumers of social media: Since August 2020, @TikTokInvestors has been curating the most outrageous money-losing and dangerous videos culled from the “financial experts” at TikTok. Nestled in between lip-sync dancers and fashion influencers, financial fraud lurks on TikTok.
KCP Group ). • Your Career Is Just One-Eighth of Your Life : Five pieces of career advice, shaped by economics, psychology, and a little bit of existential math. ( History by numbers : Is history a matter of individual agency and action, or of finding and quantifying underpinning structures and patterns? The Atlantic ). •
That number is from a Bankrate article I found on a Google search. I'd be curious to hear if anyone else does the same search and finds a different number of lost coins. First, is the math right based on my numbers? That roughly two million Bitcoin is actually more than 10% because approximately 3.8
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. 2020 Pandemic Panic ?!? ( Businessweek ) but see With cash earning 5%, why risk money on the stock market?
Let’s put some numbers to this to explain why. The math on the 40% slice is much cleaner. When that 5 year instrument was yielding 0.25% like it was in 2020 that meant that every 1% increase in interest rates was offset by just 0.25% of interest along the way. This is irrational/emotional storytelling.
He co-chairs a number of the asset management investment committees. So I interviewed with a bunch of banks, got a number of job offers by the end of the week, and joined Goldman Sachs in October 1998. I ended up being hired onto the high yield desk as a research analyst and did that for a number of years, a couple of years.
I’m good at math and science and you know, I always had an idea what go into business, but I felt that electrical engineering would be a good foundation. And so there was a number of less liquid markets that made for quite wide spreads. And you know, I think ultimately there was a number of opportunities that came out.
Barry Ritholtz : The the funny thing is, the behavioral aspect of mutual funds seems to have been when people finally learn about a manager who’s put up great numbers, by the time it makes to make makes it to Forbes, hey, most of that run is probably over and a little mean reversion is about to kick in. I did it in 2000, 2002.
WENGER: No, we’ve definitely always been disciplined on valuation, and we’ve let a number of things go. We went from having religions where, you know, everything was a spirit, a tree, a rock, everything had a spirit, and then we went from that to theistic religions where there was some different number of gods.
For the 5 year bull market you could simplistically add 10% per year or 50% total in dividends and for this year 7 or 8% (six months worth) back in which changes the numbers considerably. PUTW maybe snapped back half of what the S&P 500 did in March/April 2020. Yahoo doesn't show total return. Unlike QYLD, the dividend at only a 1.5%
Alicia’s Experience One of my earliest experiences when I first decided to get into financial planning was participating in the Financial Planning Association’s Externship Program in the summer of 2020. The first being an increase in the number of women actually filling those professional roles, which I previously discussed.
Commodities can easily go down with equities or in the case of the pandemic crash, the Invesco DB Commodity Tracking Fund (DBC) dropped more than the S&P 500 during the Pandemic Crash of 2020 and took longer to snap back. and that is the number I will assume. The math shows the NTSX/ARBIX/BTAL combo would be down 14.7%
One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. New York is number one. Two reasons.
I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. One, we also saw a record number of credit card openings in Q1 and Q2.
Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills. If it can generate that sort of total return which is yet to be proven, and if, I say if, it delivers that sort of number with less volatility than the broad market then its attractiveness improves.
The curve, however, continues to project cuts to the rate beginning next May, which seems optimistic given the tone of Fed officials and the math around getting inflation back close to their 2% target. Core CPI will likely grow, as the headline number benefits from falling gas prices, and shelter prices increase.
ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing.
The blue line is equities and the red line is bonds up until the end of 2020. As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% It's not that 60/40, or some other combination of numbers is bad or dead, more like how we build the 40 or other number maybe needs to be different. That's not a new idea here by any means.
So that’s, that’s number one. 00:21:42 [Speaker Changed] Yeah, I mean, I think, well, what set us up was we, you know, we got the low right in 2020 for the right reasons. So we were very aggressive in 2020 and 2021. And nobody paid him any attention back in 2020. So your probability of being correct Okay.
They aren’t likely to get rid of the person who knows the numbers. If you’re good with math, then turning to financial planning or accounting or opening up a similar company could be one of the best recession proof businesses to start! The national pet industry made over $100 billion in sales for the first time in history in 2020!
Number one, a school district is a business. And number two, and I think that they were like, I’m sure there’s a note coming after this with a congressional allocation, and it never came. BRYANT: Number two, money is emotional. BRYANT: So money, unlike math, money is highly emotional. RITHOLTZ: Right.
I think what’s important, though, and what’s key is that we found ourselves at a very interesting point in time, in 2020, in the wake of George Floyd, in the middle of COVID. Number one, and I think they both reflect strong leadership at the firms. SHAW: Yeah. So I think there are two factors. SHAW: That’s right.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. We forget that there weren’t personal computers on everybody’s desk back then. That’s the opportunity set.
And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. I was employee number 10. RITHOLTZ: Which is really a pretty big number. 2020 was a huge year.
Kurtosis is a very fancy word where the higher the number, the greater the risk of an outlier result like 2022. A lower number is a mathematical representation of smoothing out the ride via fewer/smaller outlier results. The math is only off by a shade using leverage via UST and a little bit of SSO, remember RPAR is leveraged.
And it worked out and had multiple job offers coming out of school from a number of different insurance companies. I had a number of relationships that I built up and had another job lined up in New York City. DAVIS: So when we think about how those teams are evaluated, it’s a three-year number. So how did you perform?
And when used for ROE, as per the basic rule of math, if the denominator decreases, the fraction as whole increases i.e, The ROE numbers from 2018 to 2022 are 57.17%, 49.79%, 42.74%, 71.64%, and 83.3% Company 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Average 5 yr. Company 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Average 5 yr. higher ROE. respectively.
However, by doing a little math, you can easily determine your hourly wage from your annual salary. Calculate the number of hours you work in a year: 40 Hours per week X 52 weeks = 2080 Hours per year. For 2020, the federal poverty level for a single person without dependents is $12,760. 55K a Year Is How Much an Hour? .
And like I say, that’s part of why it’s translated to a number of people coming to BlackRock and be with me today. RIEDER: So I had known Larry Fink and Rob Caputo, our CEO and president, for a number of years. And you know, it’s been an honor to have a number of awards to it. So yeah, man, that was the idea.
.” It’s really helpful to have had five other meetings with people who sit at analogous funds that had losses that were just as big, and in fact, they may have contributed to those losses more and be able to tell him, first off, your fund, just by my math, has a $250 million management fee. These are big numbers.
Over the last five years, it missed out on the stock market rally until late 2020 when it went parabolic, then drifted lower for much 2021. We dove in on the math at my old URL (sad story, no longer exists) and the math checks out. Sometimes it outperforms the S&P 500 and sometimes it doesn't.
But in the Mustachian Era (the years since 2011 when I started writing this blog ), there has only been one: the 2020 Covid Crash which only lasted about a month. It’s fun math – a 20% drop in prices means you get 25% more shares for your dollar, and a 50% drop means twice as many , or 100% more shares per dollar invested.).
While the data isnt as black and white as other aspects of finance, the impact of behavioral finance is clearjust consider the Covid-induced crash in February 2020 or the meme stock phenomenon of 2021 (to name a few more recent events). Behavior Finance and Your Portfolio So much of the concept of investing is about logic, math, and numbers.
This is a simple math issue—refinancing a $100,000 mortgage will lower the monthly payment by a much smaller amount than refinancing a $1,000,000 jumbo mortgage, while the fixed costs of refinancing will be relatively much more burdensome for the $100,000 mortgage than for the $1,000,000 mortgage. trillion increase in the value of U.S.
.” @23KGibby @Dodgers @MLB ","username":"TheVinScully","name":"Vin Scully","date":"Thu Oct 15 23:29:30 +0000 2020","photos":[{"img_url":"[link] Vin Scully @TheVinScully Hi everybody. “I was prepared anyway when Vin Scully said that, but I did respond.”
SEIDES: But market returns across — RITHOLTZ: The past decade, 2010 to 2020, we were what? Or at least the top, pick a number, 30, 40%. I don’t remember the number. ” 29, 87, 74, just pick any 50 plus percent number and certainly 2000 and ’08, ’09, a major index gets cut in half.
We all know that a 55% hit rate is the top decile across the industry, and the maths above demonstrates why. We have both of these potential investments on our Ready-to-Buy list, and both had gotten to within 10% of prices where we thought they represented very good value in the past few years (Nvidia in Oct 2022, Novo Nordisk in Dec 2020).
We remain highly dubious of price-to-earnings ratios as a proxy for value given earnings can be distorted by “creative” accounting and the measure embeds a range of factors into a single number. How different to when we wrote the 2Q 2020 letter (link) and we were being asked about taking our WACC down! The last time U.S.
Three subsequent sales in 2020. 00:40:26 [Speaker Changed] They, they know, they know math, they know math. That that’s a serious 01:08:03 [Speaker Changed] Media number. That’s a whole nother thing. So I mentioned Barstool was sold. Let, let’s go over that. That’s real money.
And so if you compare that to today, if you remember Oaktree raised $15 billion fund in 2020, on its own. For example, you talk about the 2020 distressed cycle, and it’s interesting to me that it was so short, so shallow. If you think of the biggest bankruptcy in 2020 was Hertz. RITHOLTZ: There’s safety in numbers.
And I was a math nerd as a kid. And because my mother and grandmother were looking at these trying to figure out what was going on, I was curious about the sea of numbers. And 00:28:03 [Speaker Changed] That’s an amazing number. And the value line has all these statistical patterns. If it’s a cyclical low Yeah.
Of course, it’s one thing to get strong numbers, but it’s even better when the data are strong for the right reasons. It measures the number of people aged 25-54 who are employed, as a percent of the total number within this cohort that could potentially be employed. in inflation-adjusted terms in 2023. in October 2023).
Math is powerful. Winning as a gambler is tough generally , but there are typically several Super Bowl bets where simple math demonstrates that the line is off (in terms of reality if not in terms of equalizing the total bets). If you know and can apply it, math is a major edge in gambling about football and elsewhere.
Peter Borish, founding partner number two at Tudor Investments where he worked directly with Paul Tudor Jones, most famously helping him put on a very aggressive short position heading into the ’87 crash. .” RITHOLTZ: So literally number two at the firm? And so it’s one of these things that math works.
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