article thumbnail

Slowing U.S. Economy, State by State

The Big Picture

Rather than engage in futility, let’s look at the coincident indexes in all 50 states over the past 3 months, via the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (October 2023). Note: I have been occasionally eyeballing this map since 2008 , and it does a good job of showing the overall trend of the economy (on an obvious lag).

Economy 353
article thumbnail

Transcript: Melissa Smith, co-Head of Commercial Banking at JPMorgan

The Big Picture

The transcript from this weeks, MiB: Melissa Smith, co-Head of Commercial Banking at JPMorgan , is below. Melissa Smith is co-head of commercial banking for JP Morgan. Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. Barry Ritholtz : This week on the podcast I have yet another extra special guest.

Banking 130
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

It is especially true for strategists and forecasters at large brokers and banks. So as strategists at Bank of America Corp., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., So as strategists at Bank of America Corp., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.,

Banking 345
article thumbnail

Monday links: defining points in history

Abnormal Returns

sherwood.news) Finance Daniel Davies, "The essence of managing an investment banking franchise is that the biggest driver of success is the capacity to bear pain." propublica.org) Economy Retail sales are decelerating. calculatedriskblog.com) More signs the economy is weakening. wsj.com) AI Alibaba ($BABA) has pivoted to AI.

Media 195
article thumbnail

Monday links: changed communication

Abnormal Returns

on.ft.com) Big banks are going to struggle making up the revenue lost to private lenders. sherwood.news) Economy Bubbles often leaving interesting stuff behind. (msn.com) Silk Road Bitcoin are in motion. coindesk.com) Crypto is a 24/7/365 enterprise. bloomberg.com) Finance Why ServiceTitan has to go public.

article thumbnail

A shock to lending standards

The Reformed Broker

The only chart you need to concern yourself with now if you’re trying to figure out where the economy is heading. trillion business (approximately) for banks all over the country. This is it. Construction and Industrial (C&I) loans are a $2.8 If they roll over, we have a soft landing.

Banking 334
article thumbnail

The Tide of Price over Volume

The Big Picture

It should also not be ignored that this survey is following the banking scare. This is not the same economy as the pre-Covid era. This is not the same economy as the pre-Covid era. This is the economy of “pushing price” and finding that marginal dollar. There is a sense that the banking scare solved the inflation problem.

Economy 328