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Government Spending Is Out of Control! LOL

The Big Picture

As Paul Krugman recently wrote on his excellent Substack , using a chart identical to the one immediately above (Paul used FRED ): “People may imagine that government is a bigger part of the economy than it is because of all the money we spend supporting retired Americans, covering their health bills, and so on [Chart 1].

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Surprise! California’s 40 Qs of Rising Minimum Wage & Fast Food Industry Growth (Beating USA)

The Big Picture

They ignored seasonality; they they mixed the match data from completely different series; they cherry, picked starting and stopped dates for their analysis that bore no relationship to the underlying economic trends. ” A bit of quick math: 726,600/0.987 = 736,170 (starting point). 726,600 – 736,170 = -9,570.

Food 306
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Sunday links: money skepticism

Abnormal Returns

on.spdji.com) It's hard to make the math on hedge funds add up. nytimes.com) Budgeting When you do the math, it's hard to find trillions to save in the federal budget. prospect.org) The math on mass deportation doesn't add up. sherwood.news) Economy Real wages are still rising. Just ask Norway.

Math 173
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Friday links: a cursed star

Abnormal Returns

gardenandgun.com) Economy The hurricanes are going to mess with economic data for awhile. bloomberg.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Podcast links: hedge fund math. (frontofficesports.com) Inside the professional mini-golf tour. axios.com) Not a lot to see in the September PPI report.

Math 278
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Wednesday links: untold moving pieces

Abnormal Returns

thebookseller.com) Can AI chatbots do math? sherwood.news) Economy Why the Fed should cut rates now, not September. sherwood.news) Relying on any single economic indicator is a mistake. (theatlantic.com) Meta ($META) is going full-speed on AI. wsj.com) Google ($GOOGL) is backtracking on eliminating cookies in Chrome.

Math 264
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

Economy Depends More Than Ever on Rich People : The highest-earning 10% of Americans have increased their spending far beyond inflation. Or why we need less math in music theory. ( Tablet ) see also Welcome to the New Military-Industrial Complex. But there was one font I didnt even notice, even though it was everywhere around me.

Math 162
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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

The Federal Reserve is struggling to cool inflation further without damaging the economy. But most of all, it was just simple maths according to Druck. My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • The Fed Has No Good Options. The Risk of a Misstep Is Growing. The easy part is over. The easy part is over. The first was don’t lose money.

Math 288