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3%: Great Depression, GFC, 1970s & 2020s?

The Big Picture

In other words, if you were forecasting 10-year returns of 3% annually, you are also forecasting an economic shitstorm of rare and historic proportions. I do believe that the economic gains we are going to see in technology justify higher market prices. But that’s a very different discussion than 3% annually for 10 years.

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Why Quality Factor ETFs Have Seen Large Inflows Over The Last Year – And How Advisors Can Use Them In Client Portfolios

Nerd's Eye View

As a result, advicers have more options than ever to add value for their clients by tailoring investment portfolios that are specific to their unique needs, goals, and risk tolerance. As a result, this macroeconomic and market uncertainty has ostensibly driven a preference for overweighting higher-quality companies in investment portfolios.

Portfolio 189
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Debunking QSR Minimum Wage BS: A Follow Up

The Big Picture

Barry adds: Two things to add to this discussion: It’s yet another reminder that investors must always be on guard for nonsensical claims from partisans who have zero concern for your portfolio. Times, June 12, 2024 Free mirror: Yahoo The post Debunking QSR Minimum Wage BS: A Follow Up appeared first on The Big Picture.

Food 305
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Forecasting Recessions

The Big Picture

This came up yesterday on Portfolio Rescue with Ben Carlson. The entire discussion is worth watching, but the video below is teed up for the economic forecasting discussion. Economic Forecasts: What’s the Probability of a Recession in 2024? It was before the very encouraging CPI, Unemployment, and GDP data releases.

Economy 288
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Friday links: a boost to growth

Abnormal Returns

visualcapitalist.com) Strategy How to read all those market and economic forecasts. morningstar.com) A look at different variants of the 60/40 portfolio. wsj.com) ETFs Five ETF predictions for 2024 including the spot Bitcoin ETF. (visualcapitalist.com) Long technology, short utilities was the trade in 2023. unemployment rate.

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Carson Investment Research Forecasts the Rest of 2024

Carson Wealth

Carson Investment Research 2024 Midyear Outlook: Eyes on the Prize The economy continues to see a solid rate of expansion with low risk of a recession. We are targeting a total return for the S&P 500 of 17-20% in 2024. And while bonds have briefly stumbled, some other portfolio diversifiers, including gold, have done well.

Investing 139
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Sunday links: poor listeners

Abnormal Returns

Markets Should you care what Wall Street strategists have to say about 2024? wsj.com) Strategy Remember all that talk about how the 60/40 portfolio was broken? wsj.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. tker.co) There are a lot of stocks, especially on the Nasdaq, trading below $1 a share.