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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

Low Stakes : The most successful market timers are often those people who do not have actual assets at risk. Staying long through the 60-day 34% drop during the 2020 pandemic; getting out of the market ahead of the 2022 rate hiking cycle; and getting back in October 2022 for the next bull leg. It’s utterly laughable.

Marketing 304
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Transcript: Elizabeth Burton, Goldman Sachs Asset Management

The Big Picture

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Elizabeth Burton, Goldman Sachs Asset Management , is below. Elizabeth Burton is Goldman Sachs asset management’s client investment strategist. One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. She can go anywhere, do anything.

Assets 147
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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

( Bloomberg ) • Elusive ‘Einstein’ Solves a Longstanding Math Problem : And it all began with a hobbyist “messing about and experimenting with shapes.” ( New York Times ) Be sure to check out our Masters in Business interview this weekend with Ken Kencel , founder and CEO of Churchill Asset Management. Churchill was the top U.S.

Banking 162
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Transcript: Julian Salisbury, GS

The Big Picture

He is the Chief Investment Officer of Asset and Wealth Management at Goldman Sachs. He co-chairs a number of the asset management investment committees. trillion in assets under supervision. JULIAN SALISBURY, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER OF ASSET AND WEALTH MANAGEMENT, GOLDMAN SACHS: Thanks, Barry. And I think you will also.

Assets 299
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Big Risk In Multi-Asset Funds?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

We've been seeing a small wave of multi-asset funds that use leverage coming to market lately. The way the math works, a 67% allocation to NTSX (Portfolio 2 with 33% in the T-bill ETF) equals 100% in Vanguard Balanced Index Fund (VBAIX) which is a proxy for 60/40 and Portfolio 3. It is 90% equities and 60 bonds.

Assets 74
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Is Diversification Dead?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

We've talked just a couple of times about the market becoming increasingly concentrated which just in terms of math means that a diversified strategy will lag for as long as the big names do well. Despite outperforming for 15 years, PSLDX was down 43% in 2022 which speaks to what diversification is about. In 2022 they didn't work.

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How Do Higher Interest Rates Push Inflation Down?

Discipline Funds

QE is an asset swap as I’ve explained many times in the past. The reason this doesn’t have a huge impact on inflation is because there’s no reason for consumers to materially change their spending patterns just because they change a safe high yielding asset into a safe low yielding asset.

Banking 118