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Ten Economic Questions for 2025

Calculated Risk

There were many promises made during the campaign that obviously will not happen (deport 20 million people, no taxes on tips, overtime or Social Security benefits, 200% tariffs, and on and on). We can assume the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) will be extended. 2) Employment: Through November 2024, the economy added 2.0

Economics 290
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Housing Starts and Recessions

Calculated Risk

Then new home sales and single-family starts turned down in 2021, but that was partly due to the huge surge in sales during the pandemic. Another exception was in late 2021 - we saw a significant YoY decline in new home sales related to the pandemic and the surge in new home sales in the second half of 2020.

Sales 309
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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

Sorry, but “fake it till you make it” seems like a poor plan for thinking about the future… Previously : Time to Stop Believing Deficit B t (September 3, 2021) Stimulus, More Stimulus and Taxes (January 25, 2021) Cost of Financing US Deficits Falls (December 18, 2020) Can We Please Have an Honest Debate About Tax Policy?

Economy 347
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IRS Turns to Wealthy Non-Filers in Push to Get More Tax Dollars

Wealth Management

The agency this week is sending letters to target 125,000 cases of taxpayers with incomes of more than $400,000 who didn’t file returns between the years 2017 and 2021.

Taxes 242
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Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows upward adjustment of 462,000 jobs

Calculated Risk

The annual revision is benchmarked to state tax records. These counts are derived from state unemployment insurance (UI) tax records that nearly all employers are required to file. The number is then "wedged back" to the previous revision (March 2021).

Taxes 359
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IRS Extends Relief to 2023 for SECURE Act Era Designated Beneficiaries

Wealth Management

They won’t owe excise tax on required minimum distribution failures from 2021 to 2023.

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TikTokInvestors

The Big Picture

Not if you spend tax season on a boat! I doubt he’s run the real numbers of being invested in the stock market tax deferred with an additional company match. There is lots more: A slew of bad tax advice likely to get-you-sent-to-jail-for-tax evasion: Live on a boat during tax season! Want to earn more money?

Media 336