Remove 2024 Remove Economy Remove Portfolio
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Wednesday links: a new revenue model

Abnormal Returns

(blockworks.co) Strategy Rubin Miller, "Investing on hopes and hunches — making emotional decisions — is why so few portfolios earn the actual market return." behaviouralinvestment.com) Why the 60/40 portfolio isn't going anywhere. wsj.com) Economy What is the freight industry tell us about the economy?

Valuation 279
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Forecasting Recessions

The Big Picture

This came up yesterday on Portfolio Rescue with Ben Carlson. We talked about how you should think about Wall Street forecasts about the economy. Economy, State by State (November 22, 2023) Can Economists Predict Recessions? Economic Forecasts: What’s the Probability of a Recession in 2024? Previously : Slowing U.S.

Economy 288
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Thursday links: stand alone statements

Abnormal Returns

January 2024 How major asset classes performed in January 2024. collabfund.com) Four steps to build a no-fuss portfolio including eliminating redundant accounts. thinkadvisor.com) Economy The ISM manufacturing index seems to have bottomed. on.spdji.com) Strategy Overconfidence is a killer for investors.

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Friday links: a boost to growth

Abnormal Returns

morningstar.com) A look at different variants of the 60/40 portfolio. wsj.com) ETFs Five ETF predictions for 2024 including the spot Bitcoin ETF. etf.com) Economy The December NFP report showed continued payroll growth and a 3.7% (visualcapitalist.com) Long technology, short utilities was the trade in 2023. unemployment rate.

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Carson Investment Research Forecasts the Rest of 2024

Carson Wealth

Carson Investment Research 2024 Midyear Outlook: Eyes on the Prize The economy continues to see a solid rate of expansion with low risk of a recession. We are targeting a total return for the S&P 500 of 17-20% in 2024. And while bonds have briefly stumbled, some other portfolio diversifiers, including gold, have done well.

Investing 139
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Sunday links: poor listeners

Abnormal Returns

Markets Should you care what Wall Street strategists have to say about 2024? wsj.com) Strategy Remember all that talk about how the 60/40 portfolio was broken? axios.com) Economy Josh Brown, "The economy ought to be able to heal itself for the most part. nytimes.com) It's easy to load up on cash, harder to put it to work.

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3%: Great Depression, GFC, 1970s & 2020s?

The Big Picture

Forecasting one form of economic disaster or another over the next 10 years is not much of a reach; you will be hard-pressed to think of any decade where some economic calamity or another didn’t befall the global economy. Of course, you can find other forecasts that are friendlier to your portfolio, For example, JP Morgan sees U.S.