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From Fed Chair Powell: Economic Outlook Despite elevated levels of uncertainty, the U.S. economy continues to be in a good place. Recent Economic Data Economic growth The economy has been growing at a solid pace. The labor market is solid, and inflation has moved closer to our 2 percent longer-run goal.
bloomberg.com) Economy Derek Thompson talks 'harsh economic truths' with Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee. theringer.com) Julia LaRoche talks with Tyler Cowen about how AI will change society and the economy. youtube.com) James Pethokoukis talks with Mike Goff about the state of US nuclear power.
disciplinefunds.com) The economic tables have turned as Greece, Spain and Portugal outperform. nytimes.com) Economy February Case-Shiller showed a 6.4% abnormalreturns.com) Adviser links: communication skills. (wsj.com) This CEO is taking advantage of his company discount. ft.com) Global What to make of the decline of the Yen.
politico.com) Economy There's still no sign of a recession in the data. semafor.com) This year's Nobel Prize winners in Economics did not come with universal acclaim. abnormalreturns.com) Longform links: facilitating communication. (ft.com) The West is coming to terms with the extent of Chinese espionage.
Excerpt: The economic forecast prepared by the staff for the June FOMC meeting continued to assume that the effects of the expected further tightening in bank credit conditions, amid already tight financial conditions, would lead to a mild recession starting later this year , followed by a moderately paced recovery. emphasis added
npr.org) Economy Why wealth inequality is growing. disciplinefunds.com) The Fed's communication regime is a mess. papers.ssrn.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (nber.org) How book bans have spread across America. downtownjoshbrown.com) Why the Fed focuses on core inflation.
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • The sneaky economics of Ticketmaster : Ticketmaster’s maligned fees and customer service issues are again under the microscope. The Hustle ). • What Is the Bond Market Saying About the Economy? Will American music fans ever see anything better? ( New York Times ). • Wall Street Journal ). •
On the meeting this week from BofA: " We expect the Fed to stay on hold at the September FOMC meeting , consistent with recent Fed communications and current market pricing. The biggest focus of the September meeting should be the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). Economic projections will be released at this meeting.
In discussing their individual outlooks for the target range for the federal funds rate, participants emphasized the importance of conditioning future policy decisions on incoming data, the evolving economic outlook, and the balance of risks. emphasis added
theatlantic.com) Economy The jobs market is simultaneously hot and cold. tker.co) Five reasons why pundits continue to underestimate the economy including 'Covid's effects are weird and wild and hard to understand.' econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. drorpoleg.com)
In our view, based on the median policy rate path as expressed in the September SEPs and communication from some FOMC participants like San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, the committee is likely to engage in a debate on the appropriateness of slowing the pace of policy rate hikes beginning in December. June 2022 1.5 June 2022 1.5
axios.com) Space Viasat's new $700 million communications satellite is likely a full write-off. wsj.com) China is not panicked, yet, about economic growth. economist.com) Economy Industrial production fell in June 2023. (technologyreview.com) Future AI models may end up getting trained on AI-generated content.
As a financial advisor, it’s crucial to effectively communicate this event to your clients to help them understand the potential impact it may have on their investments and overall financial well-being. Proactive communication is good client service. Does this level of communication feel overwhelming? Provide context.
debt ceiling and communication from several Federal Reserve officials last week, which sent Treasury yields higher, along with mortgage rates. Economic data released over the past week have also pointed to a still-resilient economy. Added Kan, “Investors remained attuned to the uncertainty around the U.S.
blairbellecurve.com) Economy Q2 GDP is trending around 2%. bonddad.blogspot.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Podcast links: the economics of innovation. newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media How AI can subtly influence you and your communications. podcasts.apple.com) Housing sales have bottomed. Have prices?
disinflation sweeps through 2023, without a cratering of employment or the wider economy so far, the narrative is shifting again – and encouraging hopes that bruising central bank tightening may be short-lived too. My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • Inflation undershoot? Narrative shifts again. But as impressive U.S.
Economic Update: Walmart Earnings : Reported lower-than-expected sales guidance, indicating potential weakness in U.S. Sector Performance : Energy, healthcare, and communication services are outperforming; technology and consumer discretionary sectors are underperforming. Economies and markets fluctuate. for the week, up 2.2%
Carson ) • Don’t believe what anyone says about the economy. Washington Post ) but see also One plausible explanation for this too-good-to-be-true economy : The most plausible explanation of all is that the pandemic and subsequent recovery were so unusual that the normal rules of economics don’t apply. Including me.
We’ve spent much of the last year explaining how higher rates were slowly putting the screws to the broader economy. The economy doesn’t land like a plane. 5%+ interest rates are not a normalized economy and now looks far too restrictive. None of this is terribly surprising to readers here.
In economic terms, inflationary psychology essentially means consumers advance their purchases to offset future price increases. When shock events occur, predictable patterns of herd behavior, panic buying, and changes in economic behavior occur.
Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. And in my summer in between I worked for Mayor Daley in Chicago on economic development issues. Alright, so, so you go from public finance, how did you evolve towards co-head of innovation economy? Imagine what that was like. Melissa Smith : Sure.
Led Zeppelin’s Communication Breakdown was the quintessential rock song with two lines of lyrics that set the tone for what’s taking place in the communication sector this year. Communication breakdown, it’s always the same Havin’ a nervous breakdown, a-drive me insane Every U.S. Look to China for a parallel.
FOMC Says Inflation Is Still Too High Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Concerns over a firmer monetary policy were heightened by fresh economic data, touching off a climb in bond yields and a slide in stock prices last week. However, members diverged on the economy, with some members finding the risk of recession elevated.
Stocks Rally To Record Highs Stocks traded in a fairly tight range for the first half of the short week, yawning at the lack of economic data while awaiting earnings results from one key company that creates chips that power the artificial intelligence operations of many firms. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: New Home Sales.
Let’s Not Get Too Excited Yet Yes, stocks hit new highs across the board last week on optimism about an economy that would likely avoid a recession and a Fed that was now cutting rates. All this is very positive for the economy. And if economic growth remains resilient, bond yields should not be moving lower. Matching the 13.9%
Undaunted by another Fed rate hike and news of a contracting economy, the stock market rallied last week on better-than-expected corporate earnings. Powell indicated that it might become appropriate to slow the pace of future hikes, and he didn’t believe the economy had entered into recession. Economy Contracts . Factory Orders.
Weekly Market Insights: Market Retreats On Inflation, Economic Reports Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Stocks fell last week as investors reacted to disappointing inflation updates and other economic reports that fell short of estimates. 4 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Leading Indicators.
Yields rose after traders speculated that strong economic data might persuade the Fed to raise rates. Economic Strength, Housing Weakness The economy continued to evidence surprising strength according to data released last week. 6,7 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). Jobless Claims.
NOW 2016 | Energy, Money and the New World Economy achen Thu, 06/23/2016 - 10:27 The benefits to the U.S. economy since 2008. Yergin is one of the most soughtafter thought leaders on the interplay of energy, international politics and the global economy. from its “revolution” in shale oil production have been far-reaching.
NOW 2016 | Energy, Money and the New World Economy. economy since 2008. Yergin is one of the most soughtafter thought leaders on the interplay of energy, international politics and the global economy. This communication and any accompanying documents are confidential and privileged. Thu, 06/23/2016 - 10:27.
And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. BITTERLY MICHELL: … obviously, the United States, the global economy. It was at Bank One, at the time. Like lives are completely changed across …. RITHOLTZ: Right. risk matters.
1 Economic news also helped boost markets. Consumers Remain Upbeat With all the excitement over AI, it’s easy to overlook some key economic indicators that also speak to the underlying strength of the economy—specifically, consumer data. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Motor Vehicle Sales.
The economy added 275,000 jobs in February—exceeding the 198,000 expected—but wage growth slowed, and jobless claims edged up. Some investors saw that as a negative, while others viewed it as a “Goldilocks” moment—an economy that’s not too hot or cold. 6,7 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Consumer Price Index.
19 recession-proof jobs Expert tip Skills for success Protecting your finances from difficult economic times What is the best job to have when the economy is struggling? How to still do well financially in a bad economy? Our physical and mental health doesn’t care about what’s going on in the economy.
Instead, investors interpreted it as confirmation of a robust economy. 3 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: ISM Services Index. Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; February 2, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. 2 Source: YCharts.com, February 3, 2024.
Stocks overcame poor earnings results from some of America’s largest companies to post gains last week as investors cheered positive earnings surprises, easing inflation and a rebound in economic growth. Meanwhile, positive earnings surprises from “old economy” companies powered markets higher. Economic Growth Exceeds Expectations.
Economic Strength The strength of the U.S. economy has come into the spotlight. An analysis conducted by The Wall Street Journal recently proposed that the economy’s resilience could be attributed, at least in part, to the productivity driven by the technology sector. Treasury note yield is expressed in basis points.
Weekly Market Insights: September Stocks Open In Positive Territory Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Falling bond yields–spurred by weak economic data–helped lift stocks to weekly gains. A downward revision of Q2 economic growth and fresh signs of a cooling labor market reversed the recent rise in bond yield.
Mixed Economic Signals Amid recent signs of a labor market cooling (a hopeful sign for ending rate hikes), last Thursday’s initial jobless claims report showed only a slight increase of 204,000. 6 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index. PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.)
He added that if the economy keeps on its current course, that the FOMC would likely “begin dialing back policy restraint at some point this year.” 4,5 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: New Home Sales. If the FOMC votes to ease it at its June meeting, it would be the first cut in four years. Tuesday: Durable Goods Orders.
And while there’s no guarantee that any job will be immune to cutbacks or layoffs, some industries weather economic storms better than others. CFOs typically have a deep understanding of economic theory and practice and strong analytical and problem-solving skills. Communication Skills. Financial Examiner.
Jobs and services sector news painted a better picture of the economy on Thursday, but as the 10-year Treasury hit 4%, stock prices responded negatively. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: International Trade in Goods. Source: YCharts.com, January 6, 2024. News of unemployment remaining steady at 3.7% also helped sentiment.
Macroeconomic Overview Our macroeconomic forecast for 2023 called for a year of disinflation and “muddle through” That means we expected the economy to remain sluggish and for inflation to show positive rates of change that were sequentially slower. To learn more about our investment management service please contact us here.
One of my favorite ways to communicate how the stock market works to younger investors comes from this one in William Bernstein's Four Pillars of Investing: A superb metaphor for the long-term/short-term dichotomy in stock returns comes from Ralph Wanger, the witty and incisive principal of the Acorn Funds.
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