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Lessons of “Number Go Up”

The Big Picture

Recently, a post utterly perplexed me: “One doesn’t get a favorable impression of crypto from Number Go Up but in fact one doesn’t learn much about crypto at all. Thus, I was entertained by Number Go Up , but didn’t learn much.” Because Number Go Up technology means it’s going higher! Jury is still out.

Numbers 317
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FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased in Q1 2024

Calculated Risk

From the FDIC: The number of banks on the FDIC’s “Problem Bank List” increased from 52 to 63. This graph from the FDIC shows the number of problem banks and assets at problem institutions. This graph from the FDIC shows the number of problem banks and assets at problem institutions. Total assets held by problem banks rose $15.8

Numbers 312
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Schedule for Week of December 18, 2021

Calculated Risk

Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. -- Tuesday, December 20th -- 8:30 AM: Housing Starts for November. The consensus is for a reading of 33, unchanged from 33. This graph shows single and multi-family housing starts since 1968.

Sales 243
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AAR: October Rail Combined Carloads and Intermodal Highest Since June 2021

Calculated Risk

railroads averaged 499,331 per week in October 2023, the most for any month since June 2021 — a span of 28 months. Carloads in 2021, 2022 and 2022: Total originated carloads on U.S. Combined originated carloads and intermodal units on U.S. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image. railroads (not including the U.S.

Economy 189
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FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Unchanged in Q2 2023

Calculated Risk

The FDIC reported the number of problem banks was unchanged at 43. The number of FDIC-insured institutions declined from 4,672 in first quarter to 4,645 this quarter. The number of banks on the FDIC’s “Problem Bank List” remained unchanged at 43. During the quarter, two banks opened, one bank failed, and 27 institutions merged.

Numbers 182
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Lawler: New Census Population Estimates Show Massively Higher Population Growth

Calculated Risk

Thus, for Vintage 2023 the 2024 numbers are projections, and for Vintage 2024 the 2025 numbers are projections. As this table shows, estimated population growth from July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2024 from Vintage 2024 is an eye-popping 3,386,610 higher than the Vintage 2023 estimate.

Numbers 173
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May 19th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations

Calculated Risk

After the first few weeks, the pandemic low for weekly deaths had been the week of July 7, 2021, at 1,690 deaths (until recently). Increasing number weekly for Hospitalized and Deaths ✅ Goal met. Increasing number weekly for Hospitalized and Deaths ✅ Goal met. This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported.

Numbers 339