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Call it ” ‘ America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake. Since 2008, the Census Bureau has included government transfers in its Supplemental Poverty Measure. seconds to find 253,000,000 results on Google showing exactly how the government measures this. ” Was this ignorance? Wiifull misrepresentation? Sheer stupidity?
Fleming Research Department of Experimental Psychology, April 8, 2021 A rational model of the Dunning–Kruger effect supports insensitivity to evidence in low performers Rachel A. Gaze, The Conversation, May 23, 2023 Math Professor Debunks the Dunning-Kruger Effect By Eric C. Jansen, Anna N. Rafferty & Thomas L.
Whether it’s a few decades or a century, the math works the same. Hey, what a very different outcome than suggesting a loss of purchasing power — if you understand money and math, you have actually gained purchasing power. My Tweet from 10:33 AM · Oct 12, 2021 2. $1 Back to our colorful chart at top.
The maths are exactly the same. These sorts of math problems are the focus of this week’s TBL. Math Problems As this TBL goes live, just 16 games and one day of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, yet my bracket is a mess. We notice the unlikelihood of 100 in a row because of the pattern. Thanks for reading. quintillion.
Sorry, but “fake it till you make it” seems like a poor plan for thinking about the future… Previously : Time to Stop Believing Deficit B t (September 3, 2021) Stimulus, More Stimulus and Taxes (January 25, 2021) Cost of Financing US Deficits Falls (December 18, 2020) Can We Please Have an Honest Debate About Tax Policy?
Previously : Simple, But Hard (January 30, 2023) One-Sided Markets (September 29, 2021) The Price of Paying Attention (November 2012) See also : Welcome to FinTok, Where Day Trading, Options Investing, and Misinformation Reign ( Institutional Investor , September 25, 2020) TikTok Influencers Promise They’ll Make You Rich.
emphasis added) The red flags were there for anyone who could put their greed aside and simply focus on the math. Previously : How to Avoid Financial Disasters (January 26, 2023) If It Sounds Too Good To Be True… (September 18, 2022) All the Ways You Can Get Defrauded (July 8, 2021) Advice for Rich Uncles and Others.
The joy of sets : Why won’t our artistic-literary establishment recognise that there’s mystery, beauty and humanity in maths? up from 3.2% Wall Street Journal ) see also 5 unintended consequences of the EV revolution : EVs are going to change our cars — and how we drive. ( Prospect ).
(October 2, 2017) 100-Year Bonds Can Fund Big Infrastructure Projects (September 3, 2019) Cost of Financing US Deficits Falls (December 18, 2020) Time to Stop Believing Deficit B t (September 3, 2021) MiB: Gary Cohn, Director of the National Economic Council, President of Goldman Sachs (September 30, 2023) _ 1.
In 2021, banks tried to kill remote work. Data show workers are staying in the office for coffee and here’s why it may be part of return to office strategies. Bloomberg ) • Remote Banking Crisis: Banks tried to kill remote work. Now, remote work is trying to kill banks.
Hussman as in Hussman funds which arguably missed the entire bull market from the end of the financial crisis through to the end of 2021. There's other math about outperformance but also the observation that momentum is prone to crashes. In early 2021 QMOM spiked dramatically versus the S&P 500. While "put it all in."
And then just a little math, the "guarantee" based on the 50/50 allocation would be 2.5% I mentioned this fund once or twice when it first listed in late 2021. Keep it to something broad like a total market fund or a market cap weighted large cap index. SSO is 2X S&P 500 and SPHB is the Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF.
The article devoted a good amount of space to bond market math, focusing on the pain of owning the iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT) and bond funds in general. It turned out it did matter starting in late 2021. Bond funds have no par value to return to which might make them worse than individual bonds.
The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap. trillion (the total value was $52 trillion at the end of 2021, source ). With a current market cap of $2.8 trillion as of today, this would require an approximate increase of 3.6
We've talked just a couple of times about the market becoming increasingly concentrated which just in terms of math means that a diversified strategy will lag for as long as the big names do well. Outperformed long term but down a sickening 43% and still down about 25% from its late 2021 highwater mark.
This number comes from Crunchbase , who just published a report showing that the number of newly minted decacorns hit a record high in 2021. Source: Crunchbase *I didn't do the math, but it feels right **I also wouldn't be surprised if today's numbers look crazy, and we can't believe what happened during this bubble.
Both 2021 and 2022 each had 14 upsets; there were 10 upsets in 2023 and nine in 2024, if only three in 2007. Six 11 seeds have made it to the Final Four: LSU in 1986, George Mason in 2006, VCU in 2011, Loyola Chicago in 2018, UCLA in 2021, and NC State last year. Between 1985 and 2024, there were 8.5 upsets per tournament (4.7
It just started trading in January of 2021. It outperformed VBAIX YTD and took a slightly different path to the same result as VBAIX in 2021. It really is a mishmash of exposures, a lot of alts, some gold and some fixed income. I do not know if his life circumstance is such where a game over approach is appropriate.
Interest rates have skyrocketed since the end of 2021. Again just using simple math, this presumes the par value will roll over each month and reinvest at the same rate to get to the annual yield. If the funds aren’t earmarked for anything in the near term, holding cash could be short-sighted. Hold cash or invest? 467% a month.
The S&P 500 total return for the 5 years ending December 2021 was 112.9%. The total US Government Bond market total return for the 5 years ending December 2021 was 19.5%. Simple math says the CAGR of NET NEW ASSETS (i.e., Simple math says the CAGR of NET NEW ASSETS (i.e., Crunch the Numbers. Revenue Growth.
For math, she teaches the advanced class — the top students in the school. The class had a party recently as a reward for winning a national math competition. – to stay in and play math games at the party instead of more traditionally “fun” activities, inside or out. It is a very bright group.
So I remind myself of the positive side of this situation: The world of 2021 is a very different place from my equivalent perch in 1991. Many teachers are already using this system to “flip the classroom”, and my own boy and I used Khan Academy to help him cover second through eighth grade math in only a month.
That's pretty much what happened starting at the very end of 2021. It is important to understand the math though. The threat being you lock in 15 years at 2-3%, yields go up, you take a 30% hit on paper (no loss until you sell) forcing you to sit with a below market yield until six months before maturity.
This year, its performance has it the top 1% of mutual funds but in “2021 and 2022 it was ranked in the bottom 100th percentile.” Yeah, that sounds pretty good (giving them the benefit of the doubt about the math)… pretty good for an equity. I probably wrote about this one a couple of times back in the first iteration of this blog.
And you know, the only thing math works on recognition by peers, and there’s some prizes. And yet, the amount of math that’s been produced over the last, you know, few decades is just mind-blowing extraordinary. RITHOLTZ: So to put that into a little context, 2020, 2021, very founder-friendly deals. RITHOLTZ: Right.
What I took from it was that the safe withdrawal rate in 2021 was 3.3%, last year it was 3.8% Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills. Yahoo Finance had kind of a long read recapping an update from Morningstar about safe retirement withdrawal rates. and now it is back to 4%.
T he stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years 2019/2020/2021, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. Source: Calafia Beach Pundit.
The math shows the NTSX/ARBIX/BTAL combo would be down 14.7% Quickly adding in from NTSX' inception to the end of 2021, so no bear market effect, the NTSX/ARBIX/BTAL combo would have outperformed VBAIX by about 100 basis points. If NTSX was up 32%, VBAIX would have been up 21.8% and that is the number I will assume.
So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. I didn’t know what any of these terms meant.
According to the American Association of University Women as of 2021, on average: white men borrow $29,862 while black women borrow $37,558. The math for this adds up over years of work and can cost quite a bit of income. However, the impact of the student loan debt crisis on black women surpasses the standard American experience.
And when used for ROE, as per the basic rule of math, if the denominator decreases, the fraction as whole increases i.e, Company 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Average 5 yr. Company 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Average 5 yr. Company 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Average 5 yr. higher ROE. What is a good ROE in Indian stock market.
The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap. trillion (the total value was $52 trillion at the end of 2021, source ). With a current market cap of $2.8 trillion as of today, this would require an approximate increase of 3.6
If we stop that backtest at the end of 2021, the two levered portfolios outperformed by five and four basis points respectively, each with noticeably higher standard deviations and lower Sharpe Ratios. A 20% drop in managed futures that is leveraged to a 40% weight would have added another 800 basis points to the decline (simple math).
As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% If they continued to take $40,000 out per year they would have briefly gotten back to their highwater mark in early 2021 but would today be down slightly from their $1 million starting point. down to 0.50% let alone from the all time high of 15% down to 0.50%. in November.
Over the last five years, it missed out on the stock market rally until late 2020 when it went parabolic, then drifted lower for much 2021. We dove in on the math at my old URL (sad story, no longer exists) and the math checks out. Sometimes it correlates to the S&P 500 and sometimes it doesn't.
One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. Two reasons.
You must also possess solid math and cash-handling skills and be able to multitask. Sales managers oversee and manage sales teams in various industries, ensuring they meet their targets while maintaining high levels of customer satisfaction. What is the average customer service salary?
In 2021 it was up roughly the same 27% as the S&P 500. The way the math works, a 67% allocation to NTSX replicates 100% into a 60/40 portfolio which leaves 33% left over to do something. We talk about the idea frequently here even if I've only used that term once or twice. So, how'd it do? Did it deliver crisis alpha? Not exactly.
Source: Crestmont Research Over the past 50 years (1972-2021), the S&P 500 has provided an excellent annualized total return of 9.4 Over the past 50 years (1972-2021), the benchmark 10-year U.S. This is the best thing I read this week (it combines magic, music, mystery, and math); this is the best thing I saw. The saddest.
The math is only off by a shade using leverage via UST and a little bit of SSO, remember RPAR is leveraged. In 2020, RPAR did much better than the replication, did a little worse in 2021, 2023 and 2024 YTD and in 2022 RPAR lagged the replication by 11%. The Replication is based on this from RPAR.
So we were very aggressive in 2020 and 2021. And that’s why in 2021 into 21, we said, okay, this is the peak of the cycle rate of change. So for example, in early 2021, we made a pretty important call, which was that all the, the meme stocks were going bananas, right? So that’s the math. It’s a hard job.
When LPL bought Waddell & Reed in 2021, it opened some doors as the pay structure was more conducive for small practices and they offer a lot of optional add-on services, like virtual assistants. The math speaks for itself- over half our population is female, yet only around 20% of financial advisors are women.
Five 11-seeds have made it to the Final Four: LSU in 1986, George Mason in 2006, VCU in 2011, Loyola Chicago in 2018, and UCLA in 2021. Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 quintillion. trillion.
I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. So that was what really dominated and it continued to dominate in — in 2021. I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that ….
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