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Wednesday links: sub-optimal portfolios

Abnormal Returns

danieldrezner.substack.com) Fund management The shift from mutual funds to ETFs has accelerated in 2022. wsj.com) Economy The 3 month-18 month Treasury spread is almost inverted. The question is whether Elon Musk is the guy to do it. ramp.beehiiv.com) Elon is moving fast and breaking stuff at Twitter.

Portfolio 245
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2 Reasons the Generic 60/40 Portfolio Fails

Integrity Financial Planning

This strategy tells you to put 60% of your portfolio in equities and 40% in bonds or other fixed-income offerings. However, the 2022 economy has brought the classic 60/40 allocation strategy into question as both the stock and bond markets dip at the same time. In a 60/40 allocation, this negatively affects the whole portfolio.

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Forecasting Recessions

The Big Picture

This came up yesterday on Portfolio Rescue with Ben Carlson. We talked about how you should think about Wall Street forecasts about the economy. Economy, State by State (November 22, 2023) Can Economists Predict Recessions? It was before the very encouraging CPI, Unemployment, and GDP data releases. Previously : Slowing U.S.

Economy 282
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Supply Chain Is 40% of Inflation

The Big Picture

Most observers of the economy assumed the answer to his question was “some amount,” but I believe di Giovanni and his co-authors are the first to quantify it: “Our analysis of the relative importance of supply-side versus demand-side factors finds 60 percent of U.S. Liberty Street Economics, August 24, 2022). November 7, 2022).

Medicine 363
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Global Portfolio Strategy | October 5, 2022

James Hendries

economy following disappointing August inflation data was the top cause of the market’s struggles. in September, temporarily breaking below the June 2022 closing low. Alternative investments may not be suitable for all investors and should be considered as an investment for the risk capital portion of the investor’s portfolio.

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Midyear Outlook 2022 | Navigating Turbulence | July 12, 2022

James Hendries

We may not be flying into a storm, but there’s been plenty of turbulence the first part of 2022. How businesses, households, and central banks steer through the rough air will set the tone for markets over the second half of 2022. The sources of turbulence are clear. Diversification does not protect against market risk.

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Tuesday links: eliminating tilt

Abnormal Returns

Bonds Bonds are back as portfolio balance. wsj.com) Economy Companies are not talking recession. apolloacademy.com) Small business optimism is at its highest level since 2022. morningstar.com) Bonds have had a good run of late. ft.com) Markets Exchange stocks are outperforming. reuters.com) PPI continues heading lower.