Discipline Funds

NOVEMBER 8, 2023

Macroeconomic Overview Our macroeconomic forecast for 2023 called for a year of disinflation and “muddle through” That means we expected the economy to remain sluggish and for inflation to show positive rates of change that were sequentially slower. and inflation peaked back in 2022 almost exactly to the month we predicted.

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Discipline Funds

DECEMBER 31, 2023

Just when you feel like you know everything the markets and the economy will surprise you. The last few years have made that abundantly clear as high inflation has ravaged most of the global economy. In January of 2022 I said that inflation had peaked , which happened to be a few months before the peak of 9% CPI.

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Assets Asset Allocation Financial Planning Economy 102

James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) changed its recommended asset allocation for July, shifting from core bonds to small cap equities.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The growth vs. value debate has been pretty one-sided in 2022, with value outperforming growth for a sustained period for the first time in almost 15 years. Value vs. Growth – Value Takes 2022. The LPL Research STAAC continues to favor a tilt toward value from an asset allocation perspective. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES.

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Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Retail sales data from the Census Bureau (we focus on the Retail Sales excluding Food Service, Autos, Building Materials, and Gas Stations statistics) has shown year-over-year growth, slow from the average mid-teens numbers seen in 2021, to a still healthy upper-single digits number in 2022 [Figure 2]. over the last 20 years, pre-2020.

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 11, 2024

The Fed began raising rates in March 2022. Karen Veraa : We actually had, in 2022, one of the worst years in terms of bond performance in decades. Barry Ritholtz : And if memory serves me, I think 2022 was the first year since 1981 where both stocks and bonds were down double digits. Karen Veraa : That’s right.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

economy is in or about to enter recession, so we thought a piece on what a recession might mean for the stock market would be of interest. economy is not currently in recession, odds are still perhaps a coin flip or better that one may come in the next year. While Friday’s strong jobs report provides more evidence that the U.S.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

We think the move lower in yields may be a bit premature as we expect the economy to stay out of a recession this year. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. We could see a retest of 3.5% over the next few months.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Here are some of our lessons learned from 2022. One of the lessons learned in 2022 was to never underestimate our central bank’s resolve to squelch inflation. At the start of 2022, markets expected the upper bound of the fed funds rate to stay below 1%. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Banking 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

economy following disappointing August inflation data was the top cause of the market’s struggles. in September, temporarily breaking below the June 2022 closing low. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. The S&P 500 Index tumbled 9.3%

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Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 19, 2022

Fri, 08/19/2022 - 10:50. Inflection Points: 2022 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook Report. Our new publication “Outlook 2022: Inflection Points” by Sid Ahl, Erika Pagel, Taylor Graff and J.R. This year’s report examines several issues that the team is monitoring as we head into 2022. Read more >.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

All data is provided as of October 4, 2022. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P500) is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries. All index data from FactSet.

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Carson Wealth

JANUARY 2, 2024

The economy surprised, the consumer remained resilient, stocks soared, and even bonds did well on the year thanks to a late-innings rally. Emerging from the depths of the 2022 bear market, the introduction of ChatGPT illuminated the potential of AI for the layman, igniting a remarkable surge in related tech stocks.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 3, 2022

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P500) is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries. Asset allocation does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.

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Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 18, 2023

He once again emphasized that the risk of not doing enough to curb inflation was now balanced with the risk of holding rates too high for too long (and potentially breaking the economy in the process). Lower interest rates can have significant positive effects on the economy, including on mortgage rates. Here’s why.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Recent wholesale inflation tells a similar story of a peak in pricing pressures, which has been the expectation of the Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) at LPL Research. You may also be interested in: Inflation and Rising Rates Supports Value – November 14, 2022. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

Nationwide Financial

MARCH 1, 2023

For example, a recent Nationwide Financial survey taken in advance of Women’s History Month in March found that women investors are more fearful of a recession this year than they were in 2022. That’s down from 51% of women respondents who answered similarly in 2022. Align client portfolios with their risk tolerance and time horizon.

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Clients Retirement Risk Tolerance Asset Allocation 72

Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Tue, 10/11/2022 - 13:22. Inflection Points: 2022 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook Report. Our new publication “Outlook 2022: Inflection Points” by Sid Ahl, Erika Pagel, Taylor Graff and J.R. This year’s report examines several issues that the team is monitoring as we head into 2022. Read more >.

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

BITTERLY MICHELL: … obviously, the United States, the global economy. And so, when you think of the area that I was very passionate about in derivatives, there’s a natural understanding just by growing up in an economy like that, that interest rate risk matters. Like lives are completely changed across …. RITHOLTZ: Right. risk matters.

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Discipline Funds

MARCH 2, 2024

It forced me to think in a multi-temporal sense which has completely changed how I think about asset allocation. A lot of people feel depressed about the economy because life is hard. Still, it’s interesting in the context of the last few years because the S&P 500 is only up 11% since 2022. It’s hard having kids.

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Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Assets 110

Investing Caffeine

JUNE 3, 2024

most recently) and the economy went into recession with GDP (Gross Domestic Product) declining by -2.2%. On the flip side, during 2022, the economy was firing on all cylinders. Remember that global pandemic back in 2020 called COVID-19 that killed over 350,000 people in the U.S.? What did the stock market actually do in 2020?

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

Jeremy called and said, “Would you like to join the asset allocation team?” So he wanted a sort of non-quanty view input into the asset allocation process. And GMO was still sitting on a massive emerging market position in the asset allocation team. CHANCELLOR: Well, I said no initially. CHANCELLOR: Yes.

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Banking Valuation Economy Investing 147

James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. They tend to do better early in economic cycles once the economy emerges from recession.

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Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 26, 2024

Indian households traditionally invested most savings in physical assets. However, financial asset allocation increased recently. Revenue Segments Particulars Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Amount (Crores) Segments 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 Trading ₹13,586.63 ₹11,182.54 ₹7,762.80 ₹4,848.29 ₹2,832.41

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Compliance Banking Management Risk Management 90

SEI

AUGUST 2, 2022

Tue, 08/02/2022 - 14:05. Investments and economy. That’s why, when facing market volatility, stewards of long-term assets held at all types of nonprofit institutions recognize the importance of a well-thought-out investment process. . The second quarter of 2022 was a tough slog for investors with relatively few places to hide.

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Carson Wealth

JUNE 12, 2023

Now with stocks up 20%, they have officially entered a new bull market and the 2022 bear is over. Carson’s leading economic index indicates the economy is not in a recession. It can be hard to parse through it all and come up with an updated view of the economy after every data release.

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Investing Caffeine

MAY 2, 2022

Although I have noted some of the key headwinds the economy faces above, it is worth noting that current corporate profits remain at/near all-time record highs (see chart below) and the 3.6% This article is an excerpt from a previously released Sidoxia Capital Management complimentary newsletter (May 2, 2022). Slome, CFA, CFP®.

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Electronics Economy CFP Government 59

Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

After a painful start to 2022, the stock market surged last month, with the S&P 500 index gaining a respectable +3.6%, while the technology-heavy NASDAQ index rose by +3.4%. The Fed’s goal is to increase the cost of borrowing, thereby slowing down the economy and reducing inflation. over the next couple of years. www.Sidoxia.com.

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Economy Economics Valuation Investing 59

Darrow Wealth Management

MARCH 28, 2022

But if you give yourself enough of a margin for the uncontrollable, with other adjustments, you can work to control the impact the economy has on your retirement plans. Asset allocation. Don’t wait for volatility to get your investments in order! So many things to say here. Consider U.S. value versus growth year-to-date.

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James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Suggesting an economy makes “no landing” makes no sense. Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Analogies eventually break down, especially this one. Why The “Landing” Analogy?

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Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

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Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2022

mhannan Thu, 06/16/2022 - 11:00 As we approach the first half of 2022, volatility is back with a vengeance. MORE ON THIS TOPIC Inflection Points: 2022 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook Report Our new publication “Outlook 2022: Inflection Points” by Sid Ahl, Erika Pagel, Taylor Graff and J.R.

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Clients Asset Allocation Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 19, 2022

Fri, 08/19/2022 - 10:50. As we approach the first half of 2022, volatility is back with a vengeance. Inflection Points: 2022 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook Report. Our new publication “Outlook 2022: Inflection Points” by Sid Ahl, Erika Pagel, Taylor Graff and J.R. MORE ON THIS TOPIC. Read more >.

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Validea

SEPTEMBER 29, 2022

There’s no sugarcoating it — 2022 hasn’t been kind to investors. The downturn in stocks and other assets reflect a number of concerning things. Higher interest rates have made the affordability of homes and other assets much more costly. By Justin Carbonneau ( @jjcarbonneau ) —. Stocks are down. Bonds are down.

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Assets Portfolio Asset Allocation Retirement 69

The Big Picture

MARCH 7, 2023

And the place where I was looking for this risk factors was in the real economy. So I was relating asset prices to GDP growth, to investment growth, to default rest, to factors like this. And so, I was providing explanations for asset pricing anomalies such as the small cap effect, or the value effect.

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Investing Caffeine

MARCH 1, 2022

Although the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 index has gone gangbusters over the last three years, almost doubling in value (2019: +29%, 2020: +16%, 2021: +27%), the S&P 500 has hit an air pocket during the first couple months of 2022 (-8%), including down -3% in February. www.Sidoxia.com. Slome, CFA, CFP®.

Economics 59

Economics Accounting Advertising CFP 59

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 19, 2022

CIO Perspectives Podcast: Europe’s Energy Crunch, China Tensions and Dissecting the Market Melt-up mhannan Fri, 08/19/2022 - 10:50 From geopolitical tensions to questionable economic fundamentals, investors have plenty to be concerned about. This year’s report examines several issues that the team is monitoring as we head into 2022.

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