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(An investor pondering those questions might take comfort knowing that many assets in the past have outpaced even above-average inflation.). Throughout the year, the market continued a relatively steady rise, with large cap stocks in the US ending 2021 near a record high. The S&P 500 Index1 generated returns of 28.71%.
As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term assetallocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.
The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical AssetAllocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. In late 2021, markets expected the Fed to largely stay on the sidelines and keep short-term interest rates low.
However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical assetallocation perspective. Diversification does not protect against market risk.
Retail sales data from the Census Bureau (we focus on the Retail Sales excluding Food Service, Autos, Building Materials, and Gas Stations statistics) has shown year-over-year growth, slow from the average mid-teens numbers seen in 2021, to a still healthy upper-single digits number in 2022 [Figure 2]. over the last 20 years, pre-2020.
in 2021 and 2.1% The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical AssetAllocation Committee (STAAC) recommends a slight overweight allocation to equities, favors value over growth, small caps over large caps, and the energy, healthcare, and industrials sectors. What Does This Mean for You?
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) print decelerated toward the lower end of expectations, with overall headline inflation falling to the lowest level since April 2021. Assetallocation does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Diversification does not protect against market risk.
Also blurring the line between active and passive is the fact that some investors may use index funds to pursue an active investment approach. For example, the largest S&P 500 ETF had the highest average daily trade volume of US-listed securities in 2021, at $31 billion USD.2
Adapt your approach Late starters should consider a strategic shift in their assetallocation. Balancing risk with stable, reliable investments is crucial to minimize the impact of market volatility and ensure a steady income stream during retirement.
When LPL Research released the Outlook 2022: Passing the Baton in December 2021, the team’s view was that the hit from inflation would be manageable and would therefore limit the number and magnitude of interest rate increases, enable the U.S. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations.
According to recent 2021 data, 95% of employers offered some form of contribution to employees, either matching or non-matching. You can also consider hiring a financial advisor for this purpose. As a Registered InvestmentAdvisor (RIA) firm with the SEC, they are fiduciaries who put clients’ interests ahead of everything else.
The report examined the results of two types of funds7, each holding a mix of stocks and bonds: Balanced: Minimal change in allocation to stocks. Tactical AssetAllocation: Periodic shifts in allocation to stocks. Arnott, “Tactical AssetAllocation: Don’t Try This at Home,” Morningstar, September 20, 2021.
This is what happened in 2018 2019, but during the recent bout of high inflation (in 2021 2022), companies passed down costs and margins even expanded. to 16 million vehicles (seasonally adjusted annualized rate), higher than at any point between June 2021 and September 2024. Investors cannot invest directly in indices.
For instance copper, often referred to as Dr. Copper for its ability to forecast economic conditions, just hit its lowest level since February 2021. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial (LPL), a registered inv estment advisor and broker -dealer (member FINRA/SIPC). Click here to download a PDF of this report.
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