Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 9, 2023

Anytime I talk about letting markets work for you over the long term and the role that an adequate savings rate plays in financial success, I will usually caveat that with assuming a proper asset allocation. Ten years is a reasonable time period but someone who bought in 2012 based on the previous ten years really got left behind.

Asset Allocation 75

Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Numbers 75

Discipline Funds

JUNE 6, 2023

In the meantime, the overnight rate at 5% puts a lot of pressure on credit markets and this increases the probability of an outlier credit event. When you combine this with a very low unemployment rate and high market valuations you tend to see the sort of choppy stock market that we’ve been experiencing in the last few years.

Economy 91

Economy Asset Allocation Valuation Communication 91

Truemind Capital

MAY 19, 2020

Everyone thinks that due to the recent events caused by Coronavirus we are in uncertain times. The emergence of any event has multiple co-dependent factors and nothing gets created out of a vacuum. The investors who do poorly are those who are always very sure of the future events. I believe we are always in uncertain times.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Assets 52

James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. But valuations strongly favor value over growth. The S&P 600 small cap index has returned about 1.5%

Assets 52

Assets Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 9, 2023

Asset allocation for a year where bonds offer the most attractive returns they have compared to the expected returns for stocks in decades. MORE ON THIS TOPIC 2023 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook We are pleased to share Brown Advisory’s 2023 Outlook. multinationals and aggregate demand.

Startup 98

Startup Asset Allocation Clients Investments 98

James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) changed its recommended asset allocation for July, shifting from core bonds to small cap equities.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Taxes Investment Advisor 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. This strategy involves significant risk as events may not occur as planned and disruptions to a planned merger may result in significant loss to a hedged position. over the next few months.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Taxes Investment Advisor 52

Investing Caffeine

JUNE 3, 2024

These items are not static, and can change over time, therefore it’s important to revisit your asset allocation periodically as financial circumstances and life events change your objectives. Short-term news cycle headlines shouldn’t drive portfolio decision-making, but rather your personal objectives, goals, and risk tolerance.

Risk Tolerance 52

Risk Tolerance Economics Economy Asset Allocation 52

The Big Picture

MAY 9, 2023

I mean, it was an existential event. But in some ways, those events, and we saw it again in March of 2020, we saw it again around where you see these big moments where it draws people together. So you’re Chief Investment officer of Asset and Wealth Management. And then you see some surprise events.

Assets 293

Assets Clients Investments Investing 293

James Hendries

DECEMBER 12, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 This strategy involves significant risk as events may not occur as planned and disruptions to a planned merger may result in significant loss to a hedged position.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Asset Allocation Investments 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 This strategy involves significant risk as events may not occur as planned and disruptions to a planned merger may result in significant loss to a hedged position.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Government Investment Advisor 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. This strategy involves significant risk as events may not occur as planned and disruptions to a planned merger may result in significant loss to a hedged position.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. This strategy involves significant risk as events may not occur as planned and disruptions to a planned merger may result in significant loss to a hedged position.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2023

When macro conditions are uncertain, a banker’s approach to valuation can help. David, a former investment banker, has always brought a banker’s mentality to valuing smaller companies by breaking down their assets and operations into components that can be more accurately assessed.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Clients Asset Allocation 52

Truemind Capital

MARCH 20, 2020

In good times i.e. when the market valuations are usually very high, everyone agrees to the logic of buying low and selling high. Not understanding the role & importance of tactical asset allocation (overweight debt in euphoric times and overweight equity in a time of acute pessimism) in creating superior returns over the long term.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Valuation Investments Investing 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Clients 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Clients 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks achen Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47 Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another. is not particularly notable.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another. EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks. Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47. is not particularly notable.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

But beyond the economic cycle’s age, several factors suggest that a more defensive mindset is worth considering: Valuations are elevated. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S. It is worth noting that valuations are more reasonable in developed international and emerging markets; however, U.S.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

But beyond the economic cycle’s age, several factors suggest that a more defensive mindset is worth considering: Valuations are elevated. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S. It is worth noting that valuations are more reasonable in developed international and emerging markets; however, U.S.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

Dear Mr. Market

MARCH 11, 2023

IBM loses to QCOM based on valuation. Obviously this rattled a lot of nerves and the way we see it is that it won’t be a 2008 “Lehman” type event, however there will be other casualties or at least some banks that get major pressure. Watch for those that have even worse financials and balance sheets than SVB did.

Investments 93

Investments Investing Portfolio Assets 93

The Big Picture

AUGUST 20, 2024

And so in the 1990s, I developed the, the late 1980s, early 1990s, I developed a skillset around valuation, in particular discounted cash flow or residual income type models, along with a couple of peers out of the consulting industry. So I met him once briefly, I think it was on his, at his apartment at Park Avenue for some event.

Assets 167

Assets Management Portfolio Taxes 167

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 29, 2016

Alternatively, nonprofits can boost potential portfolio returns, which often means tolerating more risk and illiquidity, through a recalibration of asset allocation— the single biggest driver of long-term gains. Reassess asset allocation. Callan estimated that a portfolio in 2005 could achieve a 7.5% large-cap strategies.

Nonprofit 52

Nonprofit Asset Allocation Portfolio Budgeting 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. Concentration: Much of the U.S. Opportunity to Rebalance?

Management 52

Management Investments Investing Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. Concentration: Much of the U.S. Opportunity to Rebalance? Risks in Bonds.

Management 52

Management Investments Investing Valuation 52

WiserAdvisor

AUGUST 18, 2022

This entire process is known as investment analysis where you use multiple valuations to understand and analyze the market along with those of different firms, industries, and sectors. Also, unexpected events such as wars, pandemics, natural calamities, etc., Say, for example, you wish to invest in a mutual fund.

Investments 52

Investments Investing Financial Advisor Economy 52

Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2021

We believe that the investment return needed to achieve that objective should be the most important guidepost for a portfolio’s asset allocation. With traditional assets like stocks and bonds at high valuations, the implications for future returns of those assets may be underwhelming. Source: BLOOMBERG.

Assets 52

Assets Portfolio Risk Tolerance Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2021

We believe that the investment return needed to achieve that objective should be the most important guidepost for a portfolio’s asset allocation. With traditional assets like stocks and bonds at high valuations, the implications for future returns of those assets may be underwhelming. Source: BLOOMBERG.

Assets 52

Assets Portfolio Risk Tolerance Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

Sometimes a major event makes it clear that an immediate course correction is needed. As head of asset allocation research in our Investment Solutions Group, he is responsible for analyzing the relative attractiveness of various asset classes and investment strategies. GDP than it was 100 years ago.

Investments 52

Investments Investing Clients Portfolio Management 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

Sometimes a major event makes it clear that an immediate course correction is needed. As head of asset allocation research in our Investment Solutions Group, he is responsible for analyzing the relative attractiveness of various asset classes and investment strategies. Tue, 08/06/2019 - 08:46. Little River Band, 1979.

Investments 52

Investments Investing Clients Portfolio Management 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 3, 2015

equity market: A comparatively quick interest rate increase counteracts the benefit from stronger economic growth, impairing profitability and valuations. Concern about future economic growth undermines valuations. equity valuations exceed the historical average and the strong dollar poses headwinds to corporate profitability.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economy Banking Economics 52

The Big Picture

MARCH 5, 2024

So they’d give individual asset allocation to people and they’d go invest their money. What happened over the last year and a half or so is rates went up and valuations went down. Tell us about the opportunities that came up from those events. And first was, we’re gonna have a culture of collaboration.

Banking 144

Banking Portfolio Assets Investments 144

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

Equity returns are less predictable, but we believe they are more likely than not to be lower going forward compared to the post-crisis period, given the outlook for modest GDP growth around the world alongside today’s elevated valuations. A core allocation to high-grade bonds can play a similar role.

Investments 52

Investments Investing Assets Economics 52

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

Equity returns are less predictable, but we believe they are more likely than not to be lower going forward compared to the post-crisis period, given the outlook for modest GDP growth around the world alongside today’s elevated valuations. A core allocation to high-grade bonds can play a similar role.

Investments 52

Investments Investing Assets Economics 52

Brown Advisory

APRIL 1, 2015

In Engines That Move Markets, a 2002 book about the cycles of technology investing, Alasdair Nairn defines “bubbles” as periods when investors appear to suspend rational valuation, much as they had during the dotcom craze shortly before the book was published. Unsurprisingly, as volume has increased, so have valuations. Possible Signs.

Investments 52

Investments Investing Valuation Assets 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2020

Consider how we defined investment risk in our 2018 asset allocation publication, Confronting the Unknown: “The probability that a portfolio will not meet an investor’s needs.” Liquidity, like many concepts in the investment world, is simple on the surface but becomes far more complex when one examines it more deeply.

Management 52

Management Marketing Marketing Clients 52