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Global Leaders Strategy Investment Letter: January 2024 bgregorio Wed, 01/17/2024 - 05:23 Just want the PDF? We all know that a 55% hit rate is the top decile across the industry, and the maths above demonstrates why. but our minds were more focused on thinking about the losers. This is why industry hit rates are so low.
Between 1985 and 2024, there were 8.5 Both 2021 and 2022 each had 14 upsets; there were 10 upsets in 2023 and nine in 2024, if only three in 2007. Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 upsets per tournament (4.7
But the numbers you can’t argue with, I mean, we all know that the brutal math of investing before costs investors collectively will earn the market return after costs. It was just a struggle from day one, particularly in the regulatory environment that is the securities business between lawyers and compliance people.
And pretty much, you know, July and August, that’s about what we’ve seen in 2024. I’m not saying you, I’m saying the street throughout 23, the first half of 24, as of August of 2024, there are no signs of a recession. So what are your thoughts on the possibility of a recession in 2024 or, or more likely 2025?
Tell us a little bit about what you do on Twitter and how was it getting that through legal and compliance? RIEDER: Well, first of all, anything I tweet goes through legal and compliance before it gets out there, first part. How are we doing in literacy versus math versus science? I use immense amount of data and analysis.
For a broad view of our expectations for the economy, stocks, and bonds in 2024, download our 2024 Market Outlook. After huge gains last year and a rocky start to 2024, the S&P 500 rebounded during the second half of January and managed to finish the month higher. When January is down, the market is up about 2.1%
00:10:47 [Speaker Changed] So in the additive services that Orion offers now are financial planning, compliance, CRM services, risk and analysis portfolio construction and advisor portal and investor portal. And yeah, here we are in 2024 and it’s still a subject of debate. That’s right. So tell us a little bit about that.
Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.
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