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Nobody Knows Anything, Dot Plot Edition

The Big Picture

When it comes to forecasting economic outcomes, the Fed is no better or worse than anybody else. I know of no better authority to cite than Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, from his June 16, 2021 presser : “The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves. To wit: The Dot Plot.

Economics 325
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Banking crisis overshadowed the data, but inflation remains persistently elevated: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook

Nationwide Financial

The stresses in the banking system and ripple effects in the financial markets even overshadowed the incoming inflation data. Fed officials argue that they can separate changes in interest rates from banking/market/liquidity stresses due to the use of emergency Fed programs. percent, after a softer 0.8 Retail sales declined 0.4

Banking 98
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Best Financial Markets To Trade in 2024 – Top Trading Markets

Trade Brains

Best Financial Markets to Trade : Are you looking to explore the best financial markets to trade in 2024? It is obvious that we may occasionally get confused in our decision-making when faced with the many different pieces of advice regarding financial planning, trading, and investments. What are Financial Markets?

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Financial Market Round-Up – Jul’23

Truemind Capital

All the sectors went up with major sectoral growth seen in auto (up 22%), realty (up 33%), and consumer durables (up 13%) on the back of an improving economic outlook. The recent rally in the market has made the valuations more expensive compared to historical standards.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Jan’24

Truemind Capital

With the equity market seeing a rapid rise over the last quarter, a few investors start getting the feeling of missing out after hearing the stories in their social circle, thus wanting to get more aggressive towards equity at the wrong time. You can write to us at connect@truemindcapital.com or call us at 9999505324.

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Chart of the Week: More Signs of Disinflation

Discipline Funds

That’s the lowest rate since 2021. They were late to raise in 2021 when the Taylor Rule was already saying they should raise rates and we’re seeing the inverse today. I’ve spoken before about the signs of weakness in the labor market, but the Fed seems intent on making sure inflation is dead before they move.

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Slower momentum entering the new year: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook

Nationwide Financial

The holiday season typically brings a quiet close to the year in the financial markets. recorded in June 2021. The post Slower momentum entering the new year: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook appeared first on Nationwide Financial. percent rate from a 5.1 percent pace in November.