Truemind Capital

JANUARY 16, 2024

Some of the fund managers continued discouraging flows in Mid & Small Cap stocks by either sounding cautious, dropping coverage, or stopping the inflows owing to frothy valuations in the space. We maintain our underweight position to equity (check the 3rd page for asset allocation) due to an unfavorable risk-reward ratio.

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Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 26, 2024

Indian households traditionally invested most savings in physical assets. However, financial asset allocation increased recently. Revenue Segments Particulars Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Segments 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 Trading ₹13,586.63 ₹11,182.54 ₹7,762.80 ₹4,848.29 ₹2,832.41

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Truemind Capital

SEPTEMBER 13, 2021

Sentiment cycles move from one extreme of greed to another extreme of fear which takes valuations also to extremes from their long-term averages. At the extreme of fear sentiment (which coincides with dirt-cheap valuations), the risk-reward is highly favorable i.e., higher potential upside with lower potential downside risk.

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James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

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ClearMoney

NOVEMBER 4, 2021

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Retail sales data from the Census Bureau (we focus on the Retail Sales excluding Food Service, Autos, Building Materials, and Gas Stations statistics) has shown year-over-year growth, slow from the average mid-teens numbers seen in 2021, to a still healthy upper-single digits number in 2022 [Figure 2]. over the last 20 years, pre-2020.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

When LPL Research released the Outlook 2022: Passing the Baton in December 2021, the team’s view was that the hit from inflation would be manageable and would therefore limit the number and magnitude of interest rate increases, enable the U.S. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations.

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Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

As I pointed out last month, we are coming off a heroic advance over the last three years (2019/2020/2021) with the S&P 500 soaring +90%. Not only are corporate profits at record levels, they are also expected to grow at a healthy rate (+10% in 2022, +10% in 2023) after mind-boggling growth of +50% in 2021 ( see chart below ).

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James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

in 2021 and 2.1% Higher interest rates are challenging stock valuations and perhaps pushing the gains further out in 2023, but we still see solid potential for double-digit returns for stocks this year. Earnings per share (EPS) is the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 20, 2024

And so in the 1990s, I developed the, the late 1980s, early 1990s, I developed a skillset around valuation, in particular discounted cash flow or residual income type models, along with a couple of peers out of the consulting industry. It pushes valuations higher over time. 00:04:02 That’s what value add software was originally.

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James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) print decelerated toward the lower end of expectations, with overall headline inflation falling to the lowest level since April 2021. Earnings per share (EPS) is the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. All index data from FactSet.

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Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2021

ajackson Mon, 10/11/2021 - 11:55 Endowment and Foundation (E&F) Investment Committees often consider the value of alternatives for their nonprofit. We believe that the investment return needed to achieve that objective should be the most important guidepost for a portfolio’s asset allocation. Source: BLOOMBERG.

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Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2021

Mon, 10/11/2021 - 11:55. We believe that the investment return needed to achieve that objective should be the most important guidepost for a portfolio’s asset allocation. With traditional assets like stocks and bonds at high valuations, the implications for future returns of those assets may be underwhelming.

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Assets Portfolio Risk Tolerance Asset Allocation 52

Dear Mr. Market

MARCH 17, 2024

EOG is poised to breakout and trades at bargain valuation of about nine times earnings (relative to the S&P at 23 times earnings and a touch under the overall energy sector of 12 times earnings). That said, it loses early in round one simply due to us believing it’s close to full valuation and due for a breather.

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Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

T he stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years 2019/2020/2021, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. After this meteoric multi-year rise, stock values started to come back to earth in 2022, and the rocket ship turned into a roller coaster during January.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

So there’s been a big push for folks to get the appropriate level of asset allocation in a highly diversified, low cost way. But if you go back to the period before 2022, from 2019 to 2021, a 60/40 portfolio actually produced 14% returns over that time horizon, which is above the long-term average. RITHOLTZ: Right.

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Validea

JANUARY 4, 2023

After a tough decade for simple systematic value strategies from 2011-2021 this model bounced back very well in 2022. Throughout 2022 the most expensive stocks were the ones hit hardest as valuations started to normalize in a new world of higher interest rates. Mohanram called this the “G-Score”. and -6.1%, respectively.

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The Better Letter

JANUARY 26, 2024

The DJIA did reach 35,000 in June 2021, but Dent had long been a permabear by then. In March 2021, Dent called for a nearly 50 percent drop in the S&P 500 by June. In July 2021, he followed up with a prediction that equities would drop by 80 percent in the fall, which didn’t happen, either. percent in 2021.

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Truemind Capital

OCTOBER 17, 2023

The positive global perception and growing domestic inflows ensure that the premium valuations of the Indian market are maintained. Some of the institutions dropped coverage or discouraged investing in Mid & Small Cap stocks owing to very expensive valuations boosted primarily by retail participation lured by past returns.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 14, 2023

He launched his own firm right into the teeth of the collapse in ’09, which turned out to be quite a fortuitous time to launch an asset management shop. Everybody wants to sell a company when they get a good valuation. But I think, you know, for us, 2021, in general, towards the end of the year got very hard, right?

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The Big Picture

MARCH 12, 2024

They’re asset allocation model driven folks. And we’ve automated the, the appraisal process for valuation, both intrinsic value, meaning like, where would we pay it, where would we buy it, and where is the fair market price that asset from that level, from price and from consumer behavior now.

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The Big Picture

MAY 21, 2024

And one of the worst performing factors has been valuation. So we’re now in an environment where all the 45-year-old portfolio managers out there have been, have worked their entire careers in these momentum fueled markets, and they’ve been trained to believe that valuation doesn’t matter. I think that’s right.

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The Big Picture

JANUARY 27, 2025

Barry Ritholtz : So we’re talking about corporate culture November, 2020, you’re elevated from president to CEOI recall lots and lots of CEOs talking about in 2020 and 2021, right in the midst of the Covid pandemic, Hey, how are we gonna maintain a form of corporate culture? How do we keep everybody on the same page?

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James Hendries

JULY 6, 2022

While we acknowledge that a V-shaped recovery is probably not in the cards and prior valuation targets no longer appear achievable, we remain constructive on equities for the second half, but not complacent. Remember stock valuations are inversely correlated to inflation and interest rates. So a P/E over 20 is probably too rich.

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