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Tuesday links: ceilings and floors

Abnormal Returns

axios.com) Tesla's ($TSLA) inventory numbers are on the rise. By this definition, we’re in the midst of a macroeconomic anxiety attack." Markets The VIX and credit spreads are both near multi-year lows. entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) Everybody loves gold. barrons.com) Companies GE's ($GE) split into three companies is now complete.

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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

The chart shows the peak-to-trough declines of all the bear markets with the popular definition of a 20% decline, measured up until the start of the first 20% rally. It is all part of the dynamics of risk markets that by definition go up and down. Have a look at the BAML chart above. 2 The current move from 2021 highs is shown in red.

Marketing 336
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Why Hasn’t the California Globe Retracted Its Story?

The Big Picture

The Globe, amazingly, cannot even sum a column of five small numbers. Newsom and his staff including Brandon, are picking numbers and months to serve Newsom’s own false narrative. It was the Journal, then Hoover, then CABIA, that did all of the cherry-picking, and used a bad set of numbers to do it. Baby steps. No, dear reader.

Food 338
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Podcast links: the science of sleep

Abnormal Returns

insideradio.com) The number of songs uploaded to streaming services just keep increasing. open.spotify.com) Russ Roberts talks with Luca Dellana author of "Ergodicity: Definition, Examples, And Implications, As Simple As Possible." The biz Consolidation is here, again, as independent podcast companies sell out.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (May 6-7)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the House Financial Services Committee unanimously passed a bill that would direct the SEC to conduct a study and carry out a rulemaking on the definition of a "small entity" to reduce the compliance burden on small businesses, (..)

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Change Your Perspective

The Big Picture

Essentially, monthly Non-Farm Payrolls is the net difference between these two groups: The actual number is far smaller and less significant than gets played most publicly. The monthly number ( May 2023 = 339,000) is a tenth or so of the ~1.5% By definition, average is not necessarily where you are going to spend most of your time.

Numbers 312
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Feb 11-12)

Nerd's Eye View

Also in industry news this week: The SEC this week released its 2023 examination priorities, which include its new marketing rule, Reg BI, and complicated investments The House of Representatives is considering legislation that would broaden the definition of who qualifies as an accredited investor and is potentially eyeing a role for financial advisors (..)