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Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased slightly to moderately"

Calculated Risk

Fed's Beige Book Economic activity increased slightly to moderately across the twelve Federal Reserve Districts in late November and December. Manufacturing decreased slightly on net, and a number of Districts said manufacturers were stockpiling inventories in anticipation of higher tariffs. Vehicle sales grew modestly.

Economics 162
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Schedule for Week of February 9, 2025

Calculated Risk

For manufacturing, the January Industrial Production report will be released this week. House Financial Services Committee -- Thursday, February 13th -- 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The key reports this week are January CPI and Retail sales. The consensus is for CPI to be up 2.9%

Retail 162
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BEA: Real GDP increased at 4.9% Annualized Rate in Q3

Calculated Risk

percent in the third quarter of 2023 , according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Within services, the leading contributors were housing and utilities, health care, financial services and insurance, and food services and accommodations.

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BEA: Real GDP increased at 1.6% Annualized Rate in Q1

Calculated Risk

percent in the first quarter of 2024 , according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The increase in consumer spending reflected an increase in services that was partly offset by a decrease in goods. Within imports, the increase reflected increases in both goods and services.

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Sunday links: connecting the dots

Abnormal Returns

axios.com) Apple ($AAPL) is being very deliberate in its approach to financial services. wsj.com) Policy The IRA and CHIPS Act have caused a surge in domestic manufacturing investment. vox.com) Economy Earnings can fall even without an economic recession. ritholtz.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

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Does the ISM Services Index Really Reflect the Real World?

Mish Talk

Please consider the November 2022 Services ISM ® Report On Business ® Economic activity in the services sector grew in November for the 30th month in a row — with the Services PMI ® registering 56.5 However, the recent ISM manufacturing report went into contraction, catching up a bit with S&P. percent, 2.4

Economy 190
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Market Commentary: Good Riddance February, Hello March

Carson Wealth

Given our overall still positive economic backdrop, to see this much worry in the air is actually rather bullish and why we dont expect the recent weakness to spiral out of control. If a consumer or business buys something thats manufactured abroad (like a TV), it doesnt add to US gross domestic product.