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presidential election, and while we can’t predict the outcome, we can predict that there will likely be a response from the financialmarkets. Exactly how the markets will react is less clear, but history has shown us that in times of great change or uncertainty, markets react. We are days out from the next U.S.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that the economy is in a good place right now, and with inflation rates creeping back up , there is no reason to make another cut at this time. Future cuts will depend on inflation and the strength of the economy as the year goes on. 2025 Inflation creeps up The U.S.
And they definitely shouldn’t let politics upend their long-term financial plans. Because historically, financialmarkets have rewarded investors who stay the course. stock market has gone up over time—regardless of who is running for office. Yes, the market hates uncertainty, including political ambiguity.
Slome, CFA®, CFP®, Founder of Sidoxia Capital Management, LLC, will share 10 crucial mistakes made by investors that can destroy your portfolio. Learn how to avoid these missteps and expand your wealth.
Following the announcement of the interim Budget, the Indian stock markets traded more or less flat as there were no shocks or surprises for the market– rather the focus was kept on inclusive growth and prosperity with fiscal prudence. India’s Real GDP is projected to grow by 7.3% crore youth trained under various programs.
With China’s stagnating economy, it has helped our inflationary cause by exporting deflationary goods to our country. Time will tell if 2024 will make this baby cry, but whatever the market faces, declining inflation and interest rates should act as a pacifier. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. Source: Visual Capitalist Why So Bullish?
For much of last year, even good news about the economy was bad news for markets. Yes, 2022 was a terrible year for financialmarkets. 3 reasons for investors to be optimistic about the long-term market outlook Short-term market moves should always be expected, especially for equity investors.
I haven’t received my pilot’s license yet, but in trying to figure out whether the economy is heading for a hard landing, soft landing, or no landing, I’m planning to enroll in flight school soon! More recently, economic data has been flying in at an accelerating pace, which could mean the economy will stay in the air and have no landing.
Forrest Bell, CFP®. The volatility which has dogged financialmarkets this year continued during May. stock market declined for several sessions until it was 5.5% bond market logged its first positive monthly return this year, increasing by 0.6%. bond market was also down over 10% before May’s small recovery.
And they definitely shouldn’t let politics upend their long-term financial plans. Because historically, financialmarkets have rewarded investors who stay the course. stock market has gone up over time—regardless of who is running for office. Yes, the market hates uncertainty, including political ambiguity.
Forrest Bell, CFP®. In June, the stock market ebbed once again, reflecting investors’ concerns about the twin risks of inflation and economic slowdown. and international stocks into bear market territory. Despite what GDP reports may ultimately reveal, current conditions don’t seem to indicate a contracting economy.
Although the economy is currently very strong (i.e., raise interest rates and reduce balance sheet debt without crippling the economy), then substantial rewards could accrue to stock market investors. Slome, CFA, CFP®. But there are clouds on the horizon. MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH% (M2) VS. GOVERNMENT DEFICIT. www.Sidoxia.com.
in Q4 ), generationally low unemployment (3.5%), and relatively stable earnings (see chart below) all point to a stable economy with the ability to navigate a soft landing. China’s new reopening of the economy and Europe’s seeming ability of dodging a recession provide additional evidence for a soft landing scenario. Prosper.
Forrest Bell, CFP®. Investor optimism carried the global stock market higher during the beginning of September. High inflation puts a consistently unwanted pressure on consumers and on the economy in general. By the time a recession is known, the market generally has already priced in much of the effects. Indeed, U.S.
Source: TradingEconomics.com Inflation Moving in the Right Direction After such a lousy 2022 in the financialmarkets, why such a searing return for 2023? Source: The Financial Time (FT) Confident Consumers While many economists and traders have incorrectly been calling for a recession for some two years, a more resilient U.S.
Although I have noted some of the key headwinds the economy faces above, it is worth noting that current corporate profits remain at/near all-time record highs (see chart below) and the 3.6% Market corrections are never comfortable, but successful, long-term investing comes with a price…no pain, no gain! Slome, CFA, CFP®.
The Significance Of Financial Compliance Financial compliance requires all actions, procedures, guidelines, and business culture to abide by the rules and regulations set by the regulatory authorities of the financialmarket.
Typically, during weak stock markets (i.e., bear markets”), the bond or fixed income investments in a diversified portfolio act as shock absorbers to cushion the blow of volatile stock prices. Slome, CFA, CFP ®. Therefore, as stock prices decline, the gains from bonds in your portfolio usually help offset stock losses.
Meanwhile, the economy continues to grow (+2.0% For starters, in addition to the Fed’s restrictive policy of reducing the balance sheet, since the beginning of last year, the Fed has also effectively slammed the brakes on the economy by taking their target interest rate from 0% to 5.5%. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.
The Fed’s goal is to increase the cost of borrowing, thereby slowing down the economy and reducing inflation. Despite the Fed raising interest rates from 0% to 2.5%, the stock market increased dramatically over that timeframe. The short answer is that companies are making money hand over fist and the economy remains strong (3.6%
S o far, 2022 has been a volatile year in the financialmarkets, and as a result, investors have been on an emotional rollercoaster, questioning whether we are going into a recession, or are already in one? Ultimately, the stock market is forecasting how much worse or better will the economy become? Slome, CFA, CFP ®.
Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. Regardless, investors can stand on firmer ground now knowing we are upon the cusp of an AI revolution and near the finish line of a debt ceiling resolution. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W. This article is an excerpt from a previously released Sidoxia Capital Management complimentary newsletter (June 1, 2023).
Cash in consumer wallets and money in the bank help the economy keep chugging along at a healthy clip. The bull market took a pause for the month, but consumer wallets remain fat, the economy keeps chugging, the employment picture remains strong, and stock prices remain up +12% for the year (S&P 500). Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.
Despite concerns over global geopolitics, political election madness, and a slowing economy, investors are more focused on the positive prospect of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, starting in September with a probability exceeding 90% ( see chart below ). Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W.
By taking all these factors into account, we can confidently state that Russia and Ukraine have a very low probability of solely pulling the global economy into recession. If history repeats itself, this conflict will turn out to be another garden variety decline in the stock market and an opportunity to buy at a discount.
In short, they are financial planning counselors who help people protect their assets. A Bachelor’s degree in finance or a related field is required, and a CFP(Certified Financial Planner) certification is preferred for insurance advisors. Who doesn’t want to make a fortune by correctly predicting the stock market?
How will elections affect the economy? Slome, CFA, CFP ® Plan. Will Vladimir Putin use nuclear weapons in Ukraine? What is going to happen with the Debt Ceiling deadline and will the U.S. default on its debt? Will AI (artificial intelligence) take all our jobs? I know what my answer is. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W.
However, the fact remains the economy remains strong, corporate profits are at record levels, unemployment is low, and interest rates remain at attractive levels despite nagging inflation ( see chart below ) and the removal of accommodative monetary policies by the Federal Reserve. Slome, CFA, CFP®. www.Sidoxia.com.
The entire economy, the world of investing, is based upon being able to trust who we are listening to. Kelly Nilsson, CFP®, CDFA®, JD Kelly’s journey in finance began in 1992, and for the first 17 years of her career she worked for financialmarketing firms and insurance companies, during which time her clients were financial advisors.
Slome, CFA, CFP®. Obviously, these investment pillars can reverse directions and create headwinds for investors. Until then, don’t be startled if there is more green flood rather than red blood. www.Sidoxia.com. This article is an excerpt from a previously released Sidoxia Capital Management complimentary newsletter (November 1, 2021).
Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. In a diversified portfolio that that takes account of your risk tolerance, we strongly believe low-cost, tax-efficient, long-term investing is the best way to create your retirement masterpiece. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W. Subscribe Here to view all monthly articles.
Market expectations have been persistently underrating what the Fed was going to do and, since they’ve continuously had to readjust those expectations, there’s been a rise in short-term rates. Thank you for that quick market recap. economy today? Economy Today 08:31 Ryan Kelley: Actually, it looks pretty strong.
In recent years, COVID and a ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) caused out-of-control inflation to swerve the economy in the wrong direction. Investors were generally relieved by the government’s response, and the financialmarkets reacted accordingly. economy has been greatly exaggerated. Slome, CFA, CFP ® Plan.
stock market. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. Source: Yardeni.com As always, the future is uncertain, and risks abound for next year. But 2024 has been a blockbuster year and there has been plenty to be thankful for, especially the performance of the U.S. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W. Subscribe Here to view all monthly articles.
If the stock market was a patient, its 2024 checkup would produce a large smile. in the first four months of the year, thanks to a resilient economy, robust employment, and record corporate profits (see chart below). A hot economy giving rise to high inflation/high interest rates? • Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. Why so happy?
When it comes to the financialmarkets, money continues to go where it is treated best. Global capital will flow to those countries with a rule of law, financial transparency, prudent tax policy, lower inflation, higher profit growth, lower interest rates, sensible fiscal and monetary policies, among other pragmatic business practices.
How can this surging bull market be in existence while undergoing a war between Russia and Ukraine; military conflict in Gaza; a nasty Japanese Yen Carry Trade unwind; a highly divisive upcoming presidential election; a weakening economy; and rising unemployment ( see chart below )? Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W.
and other Western allies may retaliate and escalate tensions in the region, which would unlikely be received well by the financialmarkets. Not only is the economy strong (e.g., Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. If Iran, or Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah, throws their hat into the Israel-Hamas war ring, the U.S.
Economy Strong, So Why Cut Now? Before the Fed’s last action a couple weeks ago, the last Fed rate cut occurred in 2020 (a -1.50% cut) in the midst of a global pandemic with the aim of boosting financial activity while the brick-and-mortar economy had effectively been shut down. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. level last year).
Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. The best recommendation I can provide when it comes to investing advice squawked by the media masses is that the true path to wealth creation often comes from ignoring or disobeying these unreliable and inconsistent rules of thumb. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W. Subscribe Here to view all monthly articles.
trillion into the economy in addition to the $4.1 In 1998, the then-future Nobel laureate Paul Krugman made a remarkable and erroneous prediction : “By 2005 or so, it will become clear that the Internet’s impact on the economy has been no greater than the fax machine’s.” Inflation was already hot.
As I made clear earlier, at Sidoxia, we do not attempt to predict the directions of markets, but rather we look to opportunistically take advantage of many different dynamic areas that we believe provide the best risk-adjusted return potential for our clients. Slome, CFA, CFP®. www.Sidoxia.com.
They eventually get a CFP and they go to the advisory side. I think it’s not just new economy chip purveyors, but it’s also the companies that buy the chips and become better. And then you had certain pockets of the economy become oversubscribed and other parts of the economy become undersubscribed.
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