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Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year for 20 years!). economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking. There is significant uncertainty as to fiscal and regulatory policy in 2025. Q4-over-Q4 in 2025.
Here is an update to a graph that uses new home sales, single family housing starts and residential investment. (I Note that Residential Investment is quarterly and single-family starts and new home sales are monthly. An exception for this data series was the mid '60s when the Vietnam buildup kept the economy out of recession.
and other big firms sent out their calls for 2024, a consensus took shape: After surging more than 20% as artificial intelligence breakthroughs unleashed a tech-stock boom and the economy kept defying the doomsayers, the S&P 500 Index would likely scratch out only a modest gain. In “ How Not To Invest ” (coming March 18!)
statsignificant.com) Economy Recessions have some permanent effects. calculatedriskblog.com) Policy volatility can't be great for the economy. abnormalreturns.com) The 2025 UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook is out! (hollywoodreporter.com) How long should you watch a show before giving up? Well, you should.
Market: This is perhaps one of our favorite articles and times of the year; not necessarily because of basketball but rather it allows us the opprtunity to articulate our main investment themes we see playing out for the remainder of the year. Who will be this years champion? Lets break it down ( click here to see the full bracket).
decrypt.co) Finance What David Einhorn thinks about the state of active investing. sherwood.news) RIP Venu Sports: 2024-2025. russell-clark.com) Economy The December NFP reported showed strong growth and a 4.1% economy continues to slow. (nytimes.com) Did you know Bhutan has a strategic allocation to cryptocurrencies?
sherwood.news) Annual outlooks It's always going to be a 'stockpicker's market' in strategist investment outlooks. behaviouralinvestment.com) Financial writing Nick's favorite investment writing from 2024 including 'No Regrets' by Jonathan Clements. theatlantic.com) Economy Outside of shelter, inflation is still pretty quiescent.
(aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com) TSMC's ($TSM) Arizona plant is on track for 2025 production. worksinprogress.co) Global China is investing in so-called 'connector countries' like Mexico. ft.com) Economy The Fed is going to have to cut rates to stick the soft landing. nytimes.com) How pour-over coffee got so good.
stock market is a standout in 2025, and not in a good way. morningstar.com) Books Barry Ritholtzs "How Not to Invest" is a 'very informative book about investing that is most importantly a lot of fun.' bloomberg.com) Economy Weekly initial claims remain quiescent. (axios.com) The U.S.
Even though 2025 has only just begun, there are already big changes unfolding that could impact your wallet. That decision is a departure from their announcement at the September meeting to cut rates a full percentage point in 2025. Future cuts will depend on inflation and the strength of the economy as the year goes on.
Two examples: not reaching a fiscal agreement and going off the "fiscal cliff" probably would have led to a recession, and Congress refusing to "pay the bills" would have been a policy error that would have taken the economy into recession. Note that Residential Investment is quarterly and single-family starts and new home sales are monthly.
The worries are growing, from a potentially slowing economy, to a growing and more aggressive trade war, to worries over Washington policy. Then five years ago we shut down our economy during a once-a-century pandemic. As uncomfortable as this recent volatility feels, know that it is the toll we must pay to invest.
Every year brings changes in tax rules, and 2025 is no exception. More Money Protected from Taxes Good news for your walletyou can shield more of your income from taxes in 2025. Smart Ways to Grow Your Investments Here’s some welcome news for investorsthe tax benefits for long-term investments continue in 2025.
percent for FY 2024-2025. Dr. Rumki Majumdar sees India’s economy showing strong resilience after the election period. The country maintains its position among the world’s fastest-growing large economies. Dr. Majumdar notes that many Indian states already invest in these areas. percent capacity utilization.
(downtownjoshbrown.com) Companies It's hard to believe, but companies are already hiring for 2025 internships. institutionalinvestor.com) How the Norges Bank Investment Management votes its shares and why it matters (ft.com) Finance The IPO window in 2023 opened and shut pretty quickly.
In the final episode of Take 5 of 2024, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, discusses three main worries for the upcoming year, 2025. Higher interest rates are also seen as a challenge for housing and small businesses, although the US economy remains robust despite these potential issues.
market saw strong returns in 2024 with a "soft landing" for the economy, leading to key questions and emerging themes for investors in 2025. Despite challenges, the U.S.
At the Money: Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee on Tariffs, Supply Chains and Inflation (March 5, 2025) What is the potential inflation impact of tariffs? Or business investment are the thing that drives the recession. So what specific inflation indicators are you watching closely in 2025? The Fed had a 2% inflation target.
New Year, New Wealth: A Guide to Financial Resolutions for 2025 Updated December 30th, 2024 Reading Time: 7 minutes Written by: The Zoe Team As the New Year approaches, many of us set personal goals to make the coming year better than the last. Set up recurring transfers to your emergency fund, investment accounts, or other savings goals.
Market Timing vs. Time in the Market Updated January 28th, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes Written by: The Zoe Team Though these terms may sound similar, market timing is not the same as time in the market. What do these mean, and which is a sounder investment strategy? Lets take a poll. That said, academia can be redundant.
Emotions start to run high during corrections and many investors become more prone to making costly investment mistakes. In last weeks commentary, we took a look at tariff policy, the market uncertainty it was creating, and what was going on in the broader economy. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
If the economy remains strong (as we expect), that would matter much more than just about anything else. Here’s What the October Payroll Report Really Tells Us About the Economy October payrolls were a big disappointment, with job growth clocking in at just 12,000. range (or even lower) in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025.
Current Market Volatility Normal for a Bull Market The S&P 500 is off to a bit of a rocky start in 2025, an extension of weakness in December 2024. Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. on Friday alone. million average per year).
20% Back-To-Back Years Bode Well for 2025 Many bears are back at it, claiming that because stocks are looking at back-to-back 20% gains 2025 must be doomed. The past few weeks we’ve discussed why we think this bull market is alive and well, but we also see no major reasons to expect the economy to fall into a recession in 2025.
spyglass.org) Disney ($DIS) is not done investing in parks. theringer.com) Economy The Fed is unlikely to impact the housing market until 2025. (ft.com) Media Why Apple ($AAPL) should. buy Warner Bros. Discovery ($WBD). wsj.com) Matt Belloni talks with Rich Greenfield about the linear TV meltdown.
Good Riddance, February The second half of February was rough, as worries over the economy, tariffs, and large cap tech weakness dominated the conversation. In other words, after back-to-back 20% gains the past two years, maybe a well-deserved break to kick off 2025 is perfectly normal. Heres the thing.
Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000.
Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA March 10th, 2025 Watch Time: 4 min. Q1 2025 earnings forecast: Dropped from 11.5% It is not intended to serve as a substitute for personalized investment advice or as a recommendation or solicitation of any particular security, strategy or investment product.
Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA March 3rd, 2025 Watch Time: 4 min. Earnings: 2025 estimates still project double-digit growth, with non-tech sectors performing well. Outlook: Economy is in a soft patch, but if policy and geopolitical risks remain stable, markets could digest recent volatility.
As we turn the page on 2024 and look ahead into 2025, the key question on investors' minds is: can 2024’s positive momentum in the economy and financial markets continue into 2025?
In this episode of Take 5, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, navigate three positive economic developments: First, the election results are finalized, ending uncertainty for markets Second, inflation appears to be normalizing, particularly in housing, which may benefit (..)
Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA March 24th, 2025 Watch Time: 2.5 Raised inflation outlook for 2025, and lowered GDP growth expectations for this year. Economies and markets fluctuate. Welcome to this week’s Market Drama! Stock Market Update: S&P 500: Up 0.5% 4.50% (as expected).
Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. Really fascinating because she sees the world from a very unique perch, has incredible access to every aspect of both commercial and investing banking that a small startup or medium-sized company, and by medium I mean up to $2 billion in revenue might need.
Currently, fewer than 70 companies meet these criteria, representing various sectors across the economy. Here are the top 10 Dividend Aristocrats for April of 2025 ranked using Validea’s guru models, which are based on the strategies of great investors like Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch and Benjamin Graham. Take a Free Trial Today!
Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA January 06th, 2025 Watch Time: 3 minutes Welcome to this week’s Market Drama! JP Morgan conducted a study comparing the return profile for the S&P 500 when investing at all-time highs versus any random day. Will the economy avoid a recession?
We’re proud to say that My Portfolio Guide, LLC was the first investment firm to publish a March Madness investing bracket where we share our picks and match them up against each other. For example, a #1 seeded investment could lose right out of the gate just as a #12 could potentially win it all.
We discuss: The new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China How markets reacted to the news What this means for inflation and the Federal Reserve The broader economic outlook for 2025 Despite uncertainty, the strong economy and bullish market trends remain in play. Tune in to get the full breakdown and stay ahead of market shifts!
Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA February 3rd, 2025 Watch Time: 2.4 It is not intended to serve as a substitute for personalized investment advice or as a recommendation or solicitation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Economies and markets fluctuate.
In his 2025investment outlook, Head of U.S. economy and which asset classes he believes will be best positioned under each scenario. Fixed Income Greg Wilensky outlines the most likely scenarios for the U.S.
Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA February 24th, 2025 Watch Time: 2.5 It is not intended to serve as a substitute for personalized investment advice or as a recommendation or solicitation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Economies and markets fluctuate.
Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA January 20th, 2025 Watch Time: 4.1 It is not intended to serve as a substitute for personalized investment advice or as a recommendation or solicitation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Economies and markets fluctuate.
So as stock investors here in 2025, were just like rental house investors finding that house prices have more than doubled while rents are only up by a bit. Does it mean our entire economy is expected to grow much more quickly? But what about other investing options? Now back to the stock market. 4.3% – 5.3%
Also, like most UHNW individuals, you may have income from several sources like investments, real estate, and business interests that may require special tax planning. million for tax year 2025, but rates for amounts above that threshold range up to 40%. Investment income subject to capital gains taxes has its risks.
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