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The Performance of Multi-Factor Long-Short Portfolios in Various Economic Regimes

Alpha Architect

The Performance of Multi-Factor Long-Short Portfolios in Various Economic Regimes was originally published at Alpha Architect. The Performance of Multi-Factor Long-Short Portfolios in Various Economic Regimes was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

Economics 120
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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S.

Valuation 225
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2 Reasons the Generic 60/40 Portfolio Fails

Integrity Financial Planning

This strategy tells you to put 60% of your portfolio in equities and 40% in bonds or other fixed-income offerings. However, the 2022 economy has brought the classic 60/40 allocation strategy into question as both the stock and bond markets dip at the same time. In a 60/40 allocation, this negatively affects the whole portfolio.

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Investing Behavioral Hacks

The Big Picture

After a big gap opening, latecomers piled in; many had been sitting on the sidelines following a challenging 2022, while others got panicked out during the 10% October drawdown. The problem is those behaviors are so destructive to a portfolio. and it stops you from messing with your primary portfolio. ~~~ Good investing is boring.

Investing 343
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Supply Chain Is 40% of Inflation

The Big Picture

That is according to a study by Julian di Giovanni, who publishes at the NY Fed’s blog Liberty Street Economics. My job is not to give policy advice to the Fed, but to interpret what they are doing and its most likely impact on our portfolios. Challenges for monetary policy in a rapidly changing world (ECB Forum, June 2022).

Medicine 363
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Forecasting Recessions

The Big Picture

This came up yesterday on Portfolio Rescue with Ben Carlson. The entire discussion is worth watching, but the video below is teed up for the economic forecasting discussion. September 29, 2023) Why Recessions Matter to Investors (July 11, 2022) Forecasting & Prediction Discussions Source : U.S. Previously : Slowing U.S.

Economy 282
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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

2020 : Pandemic crash of 34%, fastest top fall (but fastest recovery) 2022 : Stocks & bonds both down double digits since 1981 All of these meet the unofficial definition of a bear of a 20% move off of the peak. The first bear I experienced was utterly meaningless economically but still felt bad. In fact, it felt horrible.

Marketing 335