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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 244
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Podcast links: harsh economic truths

Abnormal Returns

(infiniteloopspodcast.com) Real estate Derek Thompson talks with Mike Simonsen, president and founder of Altos Research, and Lance Lambert, cofounder and editor-in-chief of Residential Club, about the state of the American housing market. theringer.com) Julia LaRoche talks with Tyler Cowen about how AI will change society and the economy.

Economics 261
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Research links: the AI threat

Abnormal Returns

(caia.org) Looking for factor returns in old historical stock market data. mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Using AI to better explain past financial market returns. nber.org) How to extract economic data from the Wall Street Journal. nber.org) How to extract economic data from the Wall Street Journal.

Economics 267
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U.S. Markets Are Swallowing the Rest of the World

A Wealth of Common Sense

The United States is the envy of the world in terms of financial markets and economic performance. Ruchir Sharma at The Financial Times outlines how this is impacting capital flows: Global investors are committing more capital to a single country than ever before in modern history.

Marketing 145
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Nobody Knows Anything, Dot Plot Edition

The Big Picture

Markets are nervous expecting another hike before years over before two cuts in 2024. When it comes to forecasting economic outcomes, the Fed is no better or worse than anybody else. .” They may be terrible economic forecasters but give them credit for not burying bad predictions like so many on Wall Street tend to do.

Economics 325
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Financial Market Round-Up – Apr’24

Truemind Capital

Equity Market Insights: A few themes are dominating the equity markets worldwide and in India. Falling interest rates make money cheaper and thus fuel equity market returns. Equity markets are riding on the expectations of the strong comeback of the NDA-led Government resulting in policy continuity.

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Thursday links: most narratives

Abnormal Returns

Markets Today's constructive CPI report rang a bell for financial markets. finance.yahoo.com) The market for leveraged loans is open for business, especially refinancings. bonddad.blogspot.com) We really don't have an analogy for the current economic environment. axios.com) Core CPI ex-shelter is now under 2%.