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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

In reality, though, the economy is a complex web of interdependent factors where events often make sense only in hindsight – and sometimes, not at all. What's driving many of the economic conditions today are higher interest rates resulting from the Fed's efforts to fight inflation. And even though U.S.

Valuation 246
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10 Biggest Ideas in “How NOT to Invest”

The Big Picture

This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4.

Investing 318
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Sunday links: household finances

Abnormal Returns

frontofficesports.com) Why seed stage valuations haven't dropped as much as you would think. reuters.com) Apple Insights from this week's big Apple event. politico.com) Why market economics doesn't necessarily work in health care. econofact.org) The economic schedule for the coming week. wsj.com) How the end of Roe v.

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Bottoming?

The Big Picture

This “Process” is not a single event but rather, a series of events the totality of which increasingly weighs the probability towards that positive resolution. I use the word probability because this outcome is not pre-ordained, but rather, subject to future events which have yet to unfold. Hence, I have caveats. 50% chance ).

Economy 296
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Why International Diversification Is Still The Prudent Strategy (While Keeping Behavioral Biases, Risks, And Results In A Healthy Perspective)

Nerd's Eye View

In this guest post, Larry Swedroe, head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Strategic Wealth, discusses why many investors tend to fall prey to recency bias, and explains why global diversification – and keeping short- and long-term results in the right perspective – remains a prudent strategy. annually.

Valuation 246
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Crypto Crash Is Led by a Whopping 88 Percent Plunge in FTX

Mish Talk

The pact marks a victory for Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and a humbling comedown for Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX, which had been growing in size and recognition before a clash between the two men set off a series of events that shook investor confidence in his firm. It was all over in a matter of about 4 hours, rally to bottom.

Valuation 247
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Investors Made These Costly Mistakes in 2024 – Here is How You Can Avoid Them | Larry Swedroe

Validea

Drawing from decades of experience, Larry explains why market forecasts consistently fail, why valuations can’t be used for market timing, and how seemingly obvious economic events often lead to surprising market outcomes.