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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly. What Matters for the Economy: Consumption (and Incomes) Consumption runs on incomes, and the picture there is positive.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: The Case Against a Stock Market Bubble

Carson Wealth

More recently, the meme stock craze of 2021 stands out as a bubble. The Nasdaq has been practically flat since November 2021. That doesn’t exactly scream stocks have gone too far, does it? We’ve been overweight equities since December 2021, and we’re comfortable staying there. Trust me, there were many.

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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

A “Goldilocks” December jobs report highlights sustained momentum for the economy as it continues its path to normalization. The last time the S&P gained 20% (2021), stocks moved into a bear market the following year (2022), but the nine years before that (and 10 of the last 11) markets gained after a 20% year.

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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

The Headline GDP Number Masks a Strong Economy The economy grew 1.6% Excluding these categories provides a much clearer picture of actual spending and production in the economy, i.e., final demand after adjusting for inflation. After adjusting for inflation, the economy is almost 1% larger than the CBO projected.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Tops 5,000. What’s Next?

Carson Wealth

But now we have a healthy economy, well-contained inflation, a Federal Reserve set to cut rates, improving productivity, record earnings, and stocks at all-time highs. As we wrote in our 2024 Outlook, “Seeing Eye to Eye” ( download here ), productivity growth is a game-changer for the economy. equities in particular.

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Market Commentary: Stocks and the Economy Show Continued Strength

Carson Wealth

After a large reversal Thursday, stocks bounced back Friday, bolstered by the continued impressive performance of the economy (further details below). However, the last time this happened was in 2021, and that was followed by a drop of nearly 12%. Moderate” is Fedspeak for a strong economy. The economy grew 2.4%

Economy 52
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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. The economy ran above trend last year, despite high interest rates. Economy: This Time Was Different, and That’s a Big Deal The U.S. economy grew 5.8% And that is what is happening now.