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Monday links: changed communication

Abnormal Returns

sherwood.news) Economy Bubbles often leaving interesting stuff behind. awealthofcommonsense.com) The November ISM manufacturing index remains weak-ish. bonddad.blogspot.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Adviser links: loving clients' problems. (hollywoodreporter.com) 'Moana 2' just had the biggest five-day opening in history.

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Wednesday links: monetizable slop

Abnormal Returns

(axios.com) Fidelity just raised a $250 million venture capital fund for clients. bnnbloomberg.ca) Economy Don't dismiss the effect of inflation on a big portion of the populace. disciplinefunds.com) Why you don't want manufacturing and construction to turn down simultaneously.

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Tuesday links: ironclad proof

Abnormal Returns

(ft.com) Why Goldman Sachs ($GS) wants to help clients launch ETFs. cnbc.com) Global Japan is trying to rebuild its chip manufacturing sector. wsj.com) Economy State coincident indicators show continued economic strength. wsj.com) Economy State coincident indicators show continued economic strength.

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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

People often talk about "the economy" as a single entity whose parts move in unison, with a small number of key indicators (such as GDP, the unemployment rate, and inflation) moving reliably in relation to each other. manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months.

Valuation 246
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4th Quarter 2023 Economic And Market Outlook: Labor Market, Inflation, And Geopolitics

Nerd's Eye View

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. As a result, uncertainty about how the economy may unfold, even along the shortest time frames, is the default.

Economics 246
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Monday links: taking short positions

Abnormal Returns

(slate.com) Despite some big moves, Apple ($AAPL) is still dependent on China for manufacturing. institutionalinvestor.com) Economy Why this yield curve inversion is different than the prior two. ritholtz.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Adviser links: setting client expectations. bloomberg.com) What the Misery Index gets wrong.

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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

With a plethora of interdependent and ever-changing parts, gaining a clear (or even not-terribly-fuzzy) understanding of where the economy stands at any given moment is a daunting task, to say the least. At the same time, value and international stocks continue to lag, trading as if the economy is already in the depths of a serious recession.

Economics 244