Calculated Risk

AUGUST 8, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of August 7th.

Economy 140

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 140

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 5, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of September 4th.

Economy 140

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 140

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 26, 2022

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2022). As an example, when the pandemic hit, I switched from being mostly positive on the economy to calling a recession in early March 2020. Here is a graph from Realtor.com showing active inventory through November 2022. This was correct.

Economics 111

Economics Sales Economy Banking 111

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 1, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of July 31st.

Economy 144

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 144

MarketWatch

FEBRUARY 3, 2023

economy is showing strength. Biden said in a statement at the White House: "I'm happy to report that the state of our union, and the state of our economy, is strong." reported that the number of new jobs created in January rose by 517,000, marking the biggest gain in six months. Biden spoke after the U.S.

Economy 98

Economy Government Numbers Marketing 98

Abnormal Returns

NOVEMBER 23, 2022

ft.com) The 2022 fundraising scene is completely different than the prior 11 years. cbsnews.com) Economy Is crude oil losing its salience as an economic indicator? awealthofcommonsense.com) What falling tax withholding numbers say about the state of the economy. wapo.st) How long will consumer spending hold up?

Financial Advising 245

Financial Advising Advertising Economy Economics 245

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 28, 2022

Lists 9 surprising things that happened in 2022 including 'The Federal Reserve opening pushed for the stock market to fall.' awealthofcommonsense.com) 4 mistakes from 2022 including the idea of more funds equaling more diversification. morningstar.com) 35 ideas from 2022 including 'Long term investing is hard.'

Financial Advising 243

Financial Advising Valuation Media Economy 243

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 22, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of August 21st.

Economy 116

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 116

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 4, 2023

People often talk about "the economy" as a single entity whose parts move in unison, with a small number of key indicators (such as GDP, the unemployment rate, and inflation) moving reliably in relation to each other. manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months.

Valuation 225

Valuation Economics Economy Marketing 225

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 31, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of October 30th.

Economy 104

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 104

Integrity Financial Planning

JANUARY 9, 2023

The 2022 economic climate has been bumpy for most and, in some cases, even bumpier for retirees. Between 1991 and 2021, annual inflation averaged 2.5%, close to the Federal Reserve’s desired 2% target, which many believe to indicate a healthy economy. [1] 1] However, in 2022, this number spiked to 9.1% 1] [link]. [2]

Accounting 97

Accounting Retirement Economics Financial Planning 97

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 26, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of December 25th.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 24, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of October 23rd.

Economy 106

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 106

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 14, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of November 13th.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 7, 2022

When I put together my list of what was to blame for inflation , corporate profit-seeking was number (13 of 15). Generally speaking, high-profit margins are not a sign of an economy that is overheating. Economic Policy Institute, April 21, 2022). The truth about inflation (Popular Information, November 7, 2022).

Economics 335

Economics Economy Retail Numbers 335

The Big Picture

APRIL 27, 2023

Together they paint a fascinating picture of an economy robust enough to withstand the fastest set of rate increases in history, but also one that is showing signs of slowing. Previously : The Tide of Price over Volume (April 21, 2023) Signs of Softening (July 29, 2022) Are We in a Recession? (No)

Economy 299

Economy Economics Banking Numbers 299

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 5, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of December 4th.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

The Big Picture

JULY 26, 2023

It is one of those round numbers that people just kinda made up and started with for no apparent reason. But the 2% inflation target is LITERALLY a random number 2 that originated in New Zealand in the 1980s. The economy was sluggish, job creation as weak, consumer spending was soft. Their PTSD is palpable.

Economy 246

Economy Economics Numbers Banking 246

The Big Picture

JULY 25, 2022

What I have instead are questions about what the rest of 2022 looks like, and how deep into 2023 any damage persists. How much will the economy slow in Q3 and Q4? How much will the economy slow in Q3 and Q4? The economy, corporate revenues, earnings, and consumer spending are to some degree path dependent.

Economy 345

Economy Economics Engineering Food 345

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 29, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of August 28th.

Economy 104

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 104

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 17, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of October 15th.

Economy 97

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 97

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 10, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of October 8th.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 28, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of November 27th.

Economy 94

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 94

Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 26, 2023

tker.co) A link to the 2022 Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) institutionalinvestor.com) Amazon Amazon ($AMZN) is increasing the number of same-day shipping options. Sentencing Commission show judges rejected more than 80% of compassionate release requests filed from October 2019 through September 2022. annual shareholder report.

Ethics 243

Ethics License Financial Advising Startup 243

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 19, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of December 18th.

Economy 92

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 92

Nationwide Financial

JANUARY 17, 2023

In other economic news, the NFIB small business survey showed decreasing optimism among small business owners, many of whom have a negative outlook on the economy and expected sales for 2023. Housing starts in November were down over 19 percent from the beginning of 2022, with notable weakness in single-family starts.

Numbers 52

Numbers Economics Retail Sales 52

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 15, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of August 14th.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 12, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of December 11th.

Economy 89

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 89

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 21, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of November 20th.

Economy 86

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 86

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

JANUARY 30, 2024

One definition , according to a speech delivered by Tom Barkin, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, is “where inflation completes its journey back to normal levels while the economy stays healthy”. One might then wonder 1) what are normal inflation levels and 2) what defines a healthy economy. during this period.

Economy 75

Economy Financial Advisor Banking Economics 75

Calculated Risk

JULY 25, 2022

. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. This data is as of July 24th.

Economy 98

Economy Transportation Numbers Sales 98

Nerd's Eye View

JANUARY 3, 2024

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. As a result, uncertainty about how the economy may unfold, even along the shortest time frames, is the default.

Economics 229

Economics Marketing Marketing Economy 229

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 12, 2023

2) Employment: The economy added 4.5 million jobs in 2022. This makes 2022 the second-best year for job growth in US history, only behind the 6.7 Or will the economy lose jobs? Job losses in construction haven't started yet because a record number of housing units are under construction. million jobs added in 2021.

Economy 93

Economy Economics Sales Numbers 93

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 7, 2024

My back from vacay morning reads: • Pandemic Start-Ups Are Thriving, and Helping to Fuel the Economy : A record surge in new businesses has helped drive job growth, and could have longer-term benefits. ( That’s down from $44 billion in 2022. ( CNN ) • Harvard’s Not-So-Smart Money : Two Decades of Poor Returns and Rich Pay.

Electronics 144

Electronics Recruitment License Healthcare 144

The Big Picture

JANUARY 18, 2023

Today, the Producer Price Index and Consumer Retail Sales both showed the economy is decelerating and not on an inflation-adjusted basis. There is not a lot the Fed can do to increase the number of workers, create more single-family homes, end the Russian war in Ukraine, produce more semiconductors, or untangle snarled supply chains.

Economics 307

Economics Retail Economy Banking 307

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 2, 2022

Payrolls vs Employment Since March 2022 Nonfarm Payrolls: +2,692,000 Employment Level: +12,000 Full Time Employment: -398,000 Employment fell by 138,000 in November. Economy Added 263,000 Jobs in November" Both reports and mainstream in general miss the big picture captured in my lead chart. Change in Nonfarm Payrolls.

Retirement 327

Retirement Manufacturing Numbers Economics 327

The Big Picture

MARCH 13, 2024

And there’s a fair number of people who say 70%, two thirds of the stock market without any risk at all, market risk that is – sign me up for that. I have to go back to 2022 when the Fed began their rate hiking cycle. And what you saw in 2021 and 2022 is transitory inflation that got us to 9 percent on CPI.

Numbers 283

Numbers Insurance Economy Marketing 283