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FOMC Minutes: "Inflation was likely to be boosted this year"

Calculated Risk

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, March 1819, 2025. Excerpt: With regard to the outlook for inflation, participants judged that i nflation was likely to be boosted this year by the effects of higher tariffs, although significant uncertainty surrounded the magnitude and persistence of such effects. Several participants noted that the announced or planned tariff increases were larger and broader than many of their business contacts had expected.

Planning 259
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Inspired Discovery: Asking Vision Questions To Focus On Clients’ “Ideal Self”

Nerd's Eye View

It's natural for advisors to begin discovery meetings by asking questions about a client's current financial situation – understanding cash flow, debt, investments, risk tolerance, or even the burning tax concern that brought them to the advisor's door in the first place is crucial for financial planning. However, starting with these questions can have unintended consequences.

Clients 200
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Tuesday links: radical uncertainty

Abnormal Returns

Markets During periods of market stress rumors have the power to move markets. (sherwood.news) How long does it take for the stock market to recover? (ofdollarsanddata.com) Basis trade What is the basis trade? (apolloacademy.com) Why the basis trade is so important to Treasury market liquidity. (ft.com) Strategy How strategy diversification helps you hold on through tough times.

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Stand Up with Pete! on How Not to Invest

The Big Picture

Yeah, yeah, more of me, I know. But this is a fun conversation with Pete Dominick discussing the economy, the market and of course, the new book! Here’s Pete’s description: Check out StandUpwithPete.com to learn more How Not To Invest: The ideas, numbers, and behaviors that destroy wealth – and how to avoid them T he GREAT Barry Ritholtz whohas spent his career helping people spot their own investment errors and to learn how to better manage their own financial behaviors.

Investing 130
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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Is The Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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SEC to Review AUM Threshold for State Advisors

Wealth Management

In a speech to state securities regulators, Acting SEC Chair Mark Uyeda said he worried the threshold may have become unbalanced since Dodd-Frank and asked commission staff to conduct a periodic evaluation of the cutoff.

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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned two years ago when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined and is now up 3.3% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through March 2025.

Food 261

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Monday links: an openness to risk

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why this is different than the GFC. (morningstar.com) Markets are discounting lower future cash flows. (ritholtz.com) What would earnings have to do to justify the move down? (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Strategy Why you need a plan, now more than ever. (fortunesandfrictions.com) What to do during a stock market downturn. (obliviousinvestor.com) It's okay to feel anxious.

Media 162
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Money Life: How NOT to Invest

The Big Picture

Chuck Jaffe: “How NOT to Invest — which is about 375 pages of cautionary tales and 75 pages of the right things to do — notes that it’s easier to invest well than most people think.” I come in around the 4:40 mark… [link] The post Money Life: How NOT to Invest appeared first on The Big Picture.

Investing 205
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401(k) Real Talk Episode 147: April 9, 2025

Wealth Management

Open, honest and candid discussion about March jobs numbers, Commonwealth ruling overturned, PEPs in DC plans and the future of revenue sharing.

Numbers 253
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Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025 A brief excerpt: Yesterday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales. In Part 2, I will look at house prices, mortgage rates, rents and more.

Marketing 236
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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#FASuccess Ep 432: Crafting “Input Deliverables” That Show Financial Planning Value To Clients Without Creating Busy-Work, With Seth Scott

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 432nd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast! My guest on today's podcast is Seth Scott. Seth is the founder of Heartwood Financial Planning, an advisory firm affiliated with PlanMember Securities Corporation that is based in Fresno, California, and oversees approximately $100 million in assets under management for 850 client households.

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Adviser links: in times like these

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Michael Kitces talks with Nick Rodkin, managing partner of Stoic Financial, about working with client couples. (kitces.com) Matt Zeigler talks with Danika Waddell, founder of Xena Financial Planning. (epsilontheory.com) Aging How financial literacy declines with age. (knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu) Why advisers may spot dementia in clients first.

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Understanding What Drives Momentum in Global Stock Markets

Alpha Architect

With over nearly 150 years of data, the study finds that when inflation and interest rates rise, stocks and bonds tend to move together, reducing diversification benefits. This has critical implications for portfolio construction and risk management. Understanding What Drives Momentum in Global Stock Markets was originally published at Alpha Architect.

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Eight Critical Steps When Considering Art Donations

Wealth Management

Essential steps for high-net-worth individuals to donate art for tax deductions. Learn about institution selection, documentation and appraisal requirements.

Taxes 248
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Recession Watch Metrics

Calculated Risk

Early in February , I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on recession watch. Now I am on recession watch , but still not yet predicting a recession for several reasons: the U.S. economy is very resilient and was on solid footing at the beginning of the year, the administration might reverse many of the tariffs (we've seen that before), and Congress might take

Sales 241
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Wealthbox’s Upcoming Built-In AI Meeting Notes Tool Signals Competition For Standalone Providers (And More Of The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech – March 2025)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the April 2025 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Wealthbox has announced it is planning to launch a new built-in AI meeting note tool that it seeks to integrate seamlessly with its existing CRM solution – which serves as a prominent warning for

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Research links: index volatility

Abnormal Returns

Quant stuff The case for simple models using more data. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Are researchers building portfolios all wrong? (papers.ssrn.com) Portfolio rebalancing The benefits of portfolio rebalancing are overstated. (roberthuebscher.substack.com) Your portfolio rebalancing frequency doesn't matter all that much. (elmwealth.com) Alternatives Private equity performance degrades with asset growth.

Portfolio 147
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Market Drama

Zoe Financial

Market Drama Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA April 7th, 2025 Watch Time: 5 min. Welcome to this week’s Market Drama! Stock Market Update: S&P 500: Down 9% this week, now down ~1314% YTD. Nasdaq: Down 10% this week, now down 19.3% YTD. Oil: Also down nearly double digits for the week. Main driver: April 2nd announcement of aggressive new tariffs caused sharp sell-offs on Thursday and Friday.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Daffy Announces New Suite of AI-Powered Tools

Wealth Management

Daffy, the donor-advised fund-focused charitable giving platform, announced a new set of AI-enabled features, include Quick Donate.

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased 7% in March

Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Declines 7% in March The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI) , issued by Dodge Construction Network, receded 6.9% in March to 205.6 (2000=100) from the revised February reading of 220.9. Over the month, commercial planning declined 7.8% while institutional planning fell 5.0%. Increased uncertainty around material prices and fiscal policies may have begun to factor into planning decisions throughout March , stated Sarah Martin, associate director of forecas

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The power of holistic advising: Stronger client relationships, greater success

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Ellis N. Liddell, BS As we all do, your clients experience the joys and challenges of lifes many different stages. This may include buying homes, having children, getting married, expanding their business and retiring. Because I practice holistic financial planning, I help clients navigate through all of this. Creating wisdom teams To fully serve my clients in this capacity, I encourage my clients to have a wisdom team.

Clients 85
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Personal finance links: the golden age of scams

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Jim Dahle talks with Rob Orman about building a resilient, long-lasting career. (whitecoatinvestor.com) Christine Benz and Amy Arnott talk with Jay Zigmont, the author of a new book called "The Childfree Guide to Life and Money." (morningstar.com) Dan Haylett talks with Riley Moynes about the four phases of retirement. (humansvsretirement.com) Housing Not every financial decision has to make perfect sense.

Taxes 147
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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How to Survive Chaotic Markets

A Wealth of Common Sense

Last Thursday the S&P 500 finished the day down 4.8%. Then on Friday it declined another 6%. That’s a loss of more than 10% in just two days. The -10.5% loss was the fifth worse two-day stretch for the stock market since 1950. The other times this happened occurred in 1987, 2008 and 2020, some of the most volatile market environments we’ve ever seen.

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State Securities Regulators Approve Changes to Match Model Rule with Reg BI

Wealth Management

The amendments to the model rule wouldnt automatically change for state-registered reps. By offering the template, NASAA aims for uniformity between states (and between state and federal law).

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Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-April provides a snapshot of the current housing market. At this moment, we cant talk housing without mentioning the overall economy. Just over two weeks ago, I revised down my outlook for housing this year, see Policy and 2025 Housing Outlook.

Marketing 216
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Investing Isn’t About Being Mostly Right 

Alpha Architect

Investing isnt about being mostly right. In fact you can be mostly wrong and beat portfolios that were mostly right! Today, well explore how investors can potentially improve portfolio outcomes by targeting two seemingly contradictory but deeply complementary systems as outlined in the latest Mauboussin-Callahan paper, Probabilities & Payoffs: The Practicality and Psychology of Expected Value.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – Will the Good News Last?

Carson Wealth

After weeks of volatility, the markets finally gave us something to smile about! In this episode of Carson’s Take 5, Ryan and Sonu break down what sparked the historic market rally, what it could mean for investors, and whether this good news has staying power. Spoiler: It might all come down to tariffs, catalysts, and a little bit of July 4th optimism.

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Three Things – Tariffs, Of Course

Discipline Funds

Here are three things I am thinking about that are really only one thing, of course. 1) Why Tariffs are Bad. I got back into making YouTube videos this weekend. This time I touched on tariffs, how they work, the many myths around them and why they’re bad. This whole thing really blows my mind because this was never a controversial topic in economics.

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Large IBDs Sweeten Their Recruiting Deals for Commonwealth FAs

Wealth Management

Firms including Osaic, Cetera, Raymond James and Kestra are boosting their typical deals to capture Commonwealth advisors in the wake of the acquisition by LPL, sources said.

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1st Look at Local Housing Markets in March

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in March A brief excerpt: This is the first look at several early reporting local markets in March. Im tracking over 40 local housing markets in the US. Some of the 40 markets are states, and some are metropolitan areas. Ill update these tables throughout the month as additional data is released.

Marketing 162
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.