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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

Do we simply ignore the growth in the size of the economy and the U.S. Economy in 2022 was $25,439.70B; in 2009, it was $14,478.06B; ignore that also? That none of these things occurred makes me wonder why we still pay attention to these deficit hawks. And second, should we ignore changes that have taken place over that 15-year period?

Economy 347
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Math Problems

The Better Letter

The maths are exactly the same. These sorts of math problems are the focus of this week’s TBL. Math Problems As this TBL goes live, just 16 games and one day of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, yet my bracket is a mess. We notice the unlikelihood of 100 in a row because of the pattern. Thanks for reading. quintillion.

Math 95
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How Do Higher Interest Rates Push Inflation Down?

Discipline Funds

In fact, because QE reduces interest income it might have a marginally deflationary impact on the economy, all else equal. Interest rates are different and have a much more meaningful impact on the economy by damaging banks and credit markets. Not nothing, but certainly not enough to move the needle of a $30T economy.

Banking 117
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Bracketology (2025 Edition)

The Better Letter

Both 2021 and 2022 each had 14 upsets; there were 10 upsets in 2023 and nine in 2024, if only three in 2007. Six 11 seeds have made it to the Final Four: LSU in 1986, George Mason in 2006, VCU in 2011, Loyola Chicago in 2018, UCLA in 2021, and NC State last year. Between 1985 and 2024, there were 8.5 upsets per tournament (4.7

Numbers 75
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Transcript: Kristen Bitterly Michell

The Big Picture

I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. BITTERLY MICHELL: … obviously, the United States, the global economy. I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. RITHOLTZ: Right.

Clients 299
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RIA Net Organic Growth is Practically Non-Existent

Steve Sanduski

The S&P 500 total return for the 5 years ending December 2021 was 112.9%. The total US Government Bond market total return for the 5 years ending December 2021 was 19.5%. Simple math says the CAGR of NET NEW ASSETS (i.e., Crunch the Numbers. Here’s how I crunched the data. over the past 5 years for a CAGR of about 11.9%.

Math 52
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From Rocket Ship to Roller Coaster

Investing Caffeine

T he stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years 2019/2020/2021, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. Source: Calafia Beach Pundit.

Math 52