Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 30, 2024

Further gains are expected if the economy continues to add jobs, inventory levels grow, and mortgage rates hold steady.”. million in 2025 and more than 5 million in 2026,” Yun said. Yun predicts the median existing-home price will rise to $410,700 in 2025 and to $420,000 in 2026. in 2025 but then move higher to 6.1%

Sales 173

Sales Economy Marketing Marketing 173

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 6, 2025

statsignificant.com) Economy Recessions have some permanent effects. calculatedriskblog.com) Policy volatility can't be great for the economy. abnormalreturns.com) The 2025 UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook is out! (hollywoodreporter.com) How long should you watch a show before giving up? Well, you should.

Economy 147

Economy Media Management Investing 147

The Big Picture

JANUARY 2, 2025

and other big firms sent out their calls for 2024, a consensus took shape: After surging more than 20% as artificial intelligence breakthroughs unleashed a tech-stock boom and the economy kept defying the doomsayers, the S&P 500 Index would likely scratch out only a modest gain. So as strategists at Bank of America Corp.,

Banking 345

Banking Planning Economics Investing 345

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 15, 2025

More contacts were optimistic about the outlook for 2025 than were pessimistic about it, though contacts in several Districts expressed concerns that changes in immigration and tariff policy could negatively affect the economy. The spread of avian flu reduced egg supplies and pushed up prices. Energy activity was mixed.

Economics 162

Economics Manufacturing Nonprofit Transportation 162

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 5, 2024

wired.com) Economy Heavy truck sales increased in November. abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Pantone declared "Mocha Mousse" as the color for 2025. (spyglass.org) The launch of ESPN 45 years really was a long shot. nymag.com) Cybersecurity China likely has the ability to listen to your phone calls. Well, you should. apnews.com)

Retail 182

Retail Media Economy Sales 182

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 19, 2025

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 2829, 2025. Participants indicated that, provided the economy remained near maximum employment, they would want to see further progress on inflation before making additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate. emphasis added

Economy 147

Economy Economics Numbers Marketing 147

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 23, 2024

Markets Higher for longer is the theme going into 2025. fa-mag.com) Economy Ten economic questions for 2024 including 'What will happen with house prices in 2025?' calculatedriskblog.com) Ten risks for 2025 including the introduction of tariffs. apolloacademy.com) There's large cap growth stocks in the U.S.,

Advertising 147

Advertising Media Banking Economy 147

A Wealth of Common Sense

JANUARY 16, 2025

We also answered questions about 2025 retirement account limits, Coast FIRE strategies, when to take money off the table from the stock market, how to account for pension and Social Security income during retirement and how other economies impact the U.S.

Retirement 143

Retirement Accounting Economy Marketing 143

Calculated Risk

MARCH 3, 2025

February 2025 Manufacturing ISM Report On Business Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded for the second month in a row in February after 26 consecutive months of contraction, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business. The PMI was at 50.3% in February, down from 50.9% in January.

Manufacturing 113

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 113

Calculated Risk

MAY 24, 2023

Real GDP growth over 2024 and 2025 was projected to be below the staff's estimate of potential output growth. The unemployment rate was forecast to increase this year, to peak next year, and then to start declining gradually in 2025.

Economics 347

Economics Banking Economy Marketing 347

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 10, 2024

theatlantic.com) Economy Outside of shelter, inflation is still pretty quiescent. capitalspectator.com) Ten susprising facts about the labor economy including 'Work continues to untether from the workplace.' sherwood.news) Content that is entering the public domain in 2025. Well, you should. aftermath.site)

Retail 147

Retail Economy Media Assets 147

Your Richest Life

FEBRUARY 24, 2025

Even though 2025 has only just begun, there are already big changes unfolding that could impact your wallet. That decision is a departure from their announcement at the September meeting to cut rates a full percentage point in 2025. Future cuts will depend on inflation and the strength of the economy as the year goes on.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Medicine 52

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 6, 2024

aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com) TSMC's ($TSM) Arizona plant is on track for 2025 production. ft.com) Economy The Fed is going to have to cut rates to stick the soft landing. sherwood.news) What does the collapse in dollar store sales tell us about the economy? nytimes.com) How pour-over coffee got so good. unemployment rate.

Financial Advising 287

Financial Advising Media Valuation Economy 287

Abnormal Returns

JANUARY 9, 2025

wsj.com) Economy Still no sign of a meaningful uptick in weekly initial unemployment claims. bonddad.blogspot.com) A risk for 2025 is the re-acceleration of inflation. sherwood.news) What you need to know about 2025's Girl Scout cookie season. (econbrowser.com) Breakeven inflation in the UK is notably higher than in the U.S.

Media 162

Media Economy Portfolio Management 162

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 4, 2024

papers.ssrn.com) Taxes No matter who is President in 2025, taxes will be at the top of the agenda. sherwood.news) Economy The U.S. economy is on shakier ground. ft.com) The labor economy has slowed down to pre-pandemic levels. (morningstar.com) Paid sick leave mandates help employees better maintain work-life balance.

Financial Advising 274

Financial Advising Startup Economy Taxes 274

Calculated Risk

MARCH 20, 2024

Since the last projections were released, the economy has performed close to FOMC expectations. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2024 2025 2026 Mar 2024 2.0 Statement here. Here are the projections. Dec 2023 1.2 The unemployment rate was at 3.9% Dec 2023 4.0

Banking 286

Banking Economy Marketing Marketing 286

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 11, 2024

johnwallstreet.com) Economy The November CPI came with a 2.7% bonddad.blogspot.com) Is the Fed going to be satisfied with inflation going into 2025? (huddleup.substack.com) Will an additional team on the track dilute Formula One? over the past twelve months. calculatedriskblog.com) Shelter is still a contributor to consumer inflation.

Startup 162

Startup Retail Media Economy 162

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 17, 2023

Since the last projections were released, the economy has performed better than the FOMC expected, and inflation was slightly below expectations. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2023 2024 2025 June 2023 0.7 For review, here are the June projections.

Banking 288

Banking Economics Economy Communication 288

Calculated Risk

JULY 5, 2023

Real GDP growth over 2024 and 2025 was projected to be below the staff's estimate of potential output growth. The unemployment rate was forecast to increase this year, peak next year, and remain near that level through 2025. In 2025, both total and core PCE price inflation were expected to be close to 2 percent.

Economics 305

Economics Banking Communication Economy 305

The Better Letter

MARCH 18, 2025

Bracketology (2025 Edition) As my friend Mark Newfield likes to say , the Forecasters Hall of Fame has zero members. NARRATOR: “Next time you are tempted to make a market prediction, you might recall that the global economy has a few more than 52 variables.” Thanks for reading. And he’s right, of course.

Numbers 75

Numbers Marketing Marketing Medicine 75

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 26, 2025

percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 21, 2025. Treasury yields moved lower on softer consumer spending data as consumers are feeling somewhat less upbeat about the economy and job market.

Economy 147

Economy Sales Marketing Marketing 147

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 27, 2024

In the final episode of Take 5 of 2024, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, discusses three main worries for the upcoming year, 2025. Higher interest rates are also seen as a challenge for housing and small businesses, although the US economy remains robust despite these potential issues.

Manufacturing 52

Manufacturing Economy Marketing Marketing 52

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 16, 2023

Since the emergence of stress in the banking sector in mid-March, indicators of spending and real activity had come in stronger than anticipated; as a result, the staff no longer judged that the economy would enter a mild recession toward the end of the year. percent, and core inflation was expected to be 2.3 emphasis added

Economy 245

Economy Banking Economics Marketing 245

Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 6, 2025

Every year brings changes in tax rules, and 2025 is no exception. More Money Protected from Taxes Good news for your walletyou can shield more of your income from taxes in 2025. Smart Ways to Grow Your Investments Here’s some welcome news for investorsthe tax benefits for long-term investments continue in 2025.

Taxes 59

Taxes Retirement Tax Planning Planning 59

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 20, 2025

stock market is a standout in 2025, and not in a good way. bloomberg.com) Economy Weekly initial claims remain quiescent. Markets Markets are largely shrugging off the destruction of norms. ft.com) S&P 500 companies returned a record amount of capital in 2024. axios.com) The U.S. niemanlab.org) NYT Cooking is a standout success.

Startup 130

Startup Media Retail Economy 130

Trade Brains

OCTOBER 23, 2024

percent for FY 2024-2025. Dr. Rumki Majumdar sees India’s economy showing strong resilience after the election period. The country maintains its position among the world’s fastest-growing large economies. Initially, growth may slow slightly in fiscal 2025-2026 to between 6.5 percent in the April-June quarter.

Economy 116

Economy Manufacturing Economics Investments 116

Carson Wealth

MARCH 10, 2025

The worries are growing, from a potentially slowing economy, to a growing and more aggressive trade war, to worries over Washington policy. Then five years ago we shut down our economy during a once-a-century pandemic. The economy created 151,000 jobs in February, more or less consistent with expectations.

Marketing 73

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 73

Calculated Risk

MAY 29, 2023

Two examples: not reaching a fiscal agreement and going off the "fiscal cliff" probably would have led to a recession, and Congress refusing to "pay the bills" would have been a policy error that would have taken the economy into recession. My sense is growth will stay sluggish in 2023, but the economy will avoid recession.

Sales 363

Sales Economy Banking Economics 363

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 30, 2024

economy continues to get more energy efficient. nytimes.com) The TGL is set to launch in 2025. abnormalreturns.com) Podcast links: the introvert economy. Ports need to accommodate them. ft.com) A history of bridge collisions. theconversation.com) Swapping trucks for barges to transport goods. nytimes.com) Energy The U.S.

Pharmaceutical 289

Pharmaceutical Education Financial Advising Advertising 289

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 18, 2023

downtownjoshbrown.com) Companies It's hard to believe, but companies are already hiring for 2025 internships. bbc.com) How young Chinese are dealing with a lethargic economy. (awealthofcommonsense.com) It was hard to lose money in 2023, but here are five ways it may have happened.

Financial Advising 276

Financial Advising Startup Media Government 276

Calculated Risk

MARCH 19, 2023

Since the last projections were released, the economy has performed better than the FOMC expected, and inflation was close to expectations (after revisions). GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2023 2024 2025 Dec 2022 0.4 PCE core inflation was up 4.7%

Banking 237

Banking Economics Economy Accounting 237

Advisor Perspectives

JANUARY 17, 2025

market saw strong returns in 2024 with a "soft landing" for the economy, leading to key questions and emerging themes for investors in 2025. Despite challenges, the U.S.

Investments 98

Investments Investing Economy Marketing 98

Zoe Financial

DECEMBER 28, 2024

New Year, New Wealth: A Guide to Financial Resolutions for 2025 Updated December 30th, 2024 Reading Time: 7 minutes Written by: The Zoe Team As the New Year approaches, many of us set personal goals to make the coming year better than the last. Economies and markets fluctuate. Zoe Financial does not provide legal advice.

Estate Planning 40

Estate Planning Financial Advisor Wealth Advisor Accounting 40

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 28, 2024

Since the last projections were released, the economy has performed better than the FOMC expected, and inflation was lower than expected. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2023 2024 2025 2026 Dec 2023 2.5 The BEA reported real GDP increased 3.1% Sept 2023 1.9

Banking 204

Banking Economy Marketing Marketing 204

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 13, 2025

Current Market Volatility Normal for a Bull Market The S&P 500 is off to a bit of a rocky start in 2025, an extension of weakness in December 2024. Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. on Friday alone. million average per year).

Marketing 68

Marketing Marketing Economy Compliance 68

Calculated Risk

APRIL 30, 2023

Since the last projections were released, the economy has performed better than the FOMC expected, and inflation was close to expectations. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2023 2024 2025 Mar 2023 0.0 No projections will be released at this meeting.

Banking 189

Banking Economy Economics Marketing 189

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 2, 2024

20% Back-To-Back Years Bode Well for 2025 Many bears are back at it, claiming that because stocks are looking at back-to-back 20% gains 2025 must be doomed. The past few weeks we’ve discussed why we think this bull market is alive and well, but we also see no major reasons to expect the economy to fall into a recession in 2025.

Marketing 68

Marketing Marketing Economy Compliance 68