The Big Picture

APRIL 7, 2023

Wall Street Journal ) • How Models Get the Economy Wrong : Seemingly complex and sophisticated econometric modeling often fails to take into account common sense and observable reality. American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world.

Valuation 293

Valuation Advertising Economy Food 293

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 5, 2022

Markets Small cap stocks stand out for their cheap valuations. nytimes.com) Finance When will the big banks fix its Zelle fraud problem? morningstar.com) Economy The labor economy drives spending, not savings. morningstar.com) Why have energy stocks and oil prices diverged? ft.com) Credit cards are a legacy system.

Startup 244

Startup Marketing Marketing Financial Advising 244

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 25, 2023

tker.co) You can't take historical stock market statistics to the bank. riabiz.com) Companies Nvidia's ($NVDA) valuation has gotten ahead of itself. axios.com) Economy Where various recession probability models stand. Markets Wall Street strategists views on the market can differ in the short and long term.

Financial Advising 245

Financial Advising Valuation Retail Media 245

Nerd's Eye View

JANUARY 3, 2024

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. As a result, uncertainty about how the economy may unfold, even along the shortest time frames, is the default.

Economics 229

Economics Marketing Marketing Economy 229

Dear Mr. Market

MARCH 17, 2023

Dear Mr. Market: SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) logo is seen through broken glass in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. We’re not market timers but whenever there is a lot of pressure in one area of the market or a certain sector of the economy, it’s worth assessing if it’s truly the end of the world or not.

Banking 59

Banking Assets Government Marketing 59

Trade Brains

JULY 12, 2023

Should you buy HDFC Bank shares : Leaving giants of international banking like Morgan Stanley, HSBC, and Bank of China behind, this bank will become the 4th largest bank in the world. HDFC Bank was incorporated in 1994, and within 30 years, it has become India’s biggest private sector bank.

Banking 52

Banking Retail Distribution Valuation 52

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

Dividends come from earnings, and so those are sort of anchors to valuation. Jeremy Schwartz : And basically said that there’s huge Tech stocks, triple-digit PEs, you can never justify the valuations no matter what the growth rates are. They don’t have debt, so they’re borrowing from banks and using bank loans.

Investing 290

Investing Investments Valuation Portfolio 290

Advisor Perspectives

APRIL 4, 2024

The economy, inflation, interest rates and market valuations drive the key questions facing advisors. What are the challenges faced by retail banks by not providing competitive rates and the resulting opportunity cost of holding cash? Does the tech stock landscape mirror the boom of 1996 or the bust of 2000?

Valuation 64

Valuation Retail Economy Banking 64

Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 21, 2024

HDFC Bank – HDB Financial Services HDFC Bank , one of India’s leading private sector banks, is preparing to unlock value from its non-banking finance arm, HDB Financial Services. This move involves HDFC Bank diluting its stake in HDB Financial Services by nearly 10%. billion as of December 2023.

Banking 111

Banking Financial Services Insurance Assets 111

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 1, 2022

Inflation is vanquished, the economy makes a soft landing, rainbows and sprinkles and unicorns! central bank! (20 Parts of the economy suffer – notably residential real estate, new job creation, and consumer spending. The Fed gets it precisely right : Yay! It’s Goldilocks as far as the eye can see. 20 % chance ).

Economy 289

Economy Economics Valuation Marketing 289

Abnormal Returns

NOVEMBER 1, 2022

capitalspectator.com) Don't be surprised to see the stock market rally before the economy bottoms out. every.to) Q3 saw big drops in startup valuations. klementoninvesting.substack.com) Economy The Fed is most hurting the middle class through rising rates. abnormalreturns.com) Spending does more than change your bank balance.

Accounting 130

Accounting Startup Financial Advising Valuation 130

Trade Brains

JUNE 26, 2024

It’s the same with a nation’s economy! This not only benefits the businesses themselves but also ripples through the entire economy, fostering progress and development. The primary valuation concern was that Indian stocks run ahead of fundamentals, leading to high valuations. February -1538.88 March 35098.32

Valuation 59

Valuation Economy Banking Economics 59

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 11, 2023

wsj.com) How a seed investor approaches valuation discussions. newyorker.com) Who benefits from the existence of the Federal Home Loan Bank system? nytimes.com) Economy How will the fertility crisis affect GDP growth? (om.co) Twitter really hates paying its bills. hunterwalk.com) Focus matters for VCs. Why the difference?

Financial Advising 130

Financial Advising Startup Budgeting Valuation 130

Nationwide Financial

FEBRUARY 15, 2023

The year began with a reversal in investors’ mood, from widespread pessimism about a pending recession at the end of 2022 to optimism for a soft landing for the economy, predicated on better-than-expected economic data. Rates might rise and stay higher for longer, challenging the current lofty valuations for equities. times earnings.

Valuation 104

Valuation Economy Economics Marketing 104

Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

We Aren’t Alone Anymore A year ago, we told anyone who would listen that the economy would likely avoid a recession and stocks were going to have a great year. The Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey (GFS) recently showed overall sentiment at the highest level in two years. From a contrarian point of view, this is worth noting.

Marketing 92

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 92

The Big Picture

JANUARY 9, 2023

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Economist Says His Indicator That Predicted Eight US Recessions Is Wrong This Year : Cambell Harvey’s work showed link between curve inversion and growth Strong labor demand, risk avoidance support US economy now. Bloomberg ). The index is now up 8.9% from its October 12 closing low of 3,577.03

Economy 167

Economy Valuation Education Retail 167

Truemind Capital

APRIL 19, 2024

Here are some of the popular themes and the risks associated with them: Falling Interest Rates : There has been earnest demand by market participants to cut interest rates in the US and other developed economies on the back of falling inflation rates. Central Governments have given hope of meaningful rate cuts within this year.

Financial Market 98

Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 98

Truemind Capital

APRIL 21, 2023

Equity Market Insights: The last quarter has seen one of the major shakeups from the prevailing easy situation over the last decade for the global economies. Thankfully, the Governments intervened to avoid major spillover effects on the overall economy. The rising risk of Global financial uncertainties affected Indian markets as well.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Discipline Funds

MARCH 10, 2023

The Silicon Valley Bank crisis is interesting because people are looking at banking as the tsunami. The banking bust we’re seeing now was sewn during COVID. As irrational exuberance took hold of the markets we saw a huge surge in the valuations of private equity firms. It’s impossible to know.

Risk Management 134

Risk Management Banking Economy Valuation 134

The Big Picture

JULY 21, 2023

disinflation sweeps through 2023, without a cratering of employment or the wider economy so far, the narrative is shifting again – and encouraging hopes that bruising central bank tightening may be short-lived too. Valuations by Market Cap Range Source: @nategeraci Sign up for our reads-only mailing list here.

Engineering 239

Engineering Valuation Communication Media 239

Truemind Capital

JULY 19, 2024

By mid-June, the Nifty had bounced back from its lows, driven by expectations of a stable coalition government and positive monsoon forecasts, which are vital for the rural economy and consumption sectors. Central bank actions and future policy signals influenced by US election outcomes, will be crucial for the rest of the financial year.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 52

David Nelson

MARCH 20, 2023

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Investors are questioning the rush into mega cap tech at the height of a banking crisis that has rippled through markets in the last two weeks. If you can’t fund your working capital needs through revenue you can sell debt or turn to banks for financing. What a difference a banking crisis makes.

Banking 64

Banking Retail Economy Healthcare 64

Nationwide Financial

APRIL 3, 2023

Thoughts Equity markets delivered their third-straight weekly gain, continuing to exhibit remarkable resilience given continued uncertainty in the banking system, Fed policy, macro conditions, interest rates, and inflation. Given the strength of the technical indicators, the path of least resistance is higher. trillion.

Marketing 105

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 105

James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. But valuations strongly favor value over growth.

Assets 52

Assets Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Validea

MAY 5, 2023

With valuations still high, the threat of a recession still looms over the economy, ushering in a prolonged period of low returns across the market, from stocks and real estate to corporate profits, as well as elevated inflation and unemployment rates. government debt which now has a solid return thanks to the inverted yield curve.

Economics 52

Economics Government Economy Banking 52

Truemind Capital

JANUARY 24, 2024

After consistently denying runaway commodity prices by labelling them as transitory, the major central banks led by the US Fed have started acknowledging the persistent nature of current inflation and indicated their intentions to curb it by tightening the monetary policy. However, this is not going to be easy.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Valuation Engineering Banking 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 23, 2022

Given the lag between Federal Reserve (Fed) policy and the real economy, we have not likely seen the bottom in the housing market. Outside of the pandemic, the rate of sales were close to sales rates in 2007 and 2008, when the economy was in the depths of a housing crisis [Figure 3]. Regional differences are profound. Conclusion.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Sales Economy 98

Truemind Capital

AUGUST 12, 2023

Despite being widely expected for many months, the recession has yet to materialize in the US and other developed economies. The interesting question is why the recession has yet not occurred even after one of the fastest increases in interest rates in history by all the major Central Banks in a very short span of time.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 52

Validea

JULY 18, 2023

Value stocks—high-quality companies selling at lower valuations—outperformed growth much of last year, with the Russell 1000 Value Index beating its growth counterpart by 20%. One area that could hold untapped opportunities is the financial sector, which is still seeing fall-out from the banking crisis earlier this year. in particular.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Valuation Insurance 52

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

His latest book could not be more timely, “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest,” it’s all about the history of interest rates, money lending, investing speculation, funded by banks and loans and credit. And Jeremy said, “Well, at least there’s enough structural redundancy in the banking system.”

Banking 144

Banking Valuation Economy Investing 144

Truemind Capital

JANUARY 16, 2024

They like to talk about Bajaj Finance and not Yes Bank in their portfolio. Global growth exceeded projections, primarily propelled by the resilient performance of the US economy. With back-to-back zero change in policy rates, it appeared that most central banks have largely reached the end of the rate hike cycle.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Trade Brains

AUGUST 7, 2022

A 150-year-old investment bank goes bankrupt in the most financially developed country in the world. Market pundits are fearing macroeconomic disasters with fears of the US economy going into recession. Russia invaded Ukraine in February throwing the global economy into commodity and energy crises. High Valuations.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 52

James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Suggesting an economy makes “no landing” makes no sense. Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Analogies eventually break down, especially this one. Why The “Landing” Analogy?

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

Validea

MAY 5, 2023

When the economy is robust and companies are lush with cash flows, it’s easy to hide any troubles that might be going on under the surface. But as that liquidity drains out, it’s much more difficult to keep those problems in the dark.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economy Banking Economics 52

Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 26, 2024

The exchange also received the CII EXIM Bank Excellence Prize in 2014 and 2016. Key indicators like banked population and market capitalization improved. Indian capital markets differ from global peers in several ways as companies heavily rely on banks for funding, while the corporate bond market remains underdeveloped.

Compliance 90

Compliance Banking Management Risk Management 90

Nationwide Financial

APRIL 10, 2023

The equity and bond markets continue to provide conflicting signals on the economy, with the bond market pricing in a recession and the equity market more consistent with a soft landing. Investors will closely watch earnings this week, especially on Friday when several global banks report their results. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5%

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Retail Banking 59

Validea

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

Just days after the Federal Reserve Bank of New York orchestrated a $3.5 Criticizing the move, they believed it encouraged investors to take on greater risk because of the expectation that the central bank would jump in to save them should another collapse happen. That, in turn, bloated stock valuations.

Economy 52

Economy Banking Valuation Retirement 52