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Question #6 for 2023: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2023?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. A majority of FOMC participants expect three or even four 25 bp rate hikes in 2023. What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2023? We continue to expect no rate cuts in 2023."

Economy 236
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Nobody Knows Anything, Dot Plot Edition

The Big Picture

When it comes to forecasting economic outcomes, the Fed is no better or worse than anybody else. They may be terrible economic forecasters but give them credit for not burying bad predictions like so many on Wall Street tend to do. Go to the Fed’s website, and search for “ Summary of Economic Projections.”

Economics 325
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At the Money: Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed President on Tariffs, Inflation and Monetary Policy

The Big Picture

How should investors view the relationship between trade policy and inflation in the current economic environment? Gwinn Professor of Economics Masters in Business (coming soon) ~~~ Find all of the previous At the Money episodes here , and in the MiB feed on Apple Podcasts , YouTube , Spotify , and Bloomberg. What was it about?

Economy 162
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Slower momentum heading into 2023

Nationwide Financial

Highlights from the Monthly Review for January 2023: The U.S. economy is in the late cycle period with the Fed responding to rapid inflation with a sharp tightening of financial conditions to slow domestic demand. Key Takeaways: Economic Review: Demand for workers supports resilient labor market.

Economy 98
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Weekly Market Insights – December 4, 2023

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Market sentiment remained positive as the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation showed ongoing signs of softening inflation pressures, boosting hopes that the Fed may be able to end its rate hikes and consider rate cuts sometime next year. 5 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Factory Orders. IRS.gov, March 28, 2023 7.

Marketing 105
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Episode #508: Jim Bianco on “The Biggest Economic Event of Our Lifetime” & The End of the 40-Year Bond Bull Market

Meb Faber Research

Episode #508: Jim Bianco on “The Biggest Economic Event of Our Lifetime” & The End of the 40-Year Bond Bull Market Guest: Jim Bianco is the President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, which offers macro investment research on financial markets.

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Banking crisis overshadowed the data, but inflation remains persistently elevated: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook

Nationwide Financial

The stresses in the banking system and ripple effects in the financial markets even overshadowed the incoming inflation data. Fed officials argue that they can separate changes in interest rates from banking/market/liquidity stresses due to the use of emergency Fed programs. Key Takeaways: What we learned last week: (pg.

Banking 98