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Journal (restaurant) reporter who inappropriately used non-seasonally adjusted numbers to make the following claim : “California had 726,600 people working in fast-food and other limited-service eateries in January [2024], down 1.3% ” A bit of quick math: 726,600/0.987 = 736,170 (starting point).
Markets The S&P 500 returned 5.87% in November 2024. on.spdji.com) It's hard to make the math on hedge funds add up. nytimes.com) Budgeting When you do the math, it's hard to find trillions to save in the federal budget. prospect.org) The math on mass deportation doesn't add up. Just ask Norway. Well, you should.
The text accompanying that chart reads: “ Consumption: in 2024, one third of GDP came from government spending, a record high excluding periods of war or crisis; this was financed by 6-7% budget deficits, another unwelcome peacetime record.” How can this be? Maybe my animus toward DOGE is misplaced.
Do we simply ignore the growth in the size of the economy and the U.S. Economy in 2022 was $25,439.70B; in 2009, it was $14,478.06B; ignore that also? from 2009, and by 2024 you get (wait for it) $193.44T. That none of these things occurred makes me wonder why we still pay attention to these deficit hawks. population?
At The Money: Behavior Beats Intelligence (July 24, 2024) We focus most of our investing efforts on information and knowledge. Morgan Housel Finance types tend to focus on attributes like intelligence, math skills and computer programming. It’s not just what the economy is doing and what the market’s doing.
Weekly Market Insights : New Years Blues Stocks retreated in the first trading week of 2024, struggling a bit after a celebratory end to last year as investors second-guessed Fed signals and fretted over lingering inflation concerns. Source: YCharts.com, January 6, 2024. The Wall Street Journal, January 5, 2024 2.
Bracketology (2024 Edition) As my friend Mark Newfield likes to say , the Forecasters Hall of Fame has zero members. Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 Issue 168 (March 15, 2024) Thanks for visiting.
Look outside the popular favorites for new themes as we head into 2024 The Price Tag for Downside Protection – Protecting the downside often means lagging the upside By David Nelson, CFA CMT As 2023 comes to a close, it is time for a raw, no-holds-barred reflection on the investment battlefield.
Between 1985 and 2024, there were 8.5 Both 2021 and 2022 each had 14 upsets; there were 10 upsets in 2023 and nine in 2024, if only three in 2007. Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 upsets per tournament (4.7
I try to analyze the economy from the top. And to this day, we know when I have a view on the economy, or usually have a view on the economy or inflation, it’s usually driven because I read so many corporate earnings reports and trying to understand why they’re cutting inventory, why are they laying off people.
And pretty much, you know, July and August, that’s about what we’ve seen in 2024. I’m not saying you, I’m saying the street throughout 23, the first half of 24, as of August of 2024, there are no signs of a recession. And that’s your focus on government, both fiscal and monetary support for the economy.
I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. So with the caveat that Wall Street has been wrong about this for, you know, two or three years, wall Street is now anticipating at least two rate cuts in 2024. And I, I think that I kind of triangulated on it.
One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. Two reasons.
Yes, the economy can clearly keep roaring along, which we’ve seen. So investors and savers are definitely eating into that safety net, which over time as that continues to decline should slow the economy down to some degree. They’re definitely trying to slow the economy down. One, it becomes a factor.
And at the time when I graduated the economy, it was very good. Barry Ritholtz : Oh, so booming economy, 50 grand in the nineties for right outta college. Like if you look today 2024 in music, you can’t break out a star anymore. 00:40:26 [Speaker Changed] They, they know, they know math, they know math.
The economy created 353,000 jobs in January, surprising to the upside. Job gains continue to support income growth, which in turn supports consumer spending and the overall economy. For a broad view of our expectations for the economy, stocks, and bonds in 2024, download our 2024 Market Outlook. and higher 75.7%
Moreover, “proof” in science in inductive and doesn’t have the deductive certainty that it can in math. Humans have extended lifespans and expanded economies. These categories can be bit loose, of course, with distinctions based upon the nature and quality of the evidence. Humans have split atoms and spliced genes.
sherwood.news) Microstrategy ($MSTR) math doesn't math. on.ft.com) Economy Corporate profits stalled out in Q3 2024. (morningstar.com) Tom Lee's Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF ($GRNY) is live. msn.com) Microstrategy Microstrategy ($MSTR) owns more Bitcoin than China or the U.S. governments.
sportsbook in 2024. theatlantic.com) Economy Interest rates can fall for good (and bad) reasons. downtownjoshbrown.com) The many ways tariffs could impact the economy. abnormalreturns.com) Research links: more than math. (wheresyoured.at) OpenAI alumni are the new Tiger Cubs. There's already so much.
I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math. Your real business is having the best perspective of what is happening this moment in the economy. So, so let’s talk a little bit about the state of the economy today. So at that point, I had a pretty big career. Your side hustle. Really interesting.
They 00:38:39 [Speaker Changed] Price insensitive, they 00:38:41 [Speaker Changed] Right, they cared what the lower mortgage rate did to the economy. And the people that live in those homes for the most part are not candidates to get a mortgage in the 2024 mortgage standards 00:54:45 [Speaker Changed] Market.
I would say the thing that connects them is just voracious curiosity about the world of politics and, you know, economies and trying to make sense out of it. So here’s the math, Barry. It’s gonna take a while to integrate, integrate those folks back into other parts of the economy. You know, all of these things.
Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.
The economy, the markets, and the world-at-large provide unlimited fodder for them. That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. ” Nobody does. And lots of surprises.
I think most of us want to see the sustainable platform succeed, but the rational among us know that we aren’t going to get there by trashing the global economy along the way. Do the Math! Unlikely, the Senate has the votes to override this veto, but you can bet this will be an election year issue in 2024. All in ESG.
Colin Camerer : So I, some of it was when I was in college at Johns Hopkins, I, I studied physics and math. And there was people, Physics didn’t have, people, psychology didn’t have math, economics was kind of the right mix. The, the reason I ask, we are recording this about two weeks before the 2024 presidential election.
Simultaneously with sending those to my editor, an email arrives asking: “ If the economy is so robust, how do you explain all of these restaurant closings ?!” Even an accurate list of closures tells you little about the state of the economy. That was news to me. Or, compare that to the pre-pandemic year. August 9, 2022) _ 1.
These dumped a ton of cash into the economy all at once in 2020 and 2021. It has since rebounded in 2H ’22, 2023, and 2024; 2. The basic maths is a shortage of qualified workers (or even bodies to put to work) equals rising wages. CARES Act II was another $800 billion; CARES Act III was nearly 1.8
2024 Forecasting Follies In the Star Trek universe, the Kobayashi Maru is a Starfleet Academy training exercise for future officers in the command track. 2024 wasn’t any different. As always, I lead with Wall Street, the markets, and the economy, the objects of my day job. ” There were 57 all-time highs in 2024.
The interlinkages between women, our education policy, labor force, productivity, and again, ultimately the growth of the economy. But there’s such a difference between how they operate the economy and, and especially the financial sector. What do we do about that that costs the US United States GDP growth in the summer months.
RITHOLTZ: I’m going to take that bet with you for 2024. RITHOLTZ: So 5% funds rate, what does that do to the economy? And I’m like, “Well, if Bob Shiller is putting on the seatbelts, maybe he’s done the math, maybe I should be wearing a seatbelt in the back of the car.” SIEGEL: Yeah. So two questions.
You’re doing a lot of math in your head on the Fly. I’m doing, I’m doing an awful lot of math in my head on the fly. And really the answer to that question is what happens in 2024? And you think it had a positive impact on the economy? 01:18:01 [Speaker Changed] Really? So far we have not seen that.
It’ll reduce new company formation, it’ll make us borrowing costs skyrocket, it’ll devalue the US dollar, it’s gonna cause rampant inflation and it will act as a drag on the overall economy. Wasn’t the Excel spreadsheet error, which changed their math. And their economy seems to be doing just fine.
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