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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 195
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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S.

Valuation 225
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4th Quarter 2023 Economic And Market Outlook: Labor Market, Inflation, And Geopolitics

Nerd's Eye View

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. Moreover, historically extreme valuations in a small handful of mega-cap stocks that account for about 30% of the market weight in the S&P 500 (i.e.,

Economics 229
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Are FPIs moving from Indian Markets to Chinese Markets After Valuation Concerns?

Trade Brains

Additionally, foreign investors are shifting funds from India to China, attracted by lower valuations. This brought the total sales to around 42,000 crores since September 27th, when a key policy decision was announced by the People’s Bank of China. On the other hand, low P/E ratios might signal undervaluation or economic challenges.

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Wednesday links: living through downturns

Abnormal Returns

(entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) Strategy 12 lessons the markets taught investors in 2023 including 'Valuations cannot be used to time markets.' realreturns.blog) Lessons learned from markets in 2023 including 'Years like 2023 are why investors should not put much weight into market or economic predictions.'

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Wednesday links: an awesome product

Abnormal Returns

(marginalrevolution.com) Finance Private equity is stuck between elevated valuations high interest rates and a moribund IPO market. apolloacademy.com) How much longer can banks and office owners push out loan expirations? institutionalinvestor.com) How rising interest rates have affected interest coverage ratios for leveraged loans.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world. Alex Murrell ) • UBS Chairman’s Top-Secret Prep Paid Off in Credit Suisse Moment : Colm Kelleher was ready when a crisis of confidence that started in US regional banking spread to Switzerland.

Valuation 293