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Timing the Stock Market Using Valuations

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: My asset allocation has been pretty conservative since the market run-up in 2020. One thing I like about having the 60/40 split is that it gives me the option of changing to a more aggressive allocation if stock valuations fall. I have nagging doubts that my alloc.

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Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields - October 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of November 8, it was 4.30%.

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Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields - September 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of October 4, it was 3.98%.

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Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields

Advisor Perspectives

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of April 30, it was 4.69%.

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Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields

Advisor Perspectives

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of May 31, it was 4.51%.

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Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields - August 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of August 31, it was 3.91%.

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Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields

Advisor Perspectives

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of February 29, it was 4.25%.