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Do we simply ignore the growth in the size of the economy and the U.S. Economy in 2022 was $25,439.70B; in 2009, it was $14,478.06B; ignore that also? That none of these things occurred makes me wonder why we still pay attention to these deficit hawks. And second, should we ignore changes that have taken place over that 15-year period?
The maths are exactly the same. These sorts of math problems are the focus of this week’s TBL. Math Problems As this TBL goes live, just 16 games and one day of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, yet my bracket is a mess. We notice the unlikelihood of 100 in a row because of the pattern. Thanks for reading. quintillion.
In fact, because QE reduces interest income it might have a marginally deflationary impact on the economy, all else equal. Interest rates are different and have a much more meaningful impact on the economy by damaging banks and credit markets. Not nothing, but certainly not enough to move the needle of a $30T economy.
Both 2021 and 2022 each had 14 upsets; there were 10 upsets in 2023 and nine in 2024, if only three in 2007. Six 11 seeds have made it to the Final Four: LSU in 1986, George Mason in 2006, VCU in 2011, Loyola Chicago in 2018, UCLA in 2021, and NC State last year. Between 1985 and 2024, there were 8.5 upsets per tournament (4.7
I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. BITTERLY MICHELL: … obviously, the United States, the global economy. I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. RITHOLTZ: Right.
The S&P 500 total return for the 5 years ending December 2021 was 112.9%. The total US Government Bond market total return for the 5 years ending December 2021 was 19.5%. Simple math says the CAGR of NET NEW ASSETS (i.e., Crunch the Numbers. Here’s how I crunched the data. over the past 5 years for a CAGR of about 11.9%.
T he stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years 2019/2020/2021, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. Source: Calafia Beach Pundit.
And you know, the only thing math works on recognition by peers, and there’s some prizes. And yet, the amount of math that’s been produced over the last, you know, few decades is just mind-blowing extraordinary. And I believe we need to bring that type of model to many, many more parts of the economy and parts of activity.
With the economy reeling from the impact of the most recent pandemic and racial injustice at the forefront of many conversations, we cannot ignore the student loan crisis and its impact on black women. According to the American Association of University Women as of 2021, on average: white men borrow $29,862 while black women borrow $37,558.
And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. I mean, I always say it depends on the economies or the scale of the business that you are considering.
So we were very aggressive in 2020 and 2021. I mean, if you take out the government spending, you probably are on a recession in a private economy. And that’s your focus on government, both fiscal and monetary support for the economy. We kinda came into the pandemic, more bearish than most. We caught all of that upside.
So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. It’s just math stick to it over long periods of time. So in 2021 was the equivalent of March, 2000, right? The second is excess returns.
You must also possess solid math and cash-handling skills and be able to multitask. Despite declining overall employment numbers in the field, there are close to 400,000 job openings annually for customer service representatives, according to the Bureau Of Labor Statistics – a testament to how critical the industry is to the U.S.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. There’s a continual, the economy continues to grow. It goes so far. Did you give me cash?
One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. Two reasons.
Five 11-seeds have made it to the Final Four: LSU in 1986, George Mason in 2006, VCU in 2011, Loyola Chicago in 2018, and UCLA in 2021. Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 quintillion.
But if you go back to the period before 2022, from 2019 to 2021, a 60/40 portfolio actually produced 14% returns over that time horizon, which is above the long-term average. Yes, the economy can clearly keep roaring along, which we’ve seen. They’re definitely trying to slow the economy down. DAVIS: It is not.
The economy wasn’t as dependent on the equity markets as necessarily as it is today, as we saw post ’08. I mean, obviously, 2020 and 2021 and 2022, we’re still in the midst of, but is there still an echo of ’08-’09 today? And so it’s one of these things that math works. But the Fed stepped in.
You wrote this book in 2021 or at least finished it in 2021 and you described in the book what you see as an, quote, “investment winter ahead.” And so, it’s very sort of, I don’t know, math oriented or algebra-oriented type of thing as opposed to great stories which drive most investment passions. ILMANEN: Yes.
They 00:38:39 [Speaker Changed] Price insensitive, they 00:38:41 [Speaker Changed] Right, they cared what the lower mortgage rate did to the economy. Well, I think that same thing’s been happening in commercial now for the last, you know, since 2021 is that physical occupancy is the leading indicator to economic occupancy.
I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math. Your real business is having the best perspective of what is happening this moment in the economy. So, so let’s talk a little bit about the state of the economy today. So at that point, I had a pretty big career. Your side hustle. Really interesting.
And it was day by day from the seat of, it was the month that the economy shut down. And it’s two dozen CEOs, investors, policy makers from like all across the economy. It’s kind of apparent some of these industries are going to be the first to really succumb to an economy shutting down. Did they self-selected?
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. I think it’s not just new economy chip purveyors, but it’s also the companies that buy the chips and become better.
I would say the thing that connects them is just voracious curiosity about the world of politics and, you know, economies and trying to make sense out of it. So here’s the math, Barry. It’s gonna take a while to integrate, integrate those folks back into other parts of the economy. You know, all of these things.
Literally the first check-in to Robinhood, which went public in 2021 at about a $34 billion valuation. ” If I, if the president ever, this is like a blog post I wrote when the President tweets about the economy, the market will move. I wrote a, a column in 2021 for Bloomberg, “What My Worst Trades Taught Me About Investing.:
The economy, the markets, and the world-at-large provide unlimited fodder for them. That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. ” Nobody does. And lots of surprises.
MORGENSON: And by 2021, they were extracting 70 billion in dividend recapitalizations. And it really became very evident in a 2021 study by academics, I think University of Chicago, UPenn, NYU, that studied long-term mortality at nursing homes that were owned by private equity and compared that with nursing homes. RITHOLTZ: Wow.
This was the lowest rate of inflation we’ve seen since March of 2021 right before the big spike. We’re now at a point that I’d argue looks somewhat similar to early 2021 when rates were still 0%, but inflation was starting to shoot higher. Core PCE came in at 2.78% on Friday. or even higher.
These dumped a ton of cash into the economy all at once in 2020 and 2021. Reduced Immigration during both Trump & Biden Administrations; Under Trump, legal immigration fell around 1 million people each year; that continues under Biden during the pandemic years of 2021 and first half of 2022.
The interlinkages between women, our education policy, labor force, productivity, and again, ultimately the growth of the economy. But there’s such a difference between how they operate the economy and, and especially the financial sector. What do we do about that that costs the US United States GDP growth in the summer months.
I actually left active professor in July of 2021, after 45 years of teaching at Wharton. And it’s been virtually impossible for any value strategy to have overcome the great bull market of the big tech companies of the last 15 years which probably ended in, you know, early ‘20 or late 2021 or ’20, early ’21. RITHOLTZ: Yup.
So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred. So, let me just repeat the math. And so, again, I went through this simple math. in 2018, in the European Union in 2020, in Australian in 2021. And so, it wasn’t just a fishing boat, it was an oceangoing factory, very impressive. How many do you have in your fleet?
It’ll reduce new company formation, it’ll make us borrowing costs skyrocket, it’ll devalue the US dollar, it’s gonna cause rampant inflation and it will act as a drag on the overall economy. Wasn’t the Excel spreadsheet error, which changed their math. And their economy seems to be doing just fine.
You know, anything you dug into was a story that would tell you something about power and the trajectory of, of the Chinese economy. I love the Washington Post, but I thought, well, I better do this sleepy story, the national economy. I keep reading that, you know, consumer spending is more than two thirds of, of the American economy.
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