The Big Picture

MAY 9, 2023

So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. I didn’t know what any of these terms meant. And there was a problem with 168 of them at the end of 2008.

Assets 299

Assets Clients Investing Investments 299

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 10, 2024

We've talked just a couple of times about the market becoming increasingly concentrated which just in terms of math means that a diversified strategy will lag for as long as the big names do well. Despite outperforming for 15 years, PSLDX was down 43% in 2022 which speaks to what diversification is about. In 2022 they didn't work.

Retirement 98

Retirement Asset Allocation Math Marketing 98

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 22, 2023

And then just a little math, the "guarantee" based on the 50/50 allocation would be 2.5% Down less clearly worked in 2022 and YTD HEQT is lagging the S&P 500 by 400 basis points. Portfolio 3 with 65% HEQT and 35% SPHB was down quite a bit less than the S&P 500 last year and the standard deviation is noticeably lower too.

Math 74

Math Portfolio Investing Investments 74

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

APRIL 12, 2023

The Wall Street Journal had an article about the standard 60/40 portfolio , that is 60% allocated to stocks and 40% allocated to fixed income. My experience is that the typical retired person/couple expects growth in exchange for some volatility from the equity portion of their portfolio, they don't want it from their fixed income sleeve.

Portfolio 75

Portfolio Math Clients Retirement 75

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 27, 2022

In my ongoing quest to redefine portfolio construction, I've mentioned labeling asset classes based on their attributes versus just their proper names like growth which could include more than just equities or inflation protected which could include more than just TIPS and so on. We talk frequently about portfolios being relatively simple.

Portfolio 96

Portfolio Clients Assets Math 96

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 14, 2023

She has a really fascinating background, very eclectic, a combination of math and law. You, you get a, a BS in Mathematics and a JD from Boston University Math and Law. It is something, math has always come easy to me since a child. I didn’t get an advanced degree in math. Not the usual combination. What happened?

Math 130

Math Management Insurance Assets 130

Integrity Financial Planning

JANUARY 23, 2023

In fact, as of September 2022, over 70 million Americans were collecting benefits. [1] You might have a generic 60/40 portfolio that you expected to cover the rest of your income needs but that possibly needs updating after recent market activity. 3] So, it’s easy math: the less you work, the less you’ll earn.

Retirement 89

Retirement Math Retirement Planning Planning 89

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 1, 2022

Here's a quote I saw attributed to Barry Ritholtz: “The Best Portfolio is probably the one which sacrifices a bit of performance, but helps you sleep at night.” Barry's quote reminded me of another influence on how I try to manage client portfolio volatility and why I use alts (yes, that conversation continues). Cannot be done?

Portfolio 40

Portfolio Math Management Clients 40

Validea

JUNE 14, 2023

The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap. trillion, and by the end of 2022, it had soared to $40.5 A well-diversified portfolio can help protect against the unpredictable nature of the stock market.

Math 109

Math Accounting Marketing Marketing 109

Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2022

Global Leaders Investment Letter: June 2022 mhannan Thu, 06/16/2022 - 11:30 Just want the PDF? We discount each year at our 10% minimum weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and some infinite series maths gives us the basis for some rough approximations 2.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Accounting Valuation 52

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MARCH 20, 2023

The way the math works, a 67% allocation to NTSX (Portfolio 2 with 33% in the T-bill ETF) equals 100% in Vanguard Balanced Index Fund (VBAIX) which is a proxy for 60/40 and Portfolio 3. Portfolio 1 is 100% in NTSX which in 2022 was down 25.84% versus down 16.85% for Portfolio 2 and 16.87% for Portfolio 3.

Assets 74

Assets Portfolio Math Management 74

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 19, 2023

Her job is portfolio and product solutions and that means she could go anywhere in the world and do anything. One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics.

Assets 147

Assets Management Investing Investments 147

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. I — I — I think 50 plus 75 plus 75 plus whatever happened September 2022, that’s the end of the soft landing. RITHOLTZ: Applied Mathematics, Quants, those guys, yeah.

Clients 299

Clients Wealth Management Banking Investing 299

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

AUGUST 1, 2024

We regularly look at capital efficiency and its potential uses in portfolio construction. Consider the following two portfolios. In terms of risk weighting or volatility weighting, a smaller allocation to semiconductors could deliver the same benefit to a portfolio as a larger weighting to broad tech.

Math 52

Math Portfolio Accounting Taxes 52

Darrow Wealth Management

MAY 22, 2023

In fact, the Federal Reserve has raised the upper limit federal funds rate by 5% since the beginning of 2022. Again just using simple math, this presumes the par value will roll over each month and reinvest at the same rate to get to the annual yield. Hold cash or invest? Interest rates have skyrocketed since the end of 2021.

Investing 102

Investing Investments Accounting Wealth Management 102

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 10, 2023

A little more specifically the need for diversified portfolios persists with the implication that bonds are the way to get this done. This chart contributes to the logic supporting a 60/40 portfolio. As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% Portfolio 2 above has 65% in growth. in November.

Portfolio 74

Portfolio Math Assets Retirement 74

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 14, 2022

Here's how QYLD has done for the last 5 years coming into 2022, so before the market was underway, versus the NASDAQ. And here is 2022, the bear market. Similar to PUTW, it didn't offer protection during the pandemic crash of 2020 but only dropping half of what the S&P 500 index has dropped in 2022 is impressive and surprises me.

Portfolio 72

Portfolio Math Clients Marketing 72

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 24, 2024

That is correct, technically but whatever you're looking for from REITs, or private equity or any of the others, you're not going to see it impact the portfolio as part of an index fund. Mistakes during those types of events are what managing portfolios is all about.

Math 75

Math Portfolio Marketing Marketing 75

The Big Picture

JANUARY 21, 2025

You would offer three of their stock picks where they were probably touting stocks they wanted to unload from their portfolio. But the numbers you can’t argue with, I mean, we all know that the brutal math of investing before costs investors collectively will earn the market return after costs. That’s exactly right.

Investing 147

Investing Investments Management Retirement 147

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

OCTOBER 29, 2023

This year, its performance has it the top 1% of mutual funds but in “2021 and 2022 it was ranked in the bottom 100th percentile.” Here I am talking not just portfolio management but overall lifestyle, habits and choices and yes this does filter into my day job managing investment portfolios. So it is today with bonds.

Insurance 96

Insurance Clients Math Portfolio 96

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

SEPTEMBER 29, 2024

Risk parity portfolios are particularly vulnerable when their active weighting algorithms fail to predict shifts in asset correlations." The authors noted that risk parity did very well for a long time but that "bond based risk-parity failed miserably in 2022." The leverage is usually obtained by using treasury futures.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Assets Management Math 52

The Better Letter

DECEMBER 15, 2022

Those of us called upon professionally to write about market performance in 2022 as the year ends are necessarily struggling for the right verbiage. That’s because, in language as plain as I can make it, pretty much every market and sector has had a very bad 2022. The Bloomberg U.S. Things are no better overseas.

Investing 80

Investing Investments Portfolio Numbers 80

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 11, 2024

If at the start of the year, someone put 100% into the Vanguard Balanced Index Fund (VBAIX) as a proxy for a 60/40 portfolio, then to employ a portable alpha strategy, they could use leverage to add something to hopefully make it additive to returns. Imagine the Intel scenario of down 59% on top of VBAIX dropping 16% in 2022.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Management Math Taxes 52

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

If you’re at all interested in focused portfolios, the concept of quality as a sub-sector under value and just how you build a portfolio and a track record, that’s tough to beat. Dick Mayo was a traditional, I’d say portfolio, strong portfolio manager focused on US stocks. So I was at Harvard.

Valuation 130

Valuation Investing Investments Assets 130

Steve Sanduski

AUGUST 4, 2022

Charles Schwab just released their 2022 RIA Benchmarking Study and I decided to crunch the numbers and see what the data shows. With a traditional 60/40 allocation, this portfolio would have grown about 75.5% For comparison, a passive 60/40 bond portfolio, as mentioned above, grew at a CAGR of 11.9%. AUM Growth.

Math 52

Math Portfolio Numbers Financial Market 52

Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

After this meteoric multi-year rise, stock values started to come back to earth in 2022, and the rocket ship turned into a roller coaster during January. Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. Source: Calafia Beach Pundit. www.Sidoxia.com.

Math 52

Math Assets Investing Investments 52

The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

So I came down, met with our head of the portfolio review department, which oversees our external managers, met with our head of brokerage, and then met with the head of bind indexing, who was Ken Volpert at the time. And she was like, “You should come down and talk to some people at Vanguard.”

Portfolio 130

Portfolio Investing Investments Numbers 130

Trade Brains

DECEMBER 16, 2022

And when used for ROE, as per the basic rule of math, if the denominator decreases, the fraction as whole increases i.e, On a yearly basis, from 2018 to 2022, the company has a return on equity of 36.56%, 45.3%, 70.39%, 105.76%, and 104.53% respectively. The ROE numbers from 2018 to 2022 are 57.17%, 49.79%, 42.74%, 71.64%, and 83.3%

Pharmaceutical 59

Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Engineering Distribution 59

Sara Grillo

MAY 16, 2022

From the company’s website, as of May 16th, 2022: Single people. From the company’s ADV Part 2 brochure, as of May 16th, 2022: Fees are set as a fixed annual fee, paid quarterly, and based approximately on the total time required to service an account yearly. But, let’s say you had a much smaller portfolio.

Financial Advisor 52

Financial Advisor Financial Advice Financial Planner Assets 52

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

NOVEMBER 19, 2023

I was little concern during 2022 with high inflation with the market downturn. If the 4% treasury portfolio pays out $50,000 today, it will pay the same $50,000 in 2038 with no growth in account value. Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills.

Retirement 75

Retirement Accounting Math Healthcare 75

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 1, 2023

Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills. We've also looked at countless ways to incorporate a small allocation to covered calls funds to help reduce portfolio volatility, so using them as alts in a matter of speaking. In 2022 it dropped 13% versus about 19% for the S&P 500.

Math 74

Math Retirement Numbers Portfolio 74

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 3, 2024

All of their portfolio managers not only are substantial investors in each of their funds, but they do a disclosure year that shows each manager by name and how much money they have invested in their own fund. So we really think that it creates alignment to have our portfolio managers meaningfully owning shares of the funds that they manage.

Investing 147

Investing Investments Management Valuation 147

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 8, 2023

Here are some other numbers compared to the S&P 500 and VBAIX which is a proxy for a 60/40 portfolio. The way the math works, a 67% allocation to NTSX replicates 100% into a 60/40 portfolio which leaves 33% left over to do something. In 2022, VBAIX was down 16.87% while Portfolio 2 was only down 10.77%.

Portfolio 40

Portfolio Math Management Investing 40

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

But you know exactly how they’re going to interplay within a portfolio, hugely powerful. You know, it’s not the equity market, and I run some big equity portfolios, you know, different. But, you know, it’s been in a portfolio for a long time. Last year, it’s in our tactical portfolios.

Economy 147

Economy Numbers Marketing Marketing 147

The Better Letter

MARCH 18, 2025

Both 2021 and 2022 each had 14 upsets; there were 10 upsets in 2023 and nine in 2024, if only three in 2007. Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 It applies to your personal portfolio, too. quintillion.

Numbers 75

Numbers Marketing Marketing Medicine 75

Brown Advisory

JANUARY 17, 2024

One of our colleagues, Ken Stuzin, likens portfolio construction to Darwinian Investing – it is about survival of the fittest. In a concentrated portfolio, it is the losers that kill you. What sort of hit rate should we then expect within their portfolio? 5 As Table 2 below highlights, this team appears to be seriously good!

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Compliance 52

The Big Picture

JANUARY 16, 2024

I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. I worked in sort of a quasi portfolio management role for like a single client account type business. And then I worked on it throughout the GFC and then became the senior portfolio manager during the recovery period.

Assets 264

Assets Investing Investments Management 264