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Market Commentary: Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead, but First an Election

Carson Wealth

If economic growth is expected to be strong, there’s presumably less reason for the Fed to cut rates by a lot. It seems like investors are a tad over-optimistic about growth and projecting the strong recent economic numbers out into the future. But those numbers are backward looking. Looking ahead, there are risks.

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Tax Advisor Weekly – April 4, 2025

Harness Wealth

How to Anticipate and Navigate Property Tax Scenarios for Businesses ( Carl Hoemke , CPA Practice Advisor) Property taxes and business license compliance present a complex landscape, especially when significant business events involving mergers, acquisitions, or expansion occur. Did you miss last weeks edition? You can find it here.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Tops 5,000. What’s Next?

Carson Wealth

A Strong Labor Market Is Key A lot of hiring took place in 2021 and 2022, with the economy more than recovering all the jobs lost in 2020. If a worker can get higher pay by switching jobs, which is what happened in 2021-2022, employers may have to pony up more to keep them. That’s another key factor that will push businesses to invest.

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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

Services spending accelerated at the fastest pace since the third quarter of 2021 when it was fueled by the pandemic recovery. Here’s the Big Picture As noted above, economic growth remains strong when factoring in the most important parts of the economy: household consumption, investment, and even government spending.

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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) actually measures this, via a metric called “part-time employment for economic reasons.” annualized, but well off the red-hot levels of 10%+ in 2021-2022 (when inflation surged), so the Fed should have little concern that the current rate could drive inflation higher.

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

In 2022, positive economic data typically led to a sell-off in the stock market, and weak data often led to a rally. Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. And that is what is happening now. The bull market continued last week, setting new highs.

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Market Commentary: The Case Against a Stock Market Bubble

Carson Wealth

More recently, the meme stock craze of 2021 stands out as a bubble. The Nasdaq has been practically flat since November 2021. That doesn’t exactly scream stocks have gone too far, does it? We’ve been overweight equities since December 2021, and we’re comfortable staying there. Trust me, there were many.