The Big Picture

DECEMBER 1, 2022

I have been fairly vocal that inflation has peaked , the Fed has already overtightened, and they run the risk of doing too much economic damage fighting a demon that has already been exorcised. Maybe this economic slowing results in a mild shallow recession, maybe not. Previously : Big Moves: Bears & Bottoms (November 11, 2022).

Economy 289

Economy Economics Valuation Marketing 289

The Big Picture

JUNE 20, 2024

She observes it is less about the things investors tend to focus on — “technical analysis, geopolitics, behavioral finance and even skirt hemline trends” — and more about specific measures she tracks in sentiment, valuation, macro-economic areas. The table above shows the major market peaks going back to 1990.

Marketing 190

Marketing Marketing Valuation Media 190

Carson Wealth

JULY 27, 2022

Valuations Could Move to a More Normal Range . The decline in the equity market pushed valuations down to levels in line with the period between 2015 and 2020. While uncertainty is a bigger challenge to markets, valuations could rise if other factors move in the right direction. . Q3 2022’s Five Big Risks.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 98

Park Place Financial

NOVEMBER 29, 2022

Estates Estate Planning in this Economic Climate Schedule a Complimentary Financial Review CLICK HERE TO SCHEDULE. Between inflation, increasing interest rates, federal changes to monetary policies, and global conflict, many factors are putting a strain on the current economic situation. million per person in 2022 .

Estate Planning 52

Estate Planning Economics Planning Financial Planner 52

Abnormal Returns

JANUARY 18, 2023

wsj.com) The periodic table of commodity returns for 2022. allstarcharts.com) Why 2022 was an unusually bad year for the 60/40 portfolio. institutionalinvestor.com) Startup valuations trended down in the second half of 2022. in December 2022. (tker.co) Commodities Why orange juice prices are soaring.

Financial Advising 130

Financial Advising Startup Wealth Management Valuation 130

The Big Picture

AUGUST 1, 2023

Did the palpable panic in June/October 2022 lead to ill-advised sell(s)? Recall John Kenneth Galbraith’s observation: “The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” But we won’t know how big a losing trade it might be until early 2024, when we see the updated valuations. The reason?

Economics 246

Economics Valuation Marketing Marketing 246

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

SEPTEMBER 6, 2022

The overhang of Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech the previous week carried over into last week as investors recalibrated stock valuations amid a seemingly more assertive monetary policy stance. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, September 2, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

DECEMBER 19, 2022

Hawkish comments by the Fed and weak economic data heightened investors’ recession concerns and sent stocks lower last week. The potential for higher rates for longer, along with disappointing economic data, particularly a sharp decline in retail sales, amplified fears of a recession and sent stocks lower for the remainder of the week.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

DECEMBER 12, 2022

There was some good news last week on the economic front and out of China, which started to loosen COVID restrictions. But it was a week where good news was considered bad news, as any signs of economic resilience stoked worries of a longer rate-hike cycle. This Week: Key Economic Data. CNBC, December 9, 2022.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

AUGUST 22, 2022

Despite the week’s losses, stocks exhibited resiliency in the face of a string of troubling economic news that included flat retail sales, weak housing numbers, an inversion in the yield curve, and tepid economic data out of China. This Week: Key Economic Data. The Wall Street Journal, August 19, 2022. New Home Sales.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 59

The Big Picture

APRIL 24, 2023

They all have different sensitivities to economic factors like trade, inflation, commodities, and growth. ” A Secular Bull Market is an extended period of time (10-20 years) driven by broad economic shifts that create an environment conducive to increasing corporate revenue and earnings.

Economics 294

Economics Portfolio Valuation Marketing 294

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

NOVEMBER 28, 2022

Investor sentiment was also lifted by unexpectedly strong retailer earnings, upside surprises in new economic data, and a better-than-expected consumer sentiment reading. Investors looked past the continuing Covid-related challenges that have stymied China’s economic recovery and its attendant implications for global growth. .

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

NOVEMBER 21, 2022

The stock market edged lower last week as it digested a crosscurrent of conflicting economic data and contrasting comments from Fed officials. The economic picture, however, included some encouraging news as retail sales rose and producer price increases moderated. . This Week: Key Economic Data. CNBC, November 15, 2022.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

NOVEMBER 7, 2022

This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, November 4, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The 2022 annual contribution limit is $16,000.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

NOVEMBER 14, 2022

This Week: Key Economic Data. Index of Leading Economic Indicators. Source: Econoday, November 11, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

SEPTEMBER 26, 2022

would not tame inflation without economic pain. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, September 23, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Education Taxes 59

James Hendries

AUGUST 3, 2022

The official arbiter of business cycle dating is the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). had never before experienced the massive swings in economic activity during the 2020 pandemic, making even the current analysis more difficult. The economic growth outlook has weakened. Of course, the U.S. However, after a 12.6%

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 98

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

SEPTEMBER 19, 2022

This Week: Key Economic Data. Thursday: Index of Leading Economic Indicators. Source: Econoday, September 16, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

OCTOBER 10, 2022

Falling yields further lifted investor enthusiasm, as did new economic data indicating a cooling economy. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, October 7, 2022. The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Source: Zacks, October 7, 2022. The Wall Street Journal, October 7, 2022.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

OCTOBER 3, 2022

Rising recession fears and uncertainty in the bond and currency markets sent stocks to new 2022 lows last week. This stress followed economic steps out of the U.K. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, September 30, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. A Tumultuous Week.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

AUGUST 29, 2022

After starting the week sharply lower on renewed rising interest rates and economic slowdown fears, markets staged a modest turnaround beginning mid-week. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, August 26, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. The Wall Street Journal, August 26, 2022.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Here are some of our lessons learned from 2022. Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! One of the lessons learned in 2022 was to never underestimate our central bank’s resolve to squelch inflation. At the start of 2022, markets expected the upper bound of the fed funds rate to stay below 1%.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

AUGUST 15, 2022

This Week: Key Economic Data. Index of Leading Economic Indicators. Source: Econoday, August 12, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

DECEMBER 5, 2022

This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, December 2, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The Wall Street Journal, December 2, 2022.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

JULY 25, 2022

A few disappointing corporate reports and a weak economic report sent stocks lower to close out a solid week. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, July 22, 2022. The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Source: Zacks, July 22, 2022. The Wall Street Journal, July 22, 2022. Jobless Claims.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

OCTOBER 17, 2022

This Week: Key Economic Data. Index of Leading Economic Indicators. . Source: Econoday, October 14, 2022. The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. (T),

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, September 9, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The Wall Street Journal, September 9, 2022.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 59

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

AUGUST 8, 2022

Ahead of Friday’s employment report, stocks were generally higher, highlighted by a Wednesday rally triggered by fresh earnings surprises and a better-than-expected economic report. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, August 5, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. CNBC, August 5, 2022.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

JULY 18, 2022

dollar continued to climb, reflecting global economic weakness. This Week: Key Economic Data. Index of Leading Economic Indicators. . Source: Econoday, July 15, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Source: Zacks, July 15, 2022 Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

JUNE 21, 2022

Stocks moved lower last week as recession fears deepened following a Fed hike in interest rates and weak economic data. This Week: Key Economic Data. Source: Econoday, June 17, 2022 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Source: Zacks, June 17, 2022 Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

JULY 11, 2022

In a holiday-shortened trading week, stocks rallied despite mixed economic data and vacillating energy prices and bond yields. Technology shares were the week’s big winners as investors appear to have turned to companies with earnings growth potential during a weakening economic environment. This Week: Key Economic Data.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Taxes Economics 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

JUNE 27, 2022

Though the weekly gain was a welcome respite from the market’s downward trend, declining bond yields and falling food and energy prices can also be interpreted as signs of slowing economic growth, which may represent a headwind for corporate earnings in the months ahead. This Week: Key Economic Data. healthline.com, February 26, 2022.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Education Taxes 52

Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

bloomberg.com) Bitcoin is at its highest level since June 2022. Everything else it built in-house has crashed and burned." (howardlindzon.com) Private assets Why private equity needs much better valuations. bloomberg.com) Economy What does a 'no landing' economic scenario look like? pragcap.com) Fidelity is hiring!

Financial Advising 146

Financial Advising Engineering Valuation Retail 146

Nerd's Eye View

JUNE 27, 2023

What's unique about Eric, though, is how, 10 years after launching his firm and enjoying strong and steady growth, he hit a capacity wall as a solo advisor and suddenly found the business going backwards, as a $4 million client decided to relocate, and market volatility caused several other clients to leave his firm (which meant a loss of $100,000 (..)

Financial Advisor 150

Financial Advisor Clients Valuation Communication 150

James Hendries

OCTOBER 18, 2022

The challenges are many, with intense cost pressures and slowing economic growth at the top of the list. These headwinds include slower economic growth, cost pressures amid high inflation, ongoing supply chain issues, geopolitical instability in Europe and Asia, and significant currency drag from a very strong U.S. Numerous Headwinds.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 30, 2022

Still, corporate America delivered the type of upside investors have grown accustomed to in much easier economic environments. Estimated profit margins for the second half of 2022 did indeed come down as companies reported, but not dramatically so. Figure 2 shows how resilient 2022 earnings estimates have been. The numbers.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 52

James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. The most recent read from October 2022 came in at 6.5%, above the long-term trend.

Retail 52

Retail Marketing Marketing Sales 52