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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Blame History for Making Recession Calls So Hard : The National Bureau of Economic Research has been putting dates on downturns since 1929 — well before there was such a thing as gross domestic product ( Bloomberg ) see also Does This Look Like a Recession To You? . • taxpayers millions of dollars ended up in China.

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Sunday links: too many theories

Abnormal Returns

tker.co) A link to the 2022 Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) Sentencing Commission show judges rejected more than 80% of compassionate release requests filed from October 2019 through September 2022. npr.org) Occupational licensing is out of control. econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

Ethics 243
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Midyear Outlook 2022 | Navigating Turbulence | July 12, 2022

James Hendries

We may not be flying into a storm, but there’s been plenty of turbulence the first part of 2022. How businesses, households, and central banks steer through the rough air will set the tone for markets over the second half of 2022. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

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What a Week | Weekly Market Commentary | August 1, 2022

James Hendries

The official arbiter of business cycle dating is the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). had never before experienced the massive swings in economic activity during the 2020 pandemic, making even the current analysis more difficult. The economic growth outlook has weakened. Of course, the U.S. However, after a 12.6%

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Where Will Housing Go From Here? | Weekly Market Commentary | August 22, 2022

James Hendries

At this rate, home sales will likely continue to slow and residential investment could turn out to be a drag on Q3 economic growth. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates. Regional differences are profound.

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Client Letter | Midyear Outlook 2022: Navigating Turbulence | July 12, 2022

James Hendries

How businesses, households, and central banks steer through the rough air will set the tone for markets over the second half of 2022. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Clients 52
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Client Letter | Outlook 2023: Finding Balance | December 6, 2022

James Hendries

Even after another dizzying year, as 2022 proved to be. If 2022 was about recognizing imbalances that had built in the economy and starting to address them, we believe 2023 will be about setting ourselves up for what comes next as the economy and markets find their way back to steadier ground—even if the adjustment period continues.

Clients 52