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Ten Economic Questions for 2025

Calculated Risk

Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year for 20 years!). economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking. economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking.

Economics 290
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Question #3 for 2025: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2025?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. range in Q4 2025. What will the unemployment rate be in December 2025? It appears that the participation rate will decline in 2025 based on demographics and that population growth will slow due to less net migration.

Economics 272
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Question #8 for 2025: How much will Residential investment change in 2025? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025?

Calculated Risk

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: Question #8 for 2025: How much will Residential investment change in 2025? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025? Excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. How much will RI change in 2025?

Sales 147
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Question #7 for 2025: How much will wages increase in 2025?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. How much will wages increase in 2025? My sense is nominal wages will increase close to mid-to-high 3% range YoY in 2025 according to the CES. How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025? year-over-year as of November.

Economics 147
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Debunking Investment BS!

The Big Picture

His latest book, How Not to Invest, offers a blueprint to help you make better decisions and achieve financial success. Source : Debunking Investment BULLSH$T! | #575 The Meb Faber Show, Mar 21, 2025 How Not to Invest Apple Podcasts Spotify The post Debunking Investment BS! billion for 3,900 families.

Investing 130
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12 Investment Must Reads for This Week (March 18, 2025)

Wealth Management

These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors. Morningstar profiled the 15 funds that have lost the most value for shareholders over the past decade. Recent market volatility has perked new interest among investors and advisors in buffer ETFs.

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Housing Starts and Recessions

Calculated Risk

Here is an update to a graph that uses new home sales, single family housing starts and residential investment. (I Note that Residential Investment is quarterly and single-family starts and new home sales are monthly. The dashed line is the January 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR).

Sales 309