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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

Welcome to 2023! Let’s jump into the new year with some fresh observations, some of which are quite surprising: • Astronomical Measures of Time Are Unrelated to Investing : 2023 – a new year! Might 2023 be a fourth major March bottom? It is natural to hope the flipping of the calendar brings something new and different.

Economy 328
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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (October 2023)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the October 2023 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors!

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Forecasting Recessions

The Big Picture

The problem is those sets of forecasts is already 2 months old, dated October 3, 2023. This came up yesterday on Portfolio Rescue with Ben Carlson. We talked about how you should think about Wall Street forecasts about the economy. Economy, State by State (November 22, 2023) Can Economists Predict Recessions?

Economy 288
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Friday links: a boost to growth

Abnormal Returns

Markets A look at major asset class returns in 2023. visualcapitalist.com) Long technology, short utilities was the trade in 2023. morningstar.com) A look at different variants of the 60/40 portfolio. etf.com) Economy The December NFP report showed continued payroll growth and a 3.7% unemployment rate.

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Recession Playbook

The Reformed Broker

Let’s assume we’re going to have a recession in 2023. Are there changes you could make to a portfolio in order to gird yourself for a worsening economy? I don’t know if we will, but everyone seems to think so, so let’s just say. What can you do to stop it? Absolutely.

Economy 258
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What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?

The Big Picture

I run through 30 charts in 30 minutes that explain where we are in the economic cycle, what markets are doing, and what it means to their portfolios. The economy is not on the right track, even as Americans’ Net Worth Surged by Most in Decades During Pandemic. This quarter, it was Sentiment. Atlantic, Oct.

Media 351
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Monday links: unprecedented employment

Abnormal Returns

Markets Every major asset class, except commodities, is set for an up 2023. ft.com) Triple-levered anything can wreck your portfolio. ft.com) Economy Consumers are finally pushing back against higher prices. econbrowser.com) If you are looking for signs of weakness in the economy, here they are.

Media 277