James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. Diversification does not protect against market risk.

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James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Perhaps that was not the first time market watchers used the term, but the conversations at the Economic Club of New York were prescient.

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

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James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

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Portfolio Taxes Government Investment Advisor 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates. Stock investing involves risk including loss of principal.

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Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

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Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

JULY 3, 2023

While activity remains muted at best, expectations are focused on 2024, when there is a prevailing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be finished with its rate hike campaign, and that economic conditions will be resilient enough to underpin a strong capital markets environment. With economic data continuing to suggest the U.S.

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Marketing Marketing Banking Valuation 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! And on the asset allocation side, the team’s preference for value stocks throughout the year turned out to be a win. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. All index data from Bloomberg.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Market strategists and pundits make the relationship between recessions and the stock market seem binary, but each economic contraction is different and has different effects on earnings. First, keep in mind that stocks tend to look forward by four to six months and can provide warnings of changing economic conditions. Conclusion.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

One equity market debate discussed frequently in the LPL Research Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) is the growth vs. value style reversal experienced the past 12 months. The LPL Research STAAC continues to favor a tilt toward value from an asset allocation perspective.

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Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Recent wholesale inflation tells a similar story of a peak in pricing pressures, which has been the expectation of the Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) at LPL Research. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

While these efforts are valuable – they may eventually lead to well-defined ESG factors that resonate with economic principles – it is easy to forget that they cannot prove whether "ESG investing" can be a source of market-independent returns, or alpha. Resource and Energy Economics 41:103-121. Journal of Financial Economics.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

While these efforts are valuable – they may eventually lead to well-defined ESG factors that resonate with economic principles – it is easy to forget that they cannot prove whether "ESG investing" can be a source of market-independent returns, or alpha. Resource and Energy Economics 41:103-121. Journal of Financial Economics.

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Portfolio Investments Investing Management 52

The Big Picture

AUGUST 20, 2024

We were one of the last to get what’s called a value added license to the compus stat database. And so the institutional space, or most asset selectors, asset allocators are gonna look for managers that are trying to add value. That actually is exactly what we ended up doing. Otherwise, why not just buy passive?

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ClearMoney

NOVEMBER 4, 2021

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

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ClearMoney

MARCH 1, 2022

Because early indexing didn’t spin its wheels in bottom-up company analysis or top-down economic trend forecasting, it became known as passive investing. 2 It is reasonable to assume a portion of that trading activity represented asset allocation changes motivated by market viewpoints, rather than buy-and-hold position accumulation.

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ClearMoney

JANUARY 4, 2022

The distribution of vaccines and the easing of lockdowns were followed by an economic rebound, but the emergence of new variants would be a setback for the recovery. Coming out of a volatile 2020, investors sought signals as to which way the global economy was headed. Dimensional Japan Ltd., and Dimensional Hong Kong Limited.

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ClearMoney

FEBRUARY 22, 2022

Motivated by the substantial payoff associated with successful timing, researchers over the years have examined a wide range of strategies based on analysis of earnings, dividends, interest rates, economic growth, investor sentiment, stock price patterns, and so on. Tactical Asset Allocation: Periodic shifts in allocation to stocks.

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The Big Picture

JUNE 20, 2023

Or should this be kept out of private asset allocators’ hands? Talk to people who try and get licensed to do insurance things, or if there’s a failure to pay out a policy in the litigation that follows. MORGENSON: And it was, so Steve was a candidate that had economic ideas, okay? RITHOLTZ: I can imagine.

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Insurance Healthcare Retail Medicine 147

James Hendries

JULY 6, 2022

But our belief is that this economic and profit environment is better than in the early 1990s, early 2000s, or 2008-2009 and therefore supports higher valuations. For instance copper, often referred to as Dr. Copper for its ability to forecast economic conditions, just hit its lowest level since February 2021. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 25, 2024

We were talking about luck earlier, got introduced to a local asset manager outside of Boston who saw what I was working on and said, this is really interesting. Would you license these models to me? There’s very few, I would argue probably no consistent predictors of, of any sort of economic or market cyclicality.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

Policy itself can be difficult to forecast, and economic factors often overwhelm the impact on markets. But as seen in the energy example above, larger economic forces tend to be more meaningful. Barry Gilbert , PhD, CFA, Asset Allocation Strategist, LPL Financial. Our best advice: Just go and vote.

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