Remove 2024 Remove Economics Remove Portfolio
article thumbnail

“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

This is true about equity and bond markets, specific company stocks, and economic data series. Consider this December 29, 2024, year-end review in Bloomberg : “By this time last year, the stock markets rally had blown past even the most optimistic targets, and Wall Street forecasters were convinced it couldnt keep up the dizzying pace.

Banking 345
article thumbnail

MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 0.47% in Octoberr

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 0.47% in October The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) monthly Loan Monitoring Survey revealed that the total number of loans now in forbearance increased to 0.47% as of October 31, 2024. Notwithstanding the storms, some borrowers may be experiencing other economic distress.

Portfolio 147
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Friday links: the siren song of FOMO

Abnormal Returns

(sherwood.news) Five economic reasons to be thankful including 'Low unemployment claims. abnormalreturns.com) Personal finance links: a boring portfolio. apps.npr.org) The ten best history books from 2024 including "Wide Awake: The Forgotten Force That Elected Lincoln and Spurred the Civil War" by Jon Grinspan.

Media 162
article thumbnail

3%: Great Depression, GFC, 1970s & 2020s?

The Big Picture

In other words, if you were forecasting 10-year returns of 3% annually, you are also forecasting an economic shitstorm of rare and historic proportions. I do believe that the economic gains we are going to see in technology justify higher market prices. But that’s a very different discussion than 3% annually for 10 years.

article thumbnail

Why Quality Factor ETFs Have Seen Large Inflows Over The Last Year – And How Advisors Can Use Them In Client Portfolios

Nerd's Eye View

As a result, advicers have more options than ever to add value for their clients by tailoring investment portfolios that are specific to their unique needs, goals, and risk tolerance. As a result, this macroeconomic and market uncertainty has ostensibly driven a preference for overweighting higher-quality companies in investment portfolios.

Portfolio 189
article thumbnail

Debunking QSR Minimum Wage BS: A Follow Up

The Big Picture

Barry adds: Two things to add to this discussion: It’s yet another reminder that investors must always be on guard for nonsensical claims from partisans who have zero concern for your portfolio. Times, June 12, 2024 Free mirror: Yahoo The post Debunking QSR Minimum Wage BS: A Follow Up appeared first on The Big Picture.

Food 305
article thumbnail

Forecasting Recessions

The Big Picture

This came up yesterday on Portfolio Rescue with Ben Carlson. The entire discussion is worth watching, but the video below is teed up for the economic forecasting discussion. Economic Forecasts: What’s the Probability of a Recession in 2024? It was before the very encouraging CPI, Unemployment, and GDP data releases.

Economy 288