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The September payroll report confirms the economy is strong. Aggregate income is rising above the pace of inflation, and that’s powering the economy. Wage growth is easing, which should alleviate concerns that the economy is overheating. Expectations for a stronger economy are driving interest rates higher.
The Fed made a big shift in its projections and is now much more bullish on the economy. Expectations for a stronger economy also mean the Fed is projecting fewer rate cuts next year. Two: Fed members are buying that the economy is strong. That is a huge shift and an acknowledgement that the economy is strong.
As land prices soar across the world, especially in growth economies they tend to get more pricier. Looking ahead, Crisil MI&A expects the overall housing segment to grow at a CAGR of 13-15% from Fiscal 2024 to Fiscal 2027. Maintaining a high CRAR ensures financial stability and regulatory compliance. crore in FY23.
The economy has surprised to the upside and stocks had one of their best starts to a year. Resilient Economy May Be Accelerating Another month, another slew of economic data that not only shows the economy is resilient, but also that it may be accelerating. But the direction suggests much about how the economy is doing.
and for 2027 at 2%. 17 of 19 members now say inflation uncertainty is higher, versus 14 in December 18 members say inflation risks are higher, versus 15 in December At the same time, members are a lot more worried about a slowing economy and rising unemployment. However, transitory is back, at least going by the dot plot.
In short, the economy and markets are looking at elevated interest rates over the next two years. These long-term interest rates matter a lot for the economy. They expect to hit their target of 2% only by 2027 now. But elevated interest rates hit cyclical areas of the economy like housing and investment spending.
We had a 100-year pandemic that shut down the global economy and then a second vicious 25% bear market in 2022. Spoiler alert, 2026 and 2027 will have scary headlines and big market down days as well. Think about all of this a little more. Worries happen every year 2025 wasnt going to be any different. But you know whats increasing?
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