This site uses cookies to improve your experience. To help us insure we adhere to various privacy regulations, please select your country/region of residence. If you do not select a country, we will assume you are from the United States. Select your Cookie Settings or view our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Used for the proper function of the website
Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Strictly Necessary: Used for the proper function of the website
Performance/Analytics: Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
Fed's Beige Book Economic activity increased slightly to moderately across the twelve Federal Reserve Districts in late November and December. The nonfinancial services sector grew slightly overall, with Districts highlighting growth in leisure and hospitality and transportation, notably air travel. Vehicle sales grew modestly.
Fed Chair Powell presents the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. -- Monday, February 10th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, February 11th -- 6:00 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for January. The consensus is for CPI to be up 2.9% year-over-year and core CPI to be up 3.2%
range (or even lower) in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025. This is counterintuitive, since the Fed went big with a 0.50%-point cut at their September meeting and projected more cuts into 2024 and 2025. If economic growth is expected to be strong, there’s presumably less reason for the Fed to cut rates by a lot.
As the chart below shows, the S&P 500s advance/decline line has held up well above the early 2025 lows, whereas price for the S&P 500 has broken beneath those levels, suggesting there is potential strength under the surface. We wrote in our 2025 Outlook that elevated interest rates are a risk.
Current Market Volatility Normal for a Bull Market The S&P 500 is off to a bit of a rocky start in 2025, an extension of weakness in December 2024. Cue expectations for rate cuts in 2025, which moved significantly after the payroll report was released. The 2025 policy rate is expected to be about 4.1% (currently at 4.4%).
In other words, after back-to-back 20% gains the past two years, maybe a well-deserved break to kick off 2025 is perfectly normal. Given our overall still positive economic backdrop, to see this much worry in the air is actually rather bullish and why we dont expect the recent weakness to spiral out of control.
The series of events was created as part of NAIFA’s participation in Women’s History Month and to deliver on several aspects of its Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion initiative that is part of its 2025 Strategic Plan. Capitol that was supported in attendance by board members from NAIFA’s advocacy partner, Women in FinancialServices (WIFS).
They’re about shaping India’s economic future. HDFC Bank – HDB FinancialServices HDFC Bank , one of India’s leading private sector banks, is preparing to unlock value from its non-banking finance arm, HDB FinancialServices. These upcoming IPOs aren’t just about raising money.
This influx pushed total FPI investments to ₹89,717 crore for the first half of the 2024-2025financial year. In this, financialservices emerged as the clear favourite. The sudden surge in financialservices interest Is driven by FTSE weight increases for ICICI Bank and Kotak Bank. on September 27.
This benefited multiple companies that earn from activities in the financial markets. Both of them have millions of clients and offer financialservices. Through its innovative approach and digital prowess, Angel One Limited continues to play a pivotal role in shaping the financial landscape for millions of Indians.
Digital advancements have led to the modularization of financialservices, especially credit. Two-wheeler sales are projected to improve by 9-10% in fiscal 2025, following 14% growth in fiscal 2024. However, volumes in fiscal 2025 are expected to remain about 10% lower than the peak in fiscal 2019 due to significant price hikes.
And in my summer in between I worked for Mayor Daley in Chicago on economic development issues. I do think, you know, AI is obviously gonna be continued to be a big story over the course of 2025. 00:42:39 [Speaker Changed] I don’t think that’s in the 2025 cards, let’s put it that way. Hey, that’s fair.
Industry Overview India’s GDP is projected to exhibit robust growth exceeding 6% for the fiscal year 2024, indicating a promising economic trajectory. With an increasingly large workforce and a growing middle- and lower-income demographic, the need for financialservices is set to rise sharply.
Yes Bank vs IDFC Bank : Banks are the economic engine. Growing income and population can drive demand for goods and services in the long run. They offer loans and banking services to small and medium-sized businesses. Individuals, small businesses, and corporations can all benefit from the bank’s financialservices.
There is some concern that inflation is surging even as economic activity remains strong, the “no-landing” scenario. That’s going to be a big tailwind for the economy, and markets, as we go into 2025. The good news is that as of September, profit margins for retailers/wholesalers were up 1.6%
Industry Overview The Indian Fintech industry is expected to reach US$ 150 billion by 2025, making it the third largest in the world. Despite the economic slowdown in Fiscal 2020, bank deposits grew by around 9%. It also provides non-financialservices for Micro Loan customers, further strengthening its customer relationships.
With a strong performance in recent years and a focus on sustainability, RIL is well-positioned to enhance its role in India’s dynamic economic landscape. This article examines Reliance Industries Limited’s (RIL) growth strategies from its recent AGM, covering plans for retail, digital services, and energy. Current Ratio 1.18
However, since November 2020, there were signs of credit revival alongside green shoots of recovery in economic activity. ICICI Bank Limited is an Indian multinational bank and financialservices company. It offers a diversified portfolio of financial products and services to retail, SME, and corporate customers.
They also act as a potential driver for economic growth by powering exports to attract foreign investments and significantly contributing to the nation’s GDP. Raymond’s plans Raymond plans to expand its Ethnix retail brand to over 200 stores by 2025. Particulars Amt Particulars Amt CMP 3,036.80 Market Cap (Cr) 19,437 Stock P.E (TTM)
They also act as a potential driver for economic growth by powering exports to attract foreign investments and significantly contributing to the nation’s GDP. Raymond’s plans Raymond plans to expand its Ethnix retail brand to over 200 stores by 2025. Particulars Amt Particulars Amt CMP 3,036.80 Market Cap (Cr) 19,437 Stock P.E (TTM)
Therefore, the Indian government has brought about economic reforms. The group is present across various industries such as auto components, abrasives, financialservices, transmission systems, cycles, sugars, farm inputs, fertilisers, plantations, and so on.
So 2025 wont be the first year ever to go up each day and never have a scary headline, because thats just not the way that markets work. This is officially the first 5% mild correction of 2025, something that even the best years tend to see, and no reason in itself to become pessimistic. Its not just the uncertainty from tariffs.
In doing so, I thought this conversation was really quite fascinating, and I think you will also, especially if you’re not only interested in equity, but curious as to how to combine various aspects of market functions, valuation, economic cycle, fed actions into one coherent strategy. But generally starts with the economic cycle.
I had an economics lesson, I had a life lesson, I had an epiphany, I had a race relations lesson, I had a self-esteem and confidence lesson. Being broke is economic, but being poor is a disabling frame of mind, a depressed condition of your spirit. It’s home economics class, doesn’t exist anymore. RITHOLTZ: Right.
Fortunately, as we head into 2025, we think all of those market tailwinds remain firmly in place. There’s been a question about whether the Fed should be cutting when economic growth and the stock market are running strong. We couldn’t agree more. The good news is that the Powell-led Fed seems inclined to do so as well.
Meltdown in the Bond Market Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has argued that even if the tariffs create a short-term economic slowdown and volatility in the stock market (check), that wouldnt be too concerning since only the top 50% of households by income own stocks. And those facts came with some significant economic advantages.
Yes, worries spiked last week over fears about sticky inflation (which we dont see) and fewer rate cuts next year (which wasnt really a surprise to us just two weeks ago our Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese wrote about expecting just 2-3 cuts in 2025). Back in September, eight members projected 2025 policy rates below the median.
This was not unexpected, but all eyes were on the Feds dot plot (expected path of interest rates) and the rest of its Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). It was interesting to say the least, with members projecting higher inflation, higher unemployment, and slower growth: Their 2025 core PCE projection rose from 2.5%
The Federal Reserves (Fed) January 2025 meeting held no surprises. at the end of 2025, implying two rate cuts in 2025 (each worth 0.25%-points), although that may change this week as the market absorbs the impact of newly announced tariffs. at the end of 2025. at the end of 2025.
Worries about tariffs, what President Trump might do next, the Fed, geopolitical drama, inflation, AI, and more have dominated the headlines and caused a good deal of worry for many investors in 2025. The good news is we dont see that happening anytime soon and 2025 still looks like it should be a nice year for investors.
The financial advisory world is evolving faster than ever. Here are the 30 voices to follow in 2025, along with rising stars you shouldnt miss. Michael Kitces Reason to Follow: Deep insights into financial planning and wealth management Michael Kitces continues to dominate as a thought leader in financial planning.
Abraham Lincoln What a start to 2025, nearly picking up where 2024 left off. This matters, as the first five days in 2025 were up 0.62%, suggesting some potential good news for the bulls. Here we found that stocks once again do much better in post-election years under a second term president, yet another positive for 2025.
Welcome to our first Weekly Market Commentary for 2025. That change tells a lot of the economic story for the year. Well kick off the year by looking back at a few of our favorite charts for 2024. Favorite Charts From 2024 Last Tuesday, December 31, was the final trading day of the year.
Being an entrepreneur isn’t, anyway, but being an entrepreneur in an industry like financialservices where there’s these old and very incumbent 800 pound gorillas are all around you is certainly not 00:12:56 [Speaker Changed] To, to say the very least. But it’s not for the faint of heart, that’s for sure.
Economic expectations over the next year have lifted from where they were pre-election, although were likely to get slower real growth than the 3.0% More importantly, between rate cuts and the expected policy shift, the perception of downside economic risk has improved. on the release day (January 15 , 2025). Finally, a caution.
Economic Growth Remains Solid, As Does the Outlook While inflation data for Q1 was hot, albeit for idiosyncratic reasons, we also received the following: Strong employment data, with payroll growth accelerating from last year and layoffs low. However, some investors are missing the forest for the trees amidst this sharp shift in sentiment.
In Carson Investment Researchs 2025 Outlook , we looked at both policy opportunities and risks, including tariff policy, for markets in 2025. In the first post-election Fed meeting, they cut rates by an additional 0.25%, but their projections showed just 2 cuts in 2025 (versus the prior projection of 4 cuts).
WA was the career plan, always economics and finance. And I studied economics in university. And I spent a year in Princeton in the economics department in 95, 96 when Ben Panke was the chairman of the economics department. I’m curious how different studying economics is in Denmark versus United States.
If Congress does nothing, a lot of elements of the 2017 Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA, which was signed into law by former President Trump) will expire on December 31, 2025. Washington, DC in 2025 is likely to be dominated by tax policy negotiations, which will get ever more feverish as the December deadline approaches.
2025: A Big Year for Tax Policy The Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017, which former President Trump signed into law, contained both corporate and individual tax cuts. The corporate tax cuts (including dropping the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%) were permanent, but the individual tax cuts were all set to “sunset” at the end of 2025.
In fact, it might be a reason to remain in the “glass half full” camp as we head into 2025. Despite the tendency to view the president as responsible for the economy, the president alone often has a relatively small impact compared to broader economic forces. As with many of these numbers, we would take this with a grain of salt.
Our 2025 Outlook is coming out in just a couple of weeks!) So as we close out 2024 and launch into the new year, hear are seven things all investors should keep in mind in 2025. Go Into the New Year Expecting a Double-Digit Decline in 2025 Remember August 2024? Two: Our Proprietary LEI suggests expansion continues.
Following the election there was an initial wave of enthusiasm consistent with our view that policy opportunities outweigh policy risks, as we discussed in our Outlook 2025. The current median forecast by the Fed is for two rate cuts in 2025 while the market-implied expectation is just shy of 2.5. medical research).
We organize all of the trending information in your field so you don't have to. Join 36,000+ users and stay up to date on the latest articles your peers are reading.
You know about us, now we want to get to know you!
Let's personalize your content
Let's get even more personalized
We recognize your account from another site in our network, please click 'Send Email' below to continue with verifying your account and setting a password.
Let's personalize your content